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A Look at the Gold and Silver Charts

2024 has been quite a year for gold and silver.  And it looks like there is more to come.

Here is a one-year chart of the gold price:

Please note the bullish technical indicators, with the red line indicating the 200-day moving average price and the blue line the shorter term 50-day moving average.  Gold is trading above both trend lines.

Here is a one-year silver chart:

As did gold, silver made a strong breakout in March.  It has mostly traded above both the short- and long-term trendlines since April, although it broke below the 50-day moving average on Friday, 7/19, on profit taking.  

And finally, here is a one-year chart reflecting the ratio of gold and silver prices: 

Note that this is not a price chart.  It reflects the relative prices of the two precious metals.  The gold/silver ratio has been trending down since May.  You should speak with your Republic Monetary Exchange representative about this.  The ratio indicates that silver is still advantageously priced relative to the gold price and you continue to have an opportunity to trade gold for silver while silver is historically underpriced compared to gold and therefore poised for faster price appreciation.  But the gold-silver ratio is on the move and that advantage may not last.

Contact Republic Monetary Exchange today and learn more about this profitable strategy.

Is America Insolvent?

Is the United States insolvent?  By that I mean is it unable to pay its debts?

The honest answer is yes.  The formal answer is no.

Let us explain.

Better yet, let Ben Bernanke, the former Chairman of the Federal Reserve System explain:

“The US government has a technology, called a printing press, that allows it to produce as many dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.”

Dr. Bernanke was one of the great money printers of all time.  In other words, he was one of the great inflationists of all time:

“Under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and, hence, positive inflation.”

So, no matter how much debt the government has, it can print money to pay its creditors.  This legalized counterfeiting is a fraud.  You can’t pay off your creditors by doing the same thing without going to jail. But the government can.  Unfortunately, there is no such thing as a free lunch and there is a reason people go to jail for counterfeiting.  That is because it defrauds others.  Even when the government does it and calls it legal.

The new money the government prints takes on value or purchasing power to the extent that the existing money (your savings) loses value or purchasing power.  That loss of purchasing power is commonly called inflation.

The USGoverment ran a $1.3 trillion deficit for the first nine months of this fiscal year. It is about $1.85 trillion as we write this.   

It carries a gross federal debt of $34.9 trillion.  That is what we call the USG’s visible debt.  

(Below the waterline, like an iceberg, is the hidden debt, promises the government has made to its citizens that are not funded.  That is more than $200 trillion. Washington’s response to the hidden debt is “Never mind!”   So, we’ll move on.)

The USG’s debt today is 127 percent of the nations supposed productivity, what the government calls Gross Domestic Product.  Here’s a recent graphic illustration of the gross (visible) debt and its share of GDP.

Former US Budget Director David Stockman recently detailed what has gone on over the last 50 years that is reflected in the above chart:  “The public debt is up 89-fold, from $389 billion to $34.5 trillion. And its share of GDP or burden on the US economy has nearly quadrupled, rising from a post-war low of 36% in 1970 to an all-time high of 122% at present.”

And to circle back to the hidden USG debt, Stockman describes their growth path as well:

“Major entitlements are on a path from 10% of GDP at the turn of the century to more than 23% by 2050. And the overwhelming share of that gain will be due to a retired population that will grow from 50 million at present to 80 million by 2050, putting huge upward pressure on Social Security and Medicare outlays.”

The bottom line is that none of these debts, visible or hidden, can be paid except by the expedient of printing money.  That’s why the people on Capitol Hill seem so unconcerned.  They can spend all they want, and the Fed will make it possible by creating more dollars out of thin air.

That will destroy what is left of the dollar’s purchasing power.  It will destroy the middle class as well.  But as they say in Washington, “Never mind!”

Do you own gold?


Getting Off the Grid with Gold and Silver

The Crowstrike Outage Shows How Fragile Our Digital Infrastructure Can Be

The headlines captured the story this way:

It’s like Y2K, except it happened this time!

“Largest IT Outage In History” Sparks Disruptions Worldwide!

Unprecedented IT Outage Cripples Businesses Around the Globe!

The IT shutdown impacted major banks, stock exchanges, 911 services, media, and airlines. 

Here’s the lead from the financial site Zero Hedge:  “Early Friday, a global IT outage caused by an issue with cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike disrupted flights, banks, retailers, stock exchanges, 911 call centers, and media outlets. Experts say this could be one of the largest IT outages in modern history.”.

The first question on many people’s minds was whether the outage was a terrorist strike or an act of war.  The only good news was that it wasn’t a security incident or a cyberattack, according to CrowdStrike CEO George Kurtz.  

But it could have been.  It makes it a lot easier to ask, “what if,” doesn’t it?

Once again, we see just how vulnerable we are.  So, what happens to your ability to access your money when the internet goes down?  Or the power grid is attacked?  You are stuck unless you have money like gold and silver that is off the grid.

Oh, and do we need to drive the point home by mentioning that we also just learned last week about a massive hack of AT&T records in 2022?  

From NBC:  “A 2022 security breach compromised the data of ‘nearly all’ AT&T cellular network customers, with hackers stealing six months’ worth of call and text message records, the company said Friday.”

Here is what we wrote in 2019 (when gold was just over $1,300!:

Some people buy gold for privacy.  They would like to keep their financial affairs better protected.  Since the banks have become snoops for the government, reporting what you do, and since big corporations try to follow you in everything you do and anything you buy, just the peace of mind of having a little privacy is a very good reason to own gold.  

You may remember how a lot of things were shut down after 9/11.  Have you even wondered what would happen if the increasingly stressed national electricity grid went down, or if solar flares screwed up satellite functions and digital communications?

What would you do if ATM machines stopped spitting out cash?

I can tell you this.  In any of those circumstances you would be very happy to own gold and silver, the world’s most liquid commodities.

Visit with an experienced precious metal professional at Republic Monetary Exchange and learn about the importance of getting your wealth off the grid and into the world’s most enduring forms of liquidity, gold and silver.


What is the Actual Inflation Rate?

Is the Inflation Rate only the 3% that the Government says it is?

Here’s a wake-up call!  Yes, another one!  

The government tells us the inflation rate is currently 3.0 percent.  That’s the Consumer Price Index increase for the 12 months ending in June.  

Between January 2020 and last May, consumer prices rose 21.75 percent.  According to government numbers, that is.  

Sure.  Biden is at the peak of his game.  He’s never been better.  And consumer prices have only risen 21.75 percent over roughly the last 4 ½ years.

Why do we find this number so incredible?  

Simple.  It doesn’t square with our experience or the experience of anyone we know!

One fellow posted a TikTok video showing a Wal-Mart receipt for a grocery purchase he made in 2022.  The 45 items he purchased – he described it as a full month’s groceries – cost a total back then of $126.76.  Because the app has a “reorder all” feature, he found that the same purchase today would cost $414.39!

Hello?  Or as the fellow said himself, “Like, what?”

That’s an increase of 226 percent!  In two years!  For the same items!

Maybe Janet Yellen can deny experiencing sticker shock at the grocery store.   She has a car and driver, and a private Fed dining room.  

As off-kilter as the CPI is, the Fed prefers to use something called the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index to measure inflation.  Jeffrey Tucker of the Brownstone Institute thought to ask an AI how that index is computed:

The BEA uses the same data that creates the quarterly GDP [gross domestic product] report, which measures U.S. economic output, but the PCE price index measures consumer purchases through different calculations. It converts the prices, which are still the producers’ prices, to the end price paid by the consumer. The PCE price index includes the broadest set of goods and services compared to other measures of consumer price changes. It measures changes in a basket of goods and services, but the PCE is based on data from businesses and trade organizations while the CPI is based on survey data from tens of thousands of consumers. The BEA normalizes the data via a price deflator—a ratio of the value of all goods and services produced in a particular year at current prices to that of prices that prevailed during a base year—to get the monthly PCE index: the average monthly rate of inflation (or deflation) for the U.S. economy as a whole.

Well, that’s one way to cook the books!  There are others.  Things like “core inflation.”  Core inflation doesn’t include energy or food costs, although I’d like to see the cost of buying anything – anything at all – that doesn’t depend in some way on energy and food.

It’s all “lies, damn lies, and statistics” as Mark Twain may or may not have said.  For us, the answer is to buy gold and silver to protect yourself from all the number fudging and money printing.  And if you want to know what’s really happening to your cost of groceries, save your receipts.  

Or get the Wal-Mart reorder app!


If the Economy is Slowing… Buy Gold!

We have shared our view that the Federal Reserve is anxious to cut interest rates before long to help elect Democrats in November.  (See our January post THE FED TILTS THE SCALES!  TO THE LEFT, OF COURSE!)

It’s not too complicated.  The very existence of a central bank is a left-wing dream come true.  It was on Karl Marx’s shot list.  So, you shouldn’t be surprised to learn that there are 10 Democrat economists for every single Republican economist at the Fed.

The latest consumer price and producer price indices are somewhat contradictory, but the is ample clear evidence piling up that the economy is slowing.   That will give the Fed cover for cutting rates ahead of the election.  

Unemployment has begun to climb.  It has reached the highest level since November 2021, while wage growth has risen at the slowest rate in more than three years.   

But what about the Fed’s insistence that it would bring inflation down to 2 percent? 

Fuhgeddaboudit!

Here’s the way Fed chairman Powell put things in his recent congression update on monetary policy: Reducing policy restraint too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity and employment.” 

Powell was giving himself running room.  Doug Casey says, “The Fed has effectively given up on bringing price inflation down even though the year-over-year change in the CPI remains around 3.3%, significantly higher than the Fed’s target of 2%.

“In other words, even with their crooked statistics and rigged game, the Fed has failed even to come close to their inflation target. It’s a massive failure.”

Evidence of slowdown:

To repeat:  a slowing economy and rising unemployment give the Fed the cover it needs.  Many Fed watchers are now expecting two rate cuts in short order, before the election for sure, and less likely in our view, one even as early as this month.  The price of gold seems to be confirming that view as it raced up to $2,400 on the unemployment news.

Bear in mind, too, that gold has climbed to new highs despite the Fed’s higher interest rate regime.  Now imagine what happens when the Fed forces rates lower, buying government bonds, and printing money to do so.

So, a slowing economy, more money printing, rising gold.  Sounds like the stagflation decade all over again!


“Real Money For Free People” Now Available on Amazon

Your Essential Financial Survival Briefing!  The American Gold Story!

Reviewers praise Real Money for Free People!  Rich Dad Poor Dad’s Robert Kiyosaki says Jim Clark’s book is “essential reading for anyone who values their financial freedom.”

New York Times bestselling author Charles Goyette says Jim Clark’s book “explains in easy-to-understand terms what the Founders knew, that honest money- gold and silver- means prosperity and freedom for both nations and individuals.” 

Skyrocketing prices, massive new spending programs, debt ceiling puppet shows, money printing, debt up the wazoo!

How did we get here?  Where is all this headed?  Here’s an excerpt:

Our governing classes and monetary authorities] have created the conditions for an explosion of impoverishment. They are the big spenders and reckless borrowers of both parties. They are the grand councilors and academic advisors of the almighty State. They and their statist epigone and media servitors are the inevitable offspring of connivers like Franklin Roosevelt and Richard Nixon, who stole the people’s gold and betrayed the nation’s good-as-gold dollar…

There is no turning back. They must now continue to print money until the system crashes. It is the endgame of their folly.

REAL MONEY FOR FREE PEOPLE is a fast-paced review of why the Founding Fathers, to assure a free and prosperous America, built the new republic on a solid monetary foundation of gold and silver.  Learn how later politicians, those of lesser character, have abandoned that foresight by handing America’s future and prosperity over to self-serving bankers and money manipulators.

In this book, Jim Clark pulls back the curtain to reveal what the mainstream media conceals:  how the unsustainable and reckless policies of the Federal Reserve are destroying the dollar and your savings.

More importantly, it tells you exactly why gold and silver – the world’s most treasured and time-tested forms of money – are your key to protecting your wealth and profiting in the years ahead!

NOW AVAILABLE FOR THE FIRST TIME ON AMAZON.COM!  Click Here!


The Global Gold Picture!

Want to see something really bullish?

With this post, we hope to show you how seriously the rest of the world takes gold in this new era of de-dollarization.

The following bullet points are taken from an article by Sergei Glazyev, Commissioner for Integration and Macroeconomics within the Eurasian Economic Commission and a close Putin advisor, which appeared in Vedomosti, the Moscow business paper in December 2022.  

Our thanks to Alasdair Macleod for providing this translation on his Substack page.  Macleod stresses the importance of these remarks given the US sanctions and asset grabs and Russia’s presidency this year of the BRIC nations and as background for the major BRICs meeting coming up in October.

  • The sanctions imposed against Russia boomeranged on the Western economy. The geopolitical instability they provoked, rising prices for energy and other resources, inflation, and other negative factors put strong pressure on the global economy, in particular the global financial market.
  • Large gold reserves allow Russia to pursue a sovereign financial policy and minimize dependence on external lenders. The amount of reserves affects the country’s reputation, its credit rating and investment attractiveness…. In 1998, the lack of sufficient international reserves became one of the causes of the crisis, which ended in default for Russia. Now our country already has large gold and foreign exchange reserves, being fifth in the world (after China, Japan, Switzerland and India) and ahead of the United States. But this is not enough.
  • Over the past quarter century, gold has been flowing from West to East through the main hubs (London, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, and others) with a capacity of 2000 – 3000 tons per year. Did the western Central Banks’ official gold reserves remain in their storage facilities? Or has it all gone through swaps and leasing? The West will never say, and Fort Knox’s audit will not.
  • Over the past 20 years, gold mining in Russia has almost doubled, while in the United States has almost decreased by half. By dismantling real wealth, the United States has lost its competence and interest in the production and processing of strategic resources (gold and uranium, etc.). The printing press funds the purchase of everything they want.

The world financial order has tolerated the printing press dollar since the end of World War II.  But the post-war order is coming to an end and the pace of de-dollarization will accelerate dramatically.  The dollar will eventually end up the “Old Maid.”  No one will want to be holding it when the game ends.  Prepare your own future accordingly. 


Inflation and the Confused Biden Administration

They’re even wrong about being wrong about inflation!

What a bunch we have running fiscal policy in our country.  Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has distinguished herself for being wrong about inflation and virtually everything else.  And President Biden, well there’s no need to describe his abject confusion anymore.  Since everyone except a few shameless toadies in the media can see it, that would be beating a dead horse.

But their public positions are both utterly incoherent and incompatible.  When fiscal policy is this contradictory, it is time to seek refuge in gold and silver!

Yellen’s cluelessness and apologies for not understanding inflation are the stuff of legend.  But there is more, so much more…

Her support for a wealth tax, a tax not on income but on property people own, a tax on unrealized capital gains that would even require people to sell family businesses to pay, would have Karl Marx dance a commie jig!   

Equally destructive was her support for the administration’s crazy desire to have banks report people’s every transaction of $600 or more.  Imagine how utterly mentally vacant she must be to not have envisaged how much strangling bureaucracy that would have created.  Inconceivable!

Her failure to have the Treasury issue long-dated bonds before the Fed began raising rates is just one more component of our debt disaster.  Stanley Druckenmiller calls this “the worst mistake in the history of the Treasury.”

Then there is her assertion that the US can afford two wars at once.  “Absolutely!” she says.  That was eight months ago when the national debt was $33.56 trillion.  Today it is $34.68 trillion.  Up well over a trillion dollars in eight months!  

As for Biden, just as he wanders, squats, and mutters aimlessly at photo shoots, shadowed by handlers trying to cover for him, he bats about for something to say about inflation until he comes up with something his handlers prepared for him.  Bill Bonner describes him similarly: “Biden, the man, is just a cut-out… a place-holder. We’ve never heard an original thought pass his lips, nor an insight worth remembering. Instead, his pensée is just much-rehearsed blah-blah, sticking with whatever talking points his handlers suggest.”

So, what has his people had him saying about inflation?  Greed, of course.  

But greed has always been with us.  If greedy corporations are responsible for inflation, if they have the power to unilaterally raise prices, why wasn’t inflation out of control before Biden?  (Note that Washington never blames inflation on government greed!  It never points to all the money it shovels to its cronies and its favored interest groups.  It is never, ever about their greed).  

But in any case, Biden and Yellen are not even able to keep their stories straight!  The other day on CNBC Yellen contradicted Biden’s attribution of inflation to corporate greed.  “I think that inflation is about supply and demand,” she said.

Well, of course, all prices are about supply and demand.  When the government prints trillions of dollars out of thin air and distributes them to its friends, they increases demand.  Same amount of goods and services in the economy, but suddenly some people have a lot more printed money with which they buy things.  It’s like an auction:  they are bidding prices higher and higher. 

The cluelessness is not limited to just Biden and Yellen.  It is systemic in the administration and, frankly, in both parties and throughout Washington and the governing classes.  Take for example the cluelessness of Jared Bernstein, the president’s chief economic advisor, about how monetary policy works.  See for yourself:

The ship of state is being run by the intellectually deficient.  It is a ship of fools.  They are incapable of steering us out of a currency storm.  They will destroy the dollar and leave your prosperity wrecked upon the reefs.

The need to own gold is growing more critical by the day. Because something will happen!


The Four Main Forces Pushing Gold Higher

What are the major forces driving gold prices up?

We spotlight four of them:

WAR

It is our view that the mainstream media ignores or underplays the significance of all of the forces destroying our currency and prosperity.  But it seems most clueless about the way war destroys both.  However, our hands-on experience goes back a long way.  We remember the Vietnam War and the role it played in ending the gold-backed dollar, just as we remember the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, the revolution in Iran, and the fire they lit under gold prices.

So, we are not willing to turn a blind eye to war drums beating today.  We note that the situation in Ukraine is escalating with the attack on Sevastopol, Crimea.  Russia blames the US and promises to retaliate.  The widening of the Mideast war to include Lebanon is another fuse that appears about to be lit.


DE-DOLLARIZATION

 The move away from the dollar and to gold is very real and a key driver of higher gold prices.  It can only accelerate.  Note for example that a Russian court has approved the seizure of hundreds of billions of dollars of assets from Western banks, a response in kind to the theft of Russian assets by the sanction regimes.  It goes without saying that this makes dollar-holders around the world very nervous indeed and heightens gold’s allure as an asset whose value is not subject to the whims of some issuing government.


INFLATION

Inflation teaches everyone that eventually made-up government money loses value.  The highest US inflation in more than 4o years is beginning to drive that lesson home.  Average weekly earnings have risen over the last 3 ½ years, but rising prices have undone any advantage, as the average real (constant dollar) income of working families has fallen $2,300.  

Some get it already, but eventually, almost everyone will realize that this is not because of cosmic rays or the greed of corporations, but because the money itself is being managed specifically to lose purchasing power.  Then what can today be called a slow diversification by some Americans into gold and silver will become a stampede.

DEBT

All inflations are the result of dishonest governments spending money they do not have and running up debts that they cannot repay.

Even the Congressional Budget Office, which tries its best to downplay the real debt debacle, expects the budget deficit to skyrocket, from $1.9trillion this year to $2.8 trillion by 2034.  

As for the national debt itself, it will hit $35 trillion in a few weeks, and $37 trillion by the end of this year.  In fact, on our current path, the debt will reach a stratospheric $60 trillion at the end of the ten-year budget window, according to David Stockman.  And that, he adds, is with the happy face the CBO is putting on its projections:

Even that depends upon the latest CBO iteration of Rosy Scenario, which envisions no recession ever again, just 2% inflation as far as the eye can see and real interest rates of barely 1%. And that’s to say nothing of the trillions in phony spending cuts and out-year tax increases that are built into the CBO baseline but which Congress will never actually allow to materialize.

David Stockman

So, there you have the four biggest drivers of higher gold prices now and in the foreseeable future:  war, de-dollarization, inflation, and debt.  All four are hopelessly intertwined, each powering the others.

Other less visible developments will add to the fuel-propelling gold higher, little-noticed financial annoyances like the war on cash and major destructive forces like the unstoppable spread of state socialism.

Don’t wait any long to protect yourself, your family, and your wealth with gold and silver.


Don’t Be Taken in By the So-Called “Strong Dollar” Flapdoodle!

If it is so strong, why does it buy less and less?

Headline, the Wall Street Journal, June 4, 2024:   The Dollar Is at Its Strongest Since the 1980s. Can It Last?

Sorry, but it’s flapdoodle.  Gobbledygook.  Gibberish.  Bafflegab.

Or to put it in more serious terms, it’s Newspeak.

George Orwell coined that term in his uncannily prescient novel 1984.  Newspeak is a language of simplified grammar and limited vocabulary designed to narrow the range of critical thinking.

The WSJ provides a caption to a photo in its “strong dollar” story: “The U.S. dollar has defied analysts’ expectations and appreciated again this year relative to a basket of other currencies.”

It should have said “The U.S. dollar depreciated again this year relative to a basket of groceries.”  

The WSJ can get away with calling it a strong dollar because they are a financial newspaper.  And it is true that if you are importing Mercedes, the exchange value of the dollar matters.  Chances are if you are importing foreign goods, or exporting US goods, you are very much aware of currency differentials and that you are hedging them when you need.  

But for the sake of clear communication, the term “strong dollar” should go in the deleted file.  Especially since most of us at any given time aren’t importing Mercedes.  

The financial press gets away with it as a sort of faux sophistication: “Our readers know what we mean!”

Some do.  But the real damage is done when the rest of the financially clueless media pick up on it.  So, the rest of then repeat ad nauseum on talk shows and general newscasts that the dollar is strong.  The people who hear that pass it on in conversation at work or to their neighbors.  

But even the financial press should be careful not to sound like toadies of the government.  After all, they don’t say Tesla was “strong” today or Ford was “weak.”  They say those stock prices are up or down, higher or lower.

To call the dollar strong is wildly misleading.  The dollar can only be said to be strong when compared to other currencies that are constantly losing real value.  The WSJ story came hard on the heels of Mexico electing some hard leftist president.  Her father was a communist and it is not clear where she differs from Karl Marx.  Because people like her destroy wealth and ruin currencies, the Mexican peso immediately fell, down as we write about 9 percent.  A peso down would mean the dollar, comparatively speaking, is marginally higher. But because Mexico elects a socialist (more trouble on our southern border!) the dollar is strong? Don’t kid yourself!

If currencies were ships, and Mexico’s ship was sinking at a nine percent rate and the US ship was sinking at a 3 or 4 or 5 percent rate, would you say the US ship is seaworthy?

The dollar isn’t strong at all.   It is weak.  Extraordinarily weak. 

That is because the function of a currency is to allow people to purchase things.  With that in mind, here is a 10-year chart of the US dollar’s purchasing power:

It doesn’t look particularly “strong,” does it?

Nevertheless, they say, “the dollar is at its strongest since the 1980s.”  When it bought a heck of a lot more than it does today.

So, when you hear the media tell you the dollar is strong, you’d better compare it to something real like the price of gold.

Those who do that are thinking for themselves despite the media’s Newspeak.  And they are buying gold.


Existential Threats Facing American Economy, Health, IQ, and Education

Here is just a short list of the major – some might say existential – threats we Americans are facing.  

They all have the same cause.  It’s not hard to figure out.  It‘s not because of the alignment of Jupiter and Mars.  It’s not because of subversion by space aliens.  

They are all caused by Washington and our growing left-wing national ethos.

All of them.

Here’s a rundown.

Our lifespans appear to be growing shorter.  “The numbers are shocking.”

Harvard School of Public Health, April 13, 2023 – U.S. life expectancy has declined to 76.4 years, the shortest it’s been in nearly two decades, according to December data from the CDC….

[Dean Michelle Williams] noted that younger people in America are dying at higher rates than their counterparts in other high-income countries and that the U.S. also has among the highest maternal and infant mortality rates among upper-income countries.

American IQs are falling.  “The first time ever.”

The New York Post, May 3, 2024 – A report from 2023 revealed the depressing reality — that the average intelligence test score fell from 100 to 98, a dismal, two-point decline after a previously uninterrupted 30-point rise that began in 1905.

American public schools are a national disgrace.  “In public education, we reward mediocrity and discourage excellence.”

The Discovery Institute, July 11. 2023 – Detroit Public Schools [are ranked] the worst performing of all 26 large city districts, with just 5 percent of their eighth-grade students rated proficient in reading and only 3 percent in math. What is surprising is the Detroit Public Schools Community District rated 99 percent of Detroit’s teachers as “highly effective” or “effective,”

Teacher[s] cannot be fired for poor performance. Consequently, evaluations have little or no meaning. Not only can teachers not be fired, but incompetent teachers will make more money next year as they gain another year of seniority and an automatic raise.

The American Dollar Is Worth Less Each Year – “Inflation hits 20 percent under Biden.”  

The Hill, May 15, 2024 – Inflation under President Biden hit a cumulative 20 percent. The dollar’s value has plummeted under his watch. The Bureau of Labor Statistics also confirmed that the consumer price index is resurgent and growing faster than average wages. Combined with weak GDP growth, this data shows the U.S. economy is reentering stagflation.

You can’t personally do much about most of these problems.  Crowded hospital waiting rooms and strained facilities can be your problem in an emergency.   You can be victimized by falling IQs and failing schools if underqualified candidates are made airline mechanics, air traffic controllers, or are given a host of other jobs.

And you can’t possibly do much about America’s economic destruction.  Millennials are expected to be the first generation to earn less than their parents.  Two of three middle-class respondents say their income is falling behind the cost of living.

But you can do something – and do it at once! – about the collapse of the US dollar’s purchasing power.

It’s like emergency medical workers performing triage:  They sort out and prioritize the injured.  What must they immediately treat?  What comes first?

In the case of these existential crises, the first and more urgent problem that can be addressed immediately is to protect yourself from ongoing currency failure.  You can insulate yourselves from the criminal mismanagement of the dollar, its quantity and quality, by investing in gold and silver.  Both have records of superior performance as money that goes back thousands of years.

Speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals professional.  He can help you achieve the protection you need in the days ahead.  


Here Comes Another Wave of Inflation

It’s a purchasing power calamity!

Brace yourself!  Another huge wave of inflation is approaching!  The purchasing power of your savings is about to get swamped once again.  

So far the purchasing power of the US dollar has lost about 20 percent of its value during the Biden presidency.  But the Biden presidency is not over yet!  Brace yourself for more Biden inflation and brace your savings with gold and silver.

The gold and silver markets are saying another wave of inflation is about to hit!

Here’s what is going on:

Wholesale prices are running hot.  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported recently that the Producer Price Index accelerated to its highest level in a year.  Producer prices are a leading indicator of coming consumer prices because producers pass along their higher costs.  Stated differently, today’s wholesale prices are tomorrow’s consumer prices.  

Rising commodity prices mean higher consumer prices, too.  

Copper is one of the leaders in rising commodity prices, but others include coffee and chocolate, coal, natural gas, soybeans, wheat, coal, milk, orange juice, and butter.

Reporting that the Commodity Research Bureau index just hit its highest level in 13 years, the Committee to Unleash Prosperity remarks that “anyone who thinks we have turned the corner on Bidenflation – and we know that includes at least half the economist in Washington – should have their head examined.”

Get ready for another wave of Biden inflation and for the purchasing power of your savings to fall even more.  

Don’t get caught.  Make sure to protect yourself with gold and silver.  See us now!


Wealth Preservation with Gold

Suppose a hundred years ago some far-sighted benefactor, someone a few generations back, wanted to leave some wealth for their descendants – including you.  Would you be better off if they left you $10,000 cash in bills or $10,000 in gold?

A hundred years ago American money was gold. Americans commonly carried and conducted commerce in $20 gold pieces.  They were the coins of the realm.  But if you thought carrying them around – especially in great quantities – was inconvenient, you could use paper money.  A US $20 note issued by the Treasury was just a claim check or a warehouse receipt for gold.  If you wanted to, you could walk into any bank or go to the Treasury and exchange that paper $20 note for real gold.  No questions asked.

So your benefactor would have had a choice.  Which would you have wanted then to leave, paper or gold?

You probably don’t have to think about it too hard.  The US paper dollar has lost about 95 percent of its purchasing power since 1924.  

Someone naïve argued about that with us once.  “That’s impossible,” he said.  But figure it out for yourself.  Inflation officially reduced the dollar’s purchasing power by 3.4 percent last year.  It reduced it by 6.5 percent in 2022. And so on, year in and year out.

Here’s a shortcut.  Consumer prices are up about 20 percent since Biden was sworn in.  That means today’s dollar only retains 80 percent of the purchasing power it had in January 2021.

Add in more than a few years of year-after-year inflation along the way, and soon you will find that the loss of purchasing power really adds up!

If a thief broke into your bank account and stole 3.4 percent of it last year and 6.5 percent of it the year before and has been stealing from it every year of your lifetime, you might be upset.  You might call the authorities.  But there is no point in calling the authorities on what is happening to the dollar because it is the authorities who are doing it!

The $20 gold piece contained just a little less than an ounce of gold, at exactly .9675 ounces. Based on a recent gold price of $2,350, just the gold content of a $20 gold piece would be $2,274 ($2,350 x .9675 = $2,274).

So the price of gold has increased close to 113 times ($20 x 89 = 2260)!  Think about that in percentage terms.  Your gold has increased by 11,300 percent!  That’s an average of 113 percent a year!

(The story is even better than that because, thanks to their rarity, desirability, and for other reasons, investors and collectors prize those beautiful U.S. gold coins beyond just their gold content.  Ask your Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver professional about this.)

As for the paper money?  Well, it lost most of its purchasing power.  That is the common fate of unbacked paper money throughout time.

So by now, even if you had never thought about our question before, you will have doubtlessly concluded that you would have wanted your would-be benefactor a hundred years ago to leave you real gold instead of paper money.  

Our story says something about real money and wealth preservation in this day and age. 

That’s only part of the story, that honest precious metal currencies hold their value.  So with the clear interest that the people have in a reliable form of money that holds its value, why do governments hate gold and silver money?  Why is it that the more dishonest and corrupt they are, the quicker they turn to printed or digitally printed money?

That, as they say, is the rest of the story.  We’ll write more about that one of these days, but if you’d like to cut to the chase and get the answer to that and your other questions about wealth preservation, speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals advisor today!


Look Who’s Buying Gold Big Time!

To us, the real estate bubble was blindingly obvious.  That is why we tend to keep an eye on those who also saw it coming.  Ron Paul is a case in point.  Not only did he see it coming, he famously explained in Congress and in detail exactly how it would unfold.

And so it did.

Now two important figures in the investment world who made their chops (and untold millions of dollars) calling the housing bubble back then are turning to gold.

Michael Burry and John Paulson. A new Business Week article says, “Michael Burry and John Paulson hit the jackpot when they called the housing crash. Now they’re betting on gold.”

Michael Burry was made famous in the movie about the bursting of the mortgage bubble, The Big Short.    

Burry, who was played by a scruffy-looking Christian Bale in the movie, made himself and the investors in his fund hundreds of millions of dollars by shorting mortgage credit instruments.  

Burry was also on our radar screen in 2022.  While the Fed was patiently explaining transitory inflation, Burry was tweeting furiously about inflation on our doorstep.  He was right and the Fed officials have been making excuses ever since about the highest inflation in more than 40 years.

John Paulson is the head of Paulson & Co., a major investment firm.  He made billions by spotting the housing bubble in 2007.  Wikipedia says he made another $5 billion in 2010 primarily investing in gold. 

About a year ago we cited Paulson in these pages on global de-dollarization:   “There has been a significant increase in demand from central banks to replace dollars with gold, and we’re just at the beginning of that trend. Gold will go up and the dollar will go down, so you’d be better off keeping your investment reserves in gold at this point.”

Good call, John!

Now to keep you up to date, Business Week reports that Burry has placed an $8 million stake in gold.  And after examining his firm’s SEC filings, Business Week tells us that Paulson also has big bets on gold.

As Paulson told an interviewer last year, “We’re at the beginning of trends that are going to increase the demand for gold, and inflation and geopolitical tensions will determine the rate at which gold increases. This year gold will appreciate versus the dollar, and also over a three, five, and ten-year basis.”


The Silver Opportunity

We don’t want any of our friends and clients to miss out!  

Everywhere you look, commodities are screaming higher and higher.  Gold, coffee, chocolate, uranium, copper, nickel.   And silver!

But nowhere in the commodity complex is the opportunity greater than in silver!  Try taking delivery of investible quantities of chocolate and storing it for years to come.  How about uranium?  Now there’s a real liquidity problem.  

silver money

Yet silver checks all the boxes.  It is among the most liquid and widely traded commodities, perfect for individual investors.  When you buy silver of .999 percent purity, the standard for investment bars and most coins, you don’t have to have the silver assayed when you choose to sell.  Good luck with liquidity for investment-grade quantities of coffee.

Silver has a history of thousands of years as a monetary commodity.  In fact, silver has been used as money longer and in more places than gold itself.

At the same time, its industrial use for things like electronics and photovoltaics grows every year.  Silver industrial demand rose 11 percent last year.  And last month silver stockpiles tracked by the London Bullion Market Association fell to the second-lowest level on record.

As we write this, gold prices are up 17.5 percent year-to-date while silver has surged by 35 percent during the same period!

With that move, silver remains at bargain prices.  It is still way below its all-time highs.  Silver was $50 an ounce in 1980. That was 44 years ago.  Are there any other major industrial commodities that are 40 percent below their price of 44 years ago?  Don’t kid yourself! 

Silver reached highs of about $50 in both 2011 and 2012.

Lately, our radio messages and blog posts have focused on alerting our friends and clients about the opportunites unfolding in the silver market.

Want to learn more? Just pick up the phone and call 602-633-8315 to speak with a precious metals expert anytime Monday through Friday, from 9 AM-5 PM MST!


Don’t Rely on a Dollar-Dependent Retirement

The headline on Yahoo! Finance reads, “Living on Edge: Nearly 90% of Retirees Worried Inflation Will Eat Away Savings.”

The story reports that a third of retired Americans are worried that they haven’t saved enough.  No surprise there.  89 percent describe themselves as deeply concerned about the erosion of their purchasing power by inflation.  As well they should be. You can not reply on a dollar-dependent retirement.

Add to that a crisis of confidence over the future of Social Security.  44 percent of non-retired Americans are afraid that Social Security will run out.  

Will it run out?  It already has run out!  The money you and millions of Americans paid into Social Security over your lifetime has been spent.  In its place, the politicians left an IOU.  

Great.  A government that can’t even pay its on-the-books visible debt of almost $35 trillion is whistling past the graveyard if it is pretending that it can pay its off-the-book hidden debts like Social Security.  Those hidden liabilities, conservatively estimated, come in at about $215 trillion – more than 6 times more than the already unpayable visible debt.

That is why we say don’t even think about a dollar-denominated retirement!

Consumer prices are up 20 percent – at least – since Biden became president.  We say at least because except for ever-changing statistical modeling price gimmickry, the inflation rate would be much, much higher.  John Williams at ShadowStats.com continues to track the inflation rate on the same statistical basis that prevailed before sketchy “hedonic” adjustments were figured in.  On that basis, the real inflation rate is 8 percent, which certainly tracks much closer to the real-world experience of families today.   An 8 percent inflation rate doubles the cost of consumer goods in just 9 years.   Try to maintain a retirement budget with that going on.

Let us illustrate the point one more way.  Between December 2019 and March 2024, the Bureau of Labor Statistics says the CPI increased by 21.5 percent.  How much has the price of a Big Mac gone up in the same period?

87.7 percent.

If we have made the point clear that one should not even thing about trying to survive a dollar-dependent retirement, we recommend you make an appointment with a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver professional to discuss a plan to prepare for the monetary crisis ahead with the world’s most enduring, most prized, and most desirable forms of money: gold and silver.


Financial Protection in Social Breakdown and Civil Disorder

It’s not something that people generally want to talk about – widespread civil chaos, lawlessness, and social collapse.  

But it goes hand in hand with the failure of the monetary system.  And it doesn’t take a Nostradamus to see the sign of something like that on the horizon.

Just the other day we noticed that hedge-funder Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, is noticing the same things.  Dalio told the Financial Times that he sees a 35 to 40 percent chance we incur a civil war. 

“We are now on the brink,” he said.  

The publishers’ description of the book The Next Civil War: Dispatches from the American Future reveals that the battle plans for the next civil war have already been drawn up. “Not by novelists, but by colonels.”

In times of chaos, the governing authorities will do anything to keep themselves in power and to expand their power. Under cover of calamity, governments do all kinds of unthinkable things and invoke unimaginable tyrannical powers.  They will target your wealth, bank and retirement accounts, and your property.  

But this discussion provides a good opportunity to reiterate that your core position in both gold and silver should consist of real metals in your possession.

Ron Paul believes that the developing economic crisis, the ending of the dollar’s global reserve status, unpayable debt, and the Fed printing money to cover the Washington scoundrel’s spending will be the triggering event for what many expect is coming.

“This will result in massive public unrest potentially resulting in violence, the rise of authoritarian movements on the left and right, and increasing authoritarianism,” says Dr. Paul.

Providing for yourself and your family with gold and silver in a period of lawlessness and economic chaos is essential.  A Republic Monetary Exchange precious metal expert can help you review and structure your portfolio for the fraying of social order.


Do You Hear the Bells and Buzzers Going Off?

They are saying “Buy More Gold!”

It’s not good when you get three stories like this all lined up in a row, all at once on a major new site.

It’s like getting three cherries in a row on a Las Vegas slot.  Except that it’s not a jackpot.  Quite the opposite.  Still, bells and alarms should start clanging and you need to take notice.

The other day all three stories lined up on the Drudge Report.  First of all, higher interest rates are costing the US Treasury a lot of money.  This story details that the Treasury spent $89 billion in interest payment to bond holders just in the month of March.  In case you wonder how much that is per minute,  a Yahoo News headline spelled it out for us:  “At $2 Million Per Minute, Treasuries Mint Cash Like Never Before.”  The financial press can spin it as a good thing that investors are getting interest income, but it will all be paid for by higher inflation since the government continues its wild deficit spending.

Speaking of inflation, next came the news from Business Insider that even people with six-figure incomes can’t seem to get ahead.  “Inflation is scrambling Americans’ perceptions of middle-class life,” it said.  The story reports that things that used to bc a part of middle-class America life appear to be ending.  Half of Americans don’t plan on taking a summer vacation because of the higher cost of living, while 38 percent says they wouldn’t be able to handle an unexpected expense of $1,000 or more.

While we’re digesting all that, we get more news that makes clear that the dollar isn’t what it once was.  What was it once?  Once in was as good as gold.  No more.  Today only gold is as good as gold, as China has figured out:  China Is Buying Gold Like There’s No Tomorrow first appeared on the New York Times webpage.  It reports on what we have called the biggest financial megatrend of our age, de-dollarization:  “In March, the People’s Bank of China added to its gold reserves for a 17th straight month. Last year, the bank bought more gold than any other central bank in the world, adding more to its reserves than it had in nearly 50 years.”  (Update:  New numbers just in for April:  China has now been adding to its gold reserves 18 months in a row!)

So there you have it, three back-to-back stories that are all related.  The Treasury is spending like crazy to borrow money it needs to stay afloat, the middle-class is in the crosshairs of the inflation squeeze, as it always is, and the world is turning to gold, as it always does.

Ding!  Ding!  Ding!  

We think the way things are lining up, you should be hearing alarm bells.  This is the time to make sure you have all the gold and silver you need for the crisis that is now underway.  A Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals professional can help you construct a portfolio for safety and profit.


Can the U.S. Financial Crisis Be Averted?

Sorry, too late.

You just can’t turn a $24 trillion economy over to someone a clueless as Joe Biden and expect things to go well.

How many examples do you need?  It was just last week the President claimed that inflation was 9 percent when he took office, but he got it on the run.

Not even close!

The big Biden lie was too much even for in-the-bag media outlets like CNN and the Washington Post which had to set the record straight.  To wit:

Inflation was 1.4 percent when Biden took office.  It raced to a 43-year high of 9.1 percent in a year and a half.

You just can’t entrust a $27 trillion economy to someone like Biden and expect a financial crisis to be averted.

A couple more examples?

Okay:

Biden wants to drive people out of internal combustion engines and into electric vehicles.  But at the same time, as analyst Michael Shedlock puts it, “Biden wants EVs so badly that he will quadruple tariffs on them.”  That makes a lot of sense.   The same kind of sense that in a housing affordability crisis, Biden slapped tariffs on Canadian lumber.  So, are we surprised that lumber prices have risen 32 percent? 

You just can’t turn a $27 trillion economy to someone like Biden and expect a financial crisis to be averted.

You’ve probably seen this video of Jared Bernstein, the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors.  If you haven’t, please watch it and share it with everyone you know.  Bernstein is utterly confused about how US monetary policy works.   He is Biden’s chief economic advisor.

If the blind lead the blind both shall fall in a ditch.

You just can’t turn a $27 trillion economy to someone like Biden and his advisors and expect a financial crisis to be averted.

You cannot trust a monetary system run by these clueless people.  Gold doesn’t need a Chairman of Economic Advisors.  Its value is intrinsic and enduring.


Make Sure You Have Plenty of Gold and Silver!

Ron Paul says, “Massive public unrest… violence… authoritarianism!”

Make sure you have plenty of gold and silver, because it’s not going to be pretty!

No one has a better track record than former Congressman and presidential candidate Ron Paul when it comes to foreseeing the results of government interventions.  Whether it is foreign policy like the Iraq war and the other regime change calamities, or economic like the housing bubble and inflation.

Now Dr. Paul is warning about the next economic crisis.  

“Disappointingly, but not surprisingly, Congress was too preoccupied spending billions more on military aid for foreign countries and banning TikTok to pay attention to the looming bankruptcy of the two largest federal entitlement programs,” says Dr. Paul.  “Many in Congress no doubt believe they can ignore the impending bankruptcy of Social Security and Medicare because they can count on the Federal Reserve to do the ‘dirty work’ of cutting real benefits and raising taxes. This result can be produced via the hidden, and regressive, ‘inflation tax.’”

Both the Social Security and Medicare funds covering hospital expenses will begin running red ink in 2035 and 2036, according to fund trustees.

Dr. Paul says that even though interest on the debt is now the third largest item in the federal budget, behind Social Security and Medicare and ahead of military spending, few in Congress are serious about cutting welfare or warfare. They believe the Fed will cover things over by printing money.  

The Federal Reserve’s purchase of federal debt will result in price inflation, says Paul.

It will also encourage more government spending by reinforcing the uniparty delusion that, as former Vice President Dick Cheney said, “deficits don’t matter.” The Federal Reserve’s inflationary policies artificially lower the interest rates, which are the price of money. The artificially low interest rates distort the signals sent to investors and entrepreneurs, leading to malinvestment. This creates bubbles resulting in illusionary prosperity. Eventually, economic reality will catch up with the Fed-created illusions and the bubbles will burst, causing an economic downturn.

The next economic crisis will likely either be caused by or result in a rejection of the dollar’s world reserve currency status. Congress will be forced to make drastic cuts in spending while the Fed will be enabled to monetize the debt. This will result in massive public unrest potentially resulting in violence, the rise of authoritarian movements on the left and right, and increasing authoritarianism.

-Ron Paul

During his long tenure in office, Ron Paul was the foremost monetary and gold authority on Capitol Hill.  “Those who truly want a monetary system free from political interference should join the movement to restore government’s constitutional limits and separate money and state.”

Until the Constitution is back on top, own gold and silver!


Stop Taxes on Gold and Silver Coins and Bullion!

U.S Representative Re-Introduces a Bill that Could Remove Taxes from Coins and Bullion

It is the most audacious flim-flam, for the government to make the nation’s legal tender so unreliable that people have to protect themselves from its devaluation, and then tax them punitively for successfully protecting themselves from it.  It’s like installing a clock on your front door, and then the government taxing you on valuables that aren’t stolen.

They intend to get you one way or the other.  But maybe they can be stopped!

U.S. Representative Alex Mooney (R-WV) is trying.  He has re-introduced The Monetary Metals Tax Neutrality Act (H.R. 8279).

Representative Mooney’s bill would remove all federal income taxation from gold and silver coins and bullion.

U.S. Representative (R) Alex Mooney

“My view, which is backed up by language in the U.S. Constitution, is that gold and silver coins are money and are legal tender,” Rep. Mooney said.  “If they’re indeed U.S. money, it seems there should be no taxes on them at all. So, why are we taxing these coins as collectibles?”

Of course, the Deep State Money Manipulators know the monetary performance of gold and silver is far superior to the made-up, unbacked, digitally-printed US dollar.  Legal tender laws are intended to force people to use fiat dollars instead of gold and silver, reminiscent of the way Kublai Khan forced his subjects in China to use mulberry bark with his imprint, while he requisitioned all the real money, gold, for himself.

No one ever has to pass a legal tender law to force people to choose superior money that retains its value.  They only pass legal tender laws to force people to use money of sketchy provenance and value.

The IRS also classifies gold and silver in the same category as artwork, baseball cards, and other so-called “collectibles.”  This applies a higher rate of capital gains taxation than other investments. It’s just another front in the war on gold.

Under Rep. Mooney’s bill, the Monetary Metals Tax Neutrality Act, precious metals gains and losses would not be included in any calculations of a taxpayer’s federal taxable income.  It states that “no gain or loss shall be recognized on the sale or exchange of (1) gold, silver, platinum, or palladium minted and issued by the Secretary at any time or (2), refined gold or silver bullion, coins, bars, rounds, or ingots which are valued primarily based on their metal content and not their form.”

Read the bill HERE.  Contact Congressman Mooney HERE.


Industrial Demand for Silver Could Push Prices Higher

Something is beginning to bubble in the silver market!

The year isn’t even half over and silver is already up more than 15 percent.  And yet it is still unbelievably inexpensive!  

But first, there is more going on in the silver market than just the insanity of Bidenomics.  More than Washington’s unpayable $34.6 trillion national debt.  There’s more than just the global dollar standard beginning to fray.

silver set to soar in 2018

There’s all of that.  It’s all rocket fuel for the next big silver move.  But there are also the supply/demand fundamentals for silver.  They are equally explosive!

The totals from 2023 are in. Industrial demand for silver is setting records.  Here are a couple of numbers that grabbed our attention.  

Industrial demand for silver rose 11 percent in 2023 to a new record high.  At the same time, overall silver supplies are down, including the biggest supply component, mine production.  

You might easily have predicted that silver for photovoltaic applications (solar cells) would be higher.  But would you have guessed that photovoltaic demand would jump an incredible 64 percent?  In just one year?

China figures heavily in the PV sector, and indeed total industrial silver demand from China climber 44 percent in 2023.

Earlier this year we cited one analyst who described silver as “stupidly cheap!”  The rising silver price confirms that he’s right.       

Silver is still way below its all-time highs.  Silver was $50 an ounce in 1980. That was 44 years ago.  Are there any other major industrial commodities that are 40 percent below their price of 44 years ago?  Don’t kid yourself! 

Silver reached highs of about $50 in both 2011 and 2012.

Our point is that silver today is more than 40 percent below its old highs last set a dozen years ago.  And there is one thing you need to know about the silver market.  When it takes off, it really takes off and even outperforms gold itself! 


More Federal Reserve Nonsense

So now the Federal Reserve has had to backpedal on its presumed interest rate cut this year.  That’s due to “a lack of further progress” on inflation says the new policy announcement.

The Deep State Money Manipulators are in one hell of a fix!  Again.

If they cut rates and loosen money, prices will keep climbing.  If they don’t cut rates, the economy could begin to stall as the decline in GDP suggests.

Wall Street knows that the stock market is driven by the creation of money and credit by the Fed, so the players are obsessed with the game of tea-leaf reading and “dot plots” that are supposed to be indications of what the Fed will do with rates at its next meeting and the one after that and the one after that…  They are so good for nothing, they make us laugh!

As recently as March the conventional wisdom was that the Fed would treat Wall Street to three interest rate cuts this year.  But what can it do when inflation is in rebound mode and the rest of the world, especially China, wants gold?

So here’s how the Fed hopes to walk the knife edge without falling off.  On the one hand, it intends to forego the rate cuts it has been dangling in front of the markets.  But on the other hand, beginning in June the Fed is actually going to ease back on “Quantitative Tightening,” its attempt to roll back some of the most frenzied money printing in US history.  From the Fed statement:

Beginning in June, the Committee will slow the pace of decline of its securities holdings by reducing the monthly redemption cap on Treasury securities from $60 billion to $25 billion.

For perspective, from 2008 to this time in 2022, the Fed’s assets – basically the money it “printed” digitally, the money it made up to buy things – ballooned by $8 trillion.  Realizing that all that money printing would create new world indoor record inflation, the Fed has been trying to undo some of it while it still can.  They set out a long-term schedule for tightening, but now have announced they intend to back off.  This means they want to loosen money and credit, but they are afraid that doing so with interest rates will be all too transparent, spurring faster price increases.  So, they’re going for the sleight-of-hand rate cut.

At the same time, Chairman Powell sent a clear signal the Fed intends to keep a close watch on the employment numbers.  “The employment goal now comes back into focus. So we are focusing on it,” said Powell.  That’s Fedspeak for “don’t forget this is an election year!”  A weak labor market would be very bad for President Biden and you know our assumption:  the Fed will heavily tilt policy to help Biden win reelection.

Monetary policy resembles an old-fashioned pinball machine as it bounces from bumper to bumper.  The Fed bounces from inflation to employment, from easing to tightening.  All along the way it essentially admits that it doesn’t know what it is doing.

There is no way out.  High rates are taking their toll.  The cost of funding US debt is soaring.  US manufacturing is in contraction, as is employment.  But prices keep climbing.  Crude oil is up by double-digits since the first of the year.  Gas is up more than 20 percent.  

“There is a lack of further progress” on inflation.  That’s not us.  That’s the Fed’s official statement.

Now, doesn’t owning gold make all the sense in the world?


Own Gold to Protect Yourself From Debt!

We Know what government promises are worth!

Gross Domestic Product is weak.  Inflation is strong.  That’s the latest from the government numbers.  But all those numbers are misleading.  They can be crunched, re-crunched, and inevitably revised.  The statistical components are changed at the drop of a hat to serve political interests.  And their assumptions are, well, bizarre to say the least.  Government spending is a component of GDP.  If the government deploys armies of bureaucrats that make the nation less productive, does that make sense as an addition to productivity?

But there is one number that is more or less reliable:  US government debt.   The government can try to downplay it by saying that some – a lot – of promises it made to people to pay them, things like Social Security, are not part of the debt.  Okay.  We know what government promises are worth.  But the basic debt itself, the money it must borrow to keep afloat, is pretty straightforward.

Today the total public debt is $34.6 trillion.  That’s over $100,000 per citizen.  This week when you drive by the elementary school in your neighborhood during recess look at all the little kids on the playground.  Each one of them owes $100,000, their share of Washington’s debt.  How are they going to pay their share?

We’re not trying to make you laugh!  But, as Bill Bonner writes, it “makes the $95 billion in ‘foreign aid’ — to people who don’t need it (Israel)… can’t achieve anything with it (Ukraine)… or have no real use for it (Taiwan) — even more out-of-line.  

You might like to see the Congressional Budget Office’s projection of the growth of federal debt on the chart from Visual Capitalist below.

Read it and weep!  But don’t forget that you can protect yourself with gold and silver.  Do you have all you need to get through the coming debt debacle?

You Will Own Nothing: Part II

A Former Treasury Official Says You Already Don’t!

In YOU WILL OWN NOTHING, Part I, we shared a video of a Canadian man trying to withdraw a few thousand dollars from his bank account.  The bank wanted a document of some sort to show what he was going to do with his money.

There is more of this sort of thing going around than most people suspect.  It is not just happening at the level of local banks.  A former US Treasury official suggests that you may have already lost ownership of your retirement and investment accounts on a national level.  You will own nothing!

Meanwhile, the US government is making clear to the rest of the world that their dollar holdings are only theirs when Washington says they can have them.

Locally.  Nationally.  Internationally.  Title to assets and control of monetary resources is under assault.  You don’t have to be Carnac the Magnificent to see where this is headed.

On the international front, Congress didn’t just pass a bill to give away $95 billion in foreign aid money we don’t have, it also included a provision that will allow Washington to steal billions of dollars owned by Russia.  Bill Bonner says that the measure is the equivalent of if France, in response to the US invasion of Iraq (remember the Weapons of Mass Destruction that didn’t exist?) had seized the bank accounts of Americans in Paris.

This is what is meant by the weaponization of the US dollar.  It is why US dollar owners around the world are growing wary of the dollar.  They fear correctly that they will own nothing!  

That fear is driving a move to more trustworthy alternatives.  It explains the move by foreign central banks to own more gold. Gold is the most trustworthy money in the world. It depends on no one’s promise.  Gold is its promise!

The US is undermining its own currency.  Washington is shooting itself and you in the foot.  That is because the value of the dollar has long been buttressed by its international reserve status.  Pull out the support system, and everything will cost you even more.

Paul Craig Roberts

What about your ownership of your investment and retirement accounts?  Paul Craig Roberts says, “you may have already lost ownership of your banking, pension, and investment accounts.”  

Roberts was an assistant secretary of the US Treasury in the Reagan administration and an associate editor of the Wall Street Journal.  He explains:

Your “ownership” has been reduced to permission to use your assets until the financial intermediary holding them gets into financial trouble. At that moment, they cease to be your property and become the property of the creditors of the intermediary that holds your accounts, whether it be Merrill Lynch, Schwab, Wells Fargo, TIAA, or whoever. Your dispossession was done quietly over many years by regulatory agencies. This is what Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum means when he tells you that “you will own nothing.” You already don’t.

So, there you have it.  Faith is collapsing in the property rights the people must have in their financial assets.  Internationally.  Nationally.  Locally.  You’ll own nothing… unless you own gold.


You Will Own Nothing: Part I

The only money you own is gold and silver in your personal possession!

You better watch this video.  Especially if you think you own what is in your bank account.

Ownership is the ability to call upon and dispose of assets as you desire or as agreed upon.  When you deposit your money into your bank account do you think you still own it?

Better watch this video from Canada…

During the collapse of major banks last year – Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, and others – clients reported personally intrusive inquiries and difficulties in making bank withdrawals.  It is a problem that we expect will only grow worse.

Gold is the most liquid financial asset in the world.  It is not dependent on counterparties, fund managers, bank managers, or Fed officials.  It is not susceptible to being frozen by bank holidays or by institutional bankruptcies.  

But this only applies to physical gold and silver you have in your possession.  It does not apply to “paper gold” or gold substitutes.  To learn more about the safety of gold, speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals professional today!


Here’s Why Central Banks Are Buying Gold

The World Bank is not even trying to hide it.  

Why are global central banks beating a pathway to the gold market?  Why are central banks an important force in driving the gold price to new all-time highs?  

We have called central bank de-dollarization and gold-buying one of the most important megatrends of our time.  Now a new World Bank publication spells out why this is happening, and it does so in a candid way that makes a powerful case for individuals to protect their wealth with gold.

The Gold Investing Handbook for Asset Managers was authored by Kamol Alimukhamedov, Deputy Managing Director of the Central Bank of Uzbekistan.  From the introduction:

In recent years, gold has regained its importance as a financial asset, with many investors using it as a hedge against inflation and market volatility. In addition, central banks and other financial institutions continue to hold significant amounts of gold as part of their reserve assets.

The role of gold as a reserve asset for central banks has been a significant driver of demand for the precious metal. Gold is also considered a safe haven asset during times of economic uncertainty and geopolitical turmoil, making it a popular among investors looking to hedge against market volatility.

Here are a couple of bullet points from the new World Bank handbooks…

  • Geopolitical risk is a major factor for asset managers to consider, especially in emerging markets. This is because geopolitical events can have significant impact on financial markets, as seen in the freezing of the assets of the Iranian Central Bank ($1.9 billion) in 2010, the Kazakhstan National Bank ($22.6 billion) in 2017, the Venezuelan Central Bank ($342 million) in 2020, the Afghan Central Bank ($7 billion) in 2021, and most recently the Russian Central Bank (estimated at $258 billion).
  • The belief is that the Russian sanctions create incentives for central banks to abandon the dollar in favor of gold and for governments to cash in their dollar reserves for stocks of other commodities. Overall, the recent sanctions against Russia highlight the importance of gold as a reserve asset. 
  • Gold’s liquidity surpasses the major financial assets and government debt markets of many developed economies.
  • Gold has proven to be a reliable and stable investment over the medium and long term.  Since the fall of the “gold standard” in 1971, gold has delivered an average annual return of around 11 percent, with a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8 percent.
  • Gold offers positive real returns during periods of low, moderate, and high inflation (Figure17). Notably, aggregate US Treasuries produced positive real returns only during periods of low inflation, whereas broad US equities, while offering high returns during periods of low and moderate inflation, typically suffer from large losses when inflation exceeds 3 percent on a consistent basis.

For protection from geopolitical risk, from government policies that prevent you from the use of your own money, for liquidity, stability, and superior returns, speak to a Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals expert about adding gold to your portfolio.

Why is Gold Going Through the Roof?

Gold is going through the roof because the already unpayable US debt is, too!

After all, if there is no hope for US debt at $34 trillion today, how about when it reaches $141 trillion in 2054?  And that is where the Congressional Budget Office says we are headed!

$141 trillion is a lot of money!  How does a national government even begin to pay the interest on a debt that big?  You know the answer:  money printing!

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke was both candid and shameless about it just a few years ago:  “The US government has a technology, called a printing press, that allows it to produce as many dollars as it wishes at essentially no cost.”  

Look, from 2024 to 2054 the annual deficits will average 6.7 percent of GDP.  That is almost double their average over the last half-century!

By 2054 the deficit will hit 8.5 percent of GDP.

Says the CBO, apparent master of understatement, “Such large and growing debt would have significant economic and financial consequences.”

Among its other effects, it would slow economic growth, drive up interest payments to foreign holders of U.S. debt, heighten the risk of a fiscal crisis, increase the likelihood of other adverse outcomes, and make the nation’s fiscal position more vulnerable to an increase in interest rates.

When we want to print something, we have to buy inkjets, make sure there is plenty of paper in the printer and hit Control P.  Today the Fed’s legalized money printing is mostly digital.  It’s so easy now!  They don’t even have to cut down all those trees for paper like they used to do!  They must be environmentally friendly!

Make sure you have plenty of US gold coins, Maple Leafs, Krugerrands, other favorite coins, and gold bars!  And don’t forget the silver – bars and coins!  You’ll need it!


Washington’s Paper Money Counterfeiting Scheme!

Here’s a story we have told before, but with gold hitting so many all-time highs lately, it is one that deserves to be told again.

It begins with a serious economic crisis that is fast approaching.  Here’s a snippet from Fred Hickey (The High Tech Strategist) on April 2 that highlights just how fast things are spinning out of control.  In just the last 20 days, he writes, US government debt increased by $168 billion.  That is equal to the entire US deficit in 2002!  

This unrelenting gusher of red ink ensures that something like a “Crack-Up Boom” is fast approaching today.  

That is the name the great free-market economist Ludwig von Mises coined to describe the last stage of a currency breakdown:  The Crack-Up Boom.  In German, it is “Katastrophenhausse,” a catastrophe boom.

Because we think our friends and clients will need to know very soon, from his work Human Action, here is Mises’ description of the breakdown of a currency:

The characteristic mark of this phenomenon is that the increase in the quantity of money causes a fall in the demand for money…. The monetary system breaks down; all transactions in the money concerned cease; a panic makes its purchasing power vanish altogether. People return either to barter or to the use of another kind of money.

The course of a progressing inflation is this: At the beginning the inflow of additional money makes the prices of some commodities and services rise; other prices rise later. The price rise affects the various commodities and services, as has been shown, at different dates and to a different extent.

This first stage of the inflationary process may last for many years. While it lasts, the prices of many goods and services are not yet adjusted to the altered money relation. There are still people in the country who have not yet become aware of the fact that they are confronted with a price revolution which will finally result in a considerable rise of all prices, although the extent of this rise will not be the same in the various commodities and services. These people still believe that prices one day will drop. Waiting for this day, they restrict their purchases and concomitantly increase their cash holdings. As long as such ideas are still held by public opinion, it is not yet too late for the government to abandon its inflationary policy.

But then finally the masses wake up. They become suddenly aware of the fact that inflation is a deliberate policy and will go on endlessly. A breakdown occurs. The crack-up boom appears. Everybody is anxious to swap his money against “real” goods, no matter whether he needs them or not, no matter how much money he has to pay for them. Within a very short time, within a few weeks or even days, the things which were used as money are no longer used as media of exchange. They become scrap paper. Nobody wants to give away anything against them.

It was this that happened with the Continental currency in America in 1781, with the French mandats territoriaux in 1796, and with the German Mark in 1923. It will happen again whenever the same conditions appear. If a thing has to be used as a medium of exchange, public opinion must not believe that the quantity of this thing will increase beyond all bounds. Inflation is a policy that cannot last.

“Inflation is a policy that cannot last.”  

That is why gold has broken out for new higher ground at the same time Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has admitted once again that the Fed doesn’t really know what it is doing.

China, once America’s leading creditor, is fleeing US government bonds like they have the plague.  It is doing so at the same time that the governments need to borrow more money than ever.  

The Crack-Up Boom is nearing.   Do you have all the gold and silver you need?


Gold Has a Long Way to Go!

Why is gold setting new records?  

It’s a gold and silver bull market for all the reasons we’ve been saying.  As we write this, spot gold is about $2,400, while Spot silver is closing in on $29.00 per ounce. 

Why are precious metals so strong, especially in a rising interest rate environment?

Because other countries are fed up with dollar inflation. US debt has gone stratospheric, and the swamp creatures don’t care. Their cronies are stealing everything, and Washington wars are making us poorer.

Just a decade ago foreign investors and foreign central banks owned about 43 percent of all outstanding US government debt.  That has now fallen to about 30 percent.  

Washington has given no sign that it is going to do anything about soaring US debt.  On the contrary, its spending continues to grow ever more reckless. Some of that spending is driven by forces out of the hands of Capitol Hill.  Rising interest rates are hitting hard.  The average interest on US government debt is now 3.2 percent.  That may seem low, but it is the highest it has been since 2010 and as old debt at low rates matures, it has to be refinanced at prevailing rates that are much higher.     

It was in 2020 that gold first traded above $2,000 an ounce.  

As you can see, gold topped at just below $2,100 three times, in in August ’20, March ’22, and May ’23.  Now after four years of range-bound trading, gold has run through all the overhead resistance like a hot knife through butter.  

Spot silver has peaked at about $50 an ounce three times, first back in 1980, and more recently in 2011 and again in 2012.  

Don’t miss this bull market.  The US dollar is losing its global reserve might, while silver is still way below its all-time highs.  And gold has a long way to go!  


U.S. Debt Finally Got Away From Us

Washington is squirting red ink out from every pore.  The budget year is half over, finishing with a deficit of more than a trillion dollars.  

This will end badly.

We have been sounding an alarm in these posts about US debt and the fear that it would get away from us.  A few recent examples:

Another Ominous U.S. Financial Update

Time to Take a Look at the U.S. Fiscal Situation!

Uncle Sam’s Credit Score Keeps Falling

We believe the price of gold is confirming that Washington’s debt is every bit as bad as we have said.

Our opinions don’t have the force of law, but to us the US national debt is a matter of criminal negligence.  Washington has been indifferent to the debt as it grew, and now it is too late:  the national debt has gotten away from us!

From the Wall Street Journal

The Congressional Budget Office reported Monday that the federal budget deficit for the first six months of fiscal 2024, ending in March, was $1.064 trillion. Enjoy it, because you’ll eventually pay for it in higher taxes.

The problem isn’t a shortage of tax revenue, which rose 7% from a year earlier to $2.19 trillion. Individual income-tax and payroll-tax revenue both rose 6%, while corporate income taxes rose 35%. Is a 7% increase what President Biden would call a “fair share” increase? Probably not, because he wants to raise taxes even higher if he’s re-elected.

Interest on the national debt is now a trillion dollars a year.  That will go up as older debt, money borrowed at lower rates, matures and is refinanced at today’s and tomorrow’s higher rates.  

If Washington has to borrow more and more and more to keep itself afloat, it will have to attract borrowers at much higher interest rates, especially now with the world already beginning to express skepticism about the US dollar.  Jaime Dimon at JPMorgan Chase is talking about rates rising to 8 percent.  That’s nothing, but financing today’s US debt at 8 percent would cost $2.75 trillion a year,

There is no solution to the debt overhang.  Except legal counterfeiting.  The debt can only be paid by printing money.

It is a critical situation, one best met by owning gold and silver.  A US debt crisis and the soaring interest rates that will accompany it will crash banks, financial markets, real estate, small businesses, and consumers around the world.

As we wrote about the worsening debt situation last year, “Gold and silver are the only monetary assets that are not someone else’s liability. They are not dependent on someone else’s solvency, promises to perform, or honesty. Their value does not depend on the endorsement, propriety, or honesty of any State or institution. They are not like empty government promises.  They have no counterparty risk, no risk of rule changes, nonpayment, default, or bankruptcy by individuals, companies, financial exchanges, institutions, and banks—quite apart from being insulated from the risks of the Fed’s fiat dollar as well.”


End the Fed! Return to Gold!

Lew Rockwell Explains it All!

“The power to create money is the most ominous power ever bestowed on any human being. This power is rightly criminalized when it is exercised by private individuals, and even today, everyone knows why counterfeiting is wrong and knavish. Far fewer are aware of the role of the federal government, the Fed, and the fiat dollar in making possible the largest counterfeiting operation in human history, which is called the world dollar standard. Fewer still understand the connection between this officially sanctioned criminality and the business cycle, the rise and collapse of the stock market, and the continued erosion of the value of the dollar.”

Those are the words of one of the most important champions of sound money in this age.  

Lew Rockwell at Mises Symposium in 2017

Lew Rockwell has been extraordinarily effective in the fight, on the front lines of the battle, and always in key positions.  Lew was a former editorial assistant to the great free-market economist Ludwig von Mises, and later chief of staff for Congressman Ron Paul who was for many years the most knowledgeable monetary expert and gold standard supporter on Capitol Hill.  In addition, Lew is the founder and chairman of the Mises Institute, executor for the estate of Murray N. Rothbard, and editor of www.LewRockwell.com.  He is the author of Against the State and Against the Left.

Quite a resume. 

We want to share a few words from Lew’s recent piece on LewRockwell.com called Bring Back Gold!:

I would venture to guess that a sizeable percentage of even educated adults would be astounded to discover that the Federal Reserve does more than manage the nation’s money accounts, that, in fact, its main activity consists in actually creating money that distorts production and creates inflation and the business cycle. In fact, I would go further to suggest that many educated adults believe that gold continues to serve as the ultimate backing of our monetary system, and would be astonished to discover that our money is backed by nothing but more of itself.

We have our work cut out for us, to be sure, mainly at the educational level. We must continue to state the obvious at every opportunity, that the fiat system is exactly what it is, a system of paper money backed by nothing of real value. We must continue to point out that because of this, our economic system is not depression proof, but rather highly vulnerable to complete meltdown. We must continue to draw attention to the only long-term solution: a complete separation of money and state based on the commodity that the market has always chosen as money, namely, gold…

What has been true for hundreds of years remains true today. The clearest path to the restoration of economic health is the free market undergirded by a sound monetary system…. 

We want to tip our hat to Lew Rockwell, a great spokesman for both real money and free people.  As Lew says, “Let’s do everything we can to end the Fed and restore the real gold standard!”


Gold’s Record-Setting 2024 Continues

The price of gold has continued climbing to one new all-time high after another  

Is Powell playing politics?  See the gold and silver charts!

First Gold…

…and Silver

The latest moves have come in response to the Federal Reserve and its broad hints that Powell is playing election-year politics.  While inflation surprised officials on the high side in both January and February, at last week’s policy press conference Chairman Powell was surprisingly dovish about inflation.  Powell suggested that the Fed may even slow down its Quantitative Tightening policy of unloading US Treasury and other bonds.

That was all both gold and silver markets needed to hear, taking it as further evidence that we are in primary bull markets in both metals.

By the way, we are on record a couple of times making the point that the Fed can be expected to tilt the scales left in the upcoming election.  Here is what we wrote in January about the likelihood that the Fed would be in the tank for Biden: 

We told you last year that you can expect the Fed to put its big, fat monetary thumb on the scale to help re-elect Biden (or whoever the Dems turn to in Biden’s place).

Fact:  For every Republican economist at the Fed there are 10 Democrat economists.  The institution is so far left that it endangers the spinning of the Earth on its axis.  Surprised?  Of course not.  The very idea of a central bank is a communist dream.  

Karl Marx long ago included it as one of the 10 essentials of creating a communist regime: “Centralization of credit in the hands of the state, by means of a national bank with state capital and an exclusive monopoly.”

So of course, the Fed is thick with leftists.   And of course, it will tilt the game to get Biden re-elected.  It has done that sort of thing before!

We told you last year that you can expect the Fed to put its big, fat monetary thumb on the scale to help re-elect Biden (or whoever the Dems turn to in Biden’s place).

Fact:  For every Republican economist at the Fed there are 10 Democrat economists.  The institution is so far left that it endangers the spinning of the Earth on its axis.  Surprised?  Of course not.  The very idea of a central bank is a communist dream.  

Karl Marx long ago included it as one of the 10 essentials of creating a communist regime: “Centralization of credit in the hands of the state, by means of a national bank with state capital and an exclusive monopoly.”

So of course, the Fed is thick with leftists.   And of course, it will tilt the game to get Biden re-elected.  It has done that sort of thing before!


Another Zimbabwe Dollar… Backed By Gold?

As Zimbabwe’s latest attempt at a currency collapses – this would be the sixth one since 2008 – the country’s leaders are watching it fall and hinting that the next Zimbabwe dollar will be gold-backed.

Riiiight!  Of course it will!!!!

Bloomberg News:

The country’s local dollar has weakened against the US dollar every day in 2024, sending the price of a single loaf of bread from Z$6,105 to Z$19,357 in a mere 11 weeks. Such a loss of purchasing power has historically pushed the central to intervene bank and arrest the slide, but this time, there has been no action….

President Emmerson Mnangagwa announced this February his government will introduce a “structured currency.” Then, Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube said it may be backed by gold and the central bank postponed its monetary-policy statement to give final touches to the plan.

There are no gold-backed government currencies anywhere in the world.  None.  It is a symptom of the dishonesty of our age.  While it is inevitable that people – given enough government currency debauchment – will start to trade in gold among themselves around government’s monetary systems – there is zero chance that Zimbabwe will introduce a gold-backed currency.  

Of course, Zimbabwe is a stunning case history for the brazenness of its monetary crimes, its policies are only different in degree and not in kind from those of the US.  And for the same reasons that economist Peter Earle with the American Institute for Economic Research identified in the above epigram:  inflation is a tool for giving favors to cronies and buying votes, and because the people don’t understand it, governments and politicians can blame it on outside forces.

Bloomberg:

Even when people want to use it, the Zimbabwe dollar can hardly buy anything. The highest denomination, the Z$100 note, must be carried in large wads to carry out the smallest of transactions….

Zimbabwe suspended publishing inflation figures after July 2008, when the measure reached an annual 231,162,000%.

If you want to read the story of the currency inflation that made Zimbabwe the world’s laughingstock, read my book REAL MONEY FOR FREE PEOPLE!  The American Gold Story.   It’s an important guide to wealth protection and profit in these troubled days.  Stop by our office, we’ll give you a complimentary copy.


Another Ominous U.S. Financial Update

It’s time again to update our friends and clients on the financial situation of the US government.  

We are neither surprised nor pleased with what we have to report.  While no one likes to be the bearer of bad news, despite what the lapdog press tells you the situation is growing grim.

We have already shared the headline story with you, that US debt is growing by a trillion dollars every one hundred days.  

The deficit, just for February alone, was $298 billion, up $36 billion, or 14 percent over February 2023.

Meanwhile, as we write, a $1.2 trillion 1,012-page omnibus spending bill covering an estimated 70% of discretionary government spending, is before the House of Representatives.

Michael Shedlock, MishTalk, calls it a Republican humiliation:

  • Republicans said no more omnibus massive bills: Failure
  • Republicans demanded budget cutbacks: Failure
  • Republicans said they would restore order: Failure
  • Republicans said they would pass bills without Democrats: Failure
  • Republicans said no more continuing resolutions: 3 Failures

It is a legislative horror story, loaded with leftist pork, woke spending, and transfers overseas of wealth from the American people.  It is simply impossible to describe in a short space what an outrage it is.  Here are a few details reported by Jesse Waters:

  • $850k for a gay senior home
  • $15 million to pay college tuition for Egyptians.
  • $400k for a gay activist group to teach elementary kids about being trans
  • $500k for a DEI zoo
  • $400k for a group to give clothes to teens to help them hide their gender.  That includes giving 13-year-old children chest binders, tuck equipment, and “counseling” without parental consent.

Go here to see some additional details.

As if that is not enough, the new fiscal year, FY2025, is only about six months away, with a White House budget proposal that increases federal spending to $7.3 trillion, a jump for 4.7 percent over the current year.

Q.  Does Washington think money grows on trees?

A.  Yes.

The Congressional Budget Office projections that the debt will reach $50 trillion by 2033 and $60 trillion in 2034.  Former Reagan budget Director David Stockman is more realistic.  He expects the Washington UniParty to drive the debt to $100 trillion in the early 2040s. 

Other indicators:

The cost of auto insurance is skyrocketing, up 21 percent last year.  The Wall Street Journal reports that credit card interest rates are near record highs.  Delinquencies are rising.

At the same time, home affordability has collapsed to the lowest level on record.

One other dirty little secret is the situation at the Federal Reserve.  After the private chefs and limousines, the palatial offices and private jet travel, an incredibly bloated staff of bureaucrats, and the money it throws at the economics profession to keep them all endorsing its fiat monetary fraud, the Fed is supposed to send to the Treasury the money it makes in its monetary operations.  How is it doing on that front?  Not well.  As economist Judy Shelton wrote recently, it is actually helping to widen the deficit:

The Fed’s main tool for raising its target interest range is to increase the “administered rates” it pays to commercial banks and money-market mutual funds on the roughly $4 trillion they hold in cash accounts at the Fed. Last year the Fed’s interest expense amounted to an unprecedented $281 billion—exceeding its $164 billion in interest income—with the difference paid out of funds that would otherwise be remitted to the U.S. Treasury.

To appreciate the fiscal effect of the Fed’s operating losses: The Biden administration’s budget for fiscal 2023 projected $516 billion in Federal Reserve “earnings” to be included as receipts for the 2023-32 period.

How America’s financial situation has been allowed to deteriorate so fast is a story for future historians.  But the story for today is how can so few people see how fast it is falling apart.  

For now, buy gold and silver.  And hold your breath.  Things are moving very fast.


$15,000 Gold by 2026? Jim Rickards Says Yes.

$15,000? Here’s Why!

Gold expert and best-selling author James Rickards says that gold will skyrocket, reaching $15,000 an ounce by 2026 or sooner.

Now, with its recent surge to all-time highs, gold is attracting new attention from analysts eager to get in front of the parade with higher gold price forecasts.

But Rickards forecast is not new.  He reiterates it in the face of the last price advances to assure his readers that he is not just jumping on the gold bandwagon, but that his call is based on his analysis of prior gold bull markets:  “This gold price forecast is based on the best available tools and models that have proved accurate in many other contexts.”

The prior gold bull markets that Rickard uses to forecast this bull market include the one from August 1971 – when Nixon severed the dollar’s last tie to gold – to January 1980.  During that run gold exploded from $35 an ounce to $800, for a 2,200 percent gain.

Rickards dates the second gold bull market from $25o an ounce in August 1999 to $1,900 12 years later, in August 2011.  That was a gain of 670 percent.

Now we are in a third gold bull market, says Rickards:

The third bull market in gold began on Dec. 16, 2015, with gold hitting a bottom of $1,050 per ounce at the end of the prior bear market. Since then, gold has rallied to about $2,187 per ounce as of today.

If we take a simple average of the price gains and durations of the two prior bull markets in gold, we arrive at a 1,435% gain over a period of 10.2 years.

Applying that gain and duration to a baseline of $1,050 per ounce beginning in December 2015 leads to a gains projection for this bull market of $15,070 per ounce by August 2026.

We can attest that Rickards has not cherry-picked evidence to make an exceptionally bullish case.  Those of us in the markets at the time witnessed gold trades as high as $850 in January 1980.  

Rickards concludes, “Using the history of gold bull markets as a guide, a dollar price of gold of $15,000 per ounce in under three years is not that big a stretch.”

We agree because the price of gold is a referendum on the quantity and quality of the US dollar.  


The US Dollar System is Being Weaponized Against You

Some are leaving the dollar.  You might want to think about it, too!

Charles de Gaulle, the former Premier of France, called the global dollar system America’s “exorbitant privilege.”  Or maybe he didn’t.  Maybe with was a French finance minister.

But if de Gaulle hadn’t said it himself, he could have because he understood that it would end up fleecing the rest of the world.  In fact, de Gaulle sent his navy to pick up the French gold that was being stored by the United States.

The dollar’s exorbitant privilege of being the reserve currency of the world made Americans a little better off in some ways than they might have been.  It created an artificial demand for dollars, allowing the US treasury to borrow more cheaply than it otherwise could have done.

But such privileges don’t last more than a couple of centuries.   And now our privilege is expiring in half the usual lifespan.  Why?  Because the Deep State has weaponized the dollar.  Instead of being a neutral unit of accounting and trade, like gold, the US freezes, appropriates, and confiscates dollars belonging to other countries.  It prohibits them from using, spending, or disposing of dollars they own.  

To the extent foreign nations hold dollars, they are vulnerable to the whims of Uncle Sam and its often senseless foreign policy.  And they know it.  A “substantial percentage” of foreign central banks surveyed by Invesco reported concerns about the way the US and its minions froze almost half of Russia’s $650 billion gold and foreign exchange reserves.   

No country wants to keep wealth in a currency that can deprive it of its use unilaterally.  Like the dollar.  Imagine agreeing to keep money in a bank or brokerage account that can suddenly just shut you out.

Now Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell is being cagey with one congressman, Alex Mooney, R-W.Va., who is asking specific questions about foreign nations’ repatriating their gold and how much gold the Fed is holding.

We’ll let HeadlineUSA tell the story:

The Fed chairman told Mooney that the Federal Reserve does not own gold but holds it as a custodian for other entities—a fact the congressman presumably already knew. Powell also said that the Fed serves as a custodian for a “small portion” of the U.S. government’s gold, telling Mooney that “any questions you may have about such gold are best directed to the Treasury Department.” Rep. Mooney’s questions were not about the Treasury’s gold [emphasis added].

To Chris Powell, secretary-treasurer of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, the Fed chairman’s responses to a sitting member of Congress are not only unacceptable but also telling.

“The refusal of the chairman of the Federal Reserve Board even to acknowledge, much less reply to, the questions of a member of Congress about the repatriation of gold from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York confirms that something really big is going on with gold internationally,” Powell said in an email to Headline USA.

President Biden recently announced the imposition of an additional 500 financial sanctions on Russia.  Altogether the US has some 4,000 sanctions in place against Russia.  Russia has developed workarounds for most of them.  It is clear that sanctions have hastened the development of alternatives to the US-controlled, dollar-based SWIFT account settlement system.  The effect of the American sanctions being wielded so promiscuously makes it appear that the global dollar standard is not so much failing as it is committing suicide.  

Washington is killing American prosperity.  It long ago killed the good-as-gold US dollar.  It is doing untold harm on many other fronts in addition to now destroying the dollar reserve standard.  It has declared foolish wars on the internal combustion engine, free trade, individual meritocracy, financial privacy and much more.  

Our political classes have the Midas touch in reverse.  They are turning everything they touch into toxic waste.  They will bring the dollar down and impoverish the American people.

We are in the business of helping people like you protect your wealth and yourself from their madness. Let us help.


John F. McManus, R.I.P.

“You know the Founders wrote the Constitution “to bind down the government from mischief,” said Jefferson.  Then they added the Bill of Rights, and you know what those ten amendments say:  The government shall not… shall not… shall not… shall not… all the way up to the marvelous Tenth Amendment that said if we forgot anything, you can’t do that either!”

– John F. McManus, speaking at the Ron Paul Presidential Campaign 
“Rally for the Republic,” 2008.

It is with great personal sadness that we note the passing of John F. “Jack” McManus on March 4.

Jack was a friend of more than 50 years.  He was also a great patriot, a mentor, a client, and a personal inspiration. 

Upon graduating from Holy Cross with a degree in physics, Jack served his country proudly as an officer in the US Marine Corps.  In 1966 Jack took a position with the John Birch Society as a teacher, a writer, and a speaker.  He rose to become the organization’s President from 1991 – 2015 and President Emeritus thereafter.

The John Birch Society is one of the most misunderstood political advocacy groups in modern American history.  It is sufficient here to say that when you see American sovereignty subordinated to multinational organizations, and promiscuous and unconstitutional American regime change wars around the world that cost the American people their future well-being, you are seeing something the JBS fought valiantly against for many years.  When you note the ascendency of a few powerful corporate entities exercising undue influence over Washington and seeking always to suppress the free speech rights of Americans, you are noting the very crony capitalism that the JBS warned of.  When you watch the Federal Reserve’s long-term destruction of the US dollar and the bailout again and again of the influential money center banks at the people’s expense, you should remember that the JBS stood firmly against all of this corruption and abuse long before others began to awaken.

Jack McManus was at the forefront of all of these battles.  He was the right man for the job.  He was a tireless champion of American freedom and prosperity, and he was – as they say in the area around  Boston where he lived – “wicked smart.”

I last talked with Jack some months back when his wife of 65 years, Mary, passed away. It is a reminder to me and perhaps to others not to allow the busy activities of daily life to prevent us from being in more regular contact with those we love.  

In addition to our long friendship, I will always be grateful to Jack for his supporting me in devotion to the traditional Roman Catholic faith we shared.  At the same time, Jack often said, when a fellow patriot preceded him in death… “America has lost one of its sons”.  I echo his sentiments of him.

Jack and Jim at RME in 2013

Please pray for the repose of the soul of John F. McManus, who entered into eternity this week.  


What Else Are They Lying to You About?

Inflation, for sure!

Well surprise, surprise!

Last week even the New York Times has provided details about that “a C.I.A.-supported network of spy bases constructed in the past eight years that includes 12 secret locations along the Russian border.”

That’s the sort of thing that has been generally denied for a long time.

And whatever happened to those secret bioweapons labs the US had in Ukraine?  And who bombed the Nordstream pipelines?  And who forged the documents about WMDs in Iraq?

And what about all the lies about Covid?  

To tell you the truth, that’s not our beat.  Our job is to help you protect your wealth with gold and silver and keep you informed about what the monetary and fiscal authorities are doing to you.  Believe me, all that keeps us plenty busy!

But you must wonder what else the people are being deceived about.  The manipulation of numbers and statistics about the economy is always a good place to look for a spin job.

Here’s an example.  Joe Biden has been president for three years now.  During that time the Consumer Price Index has risen 18 percent.  That is criminal-scale inflation and should be enough to toss any president out of office.  But inflation is worse than that.

The Consumer Price Index has always been sketchy and used to hide the real cost of living.  So forget 18 percent overall consumer price inflation and its aggregate number.  Here are the government numbers for the things people actually spend their money on.  Things like homes and food and gas:

Rent up 19.5 percent.  Groceries up 21.5 percent.   Energy up 32.3 percent.  Gas up 34.6 percent.  Mortgages up 66.5 percent.  

Meanwhile, they are going to be coming for your retirement plan soon.  A recent article on Bloomberg News was headlined, “Your 401(k) Will Be Gone Within a Decade”:

There has been a brewing intellectual movement to get rid of the 401(k) for several years, with scholars on both the right and left questioning its value. And as the federal government gets increasingly desperate for new sources of revenue, the tax treatment of 401(k)s is a likely target. 

Now, we’re not psychic. But if you’d like to know where to look for the next round of Washington deceptions, we suggest the upcoming votes on spending bills and measures to fund the government.

No matter what they say, runaway Washington spending will not be brought to heel in the final plan.  No matter what they say.

We say don’t be victimized by Washington’s sleight of hand, deceptions, and lies.  Get your hard-earned money to someplace safe:  gold and silver.


Gold is the Answer to Global Debt

Global debt is soaring!  Up $15 trillion last year!

Uh oh!  Unpayable debt leads to money printing.  That’s just the government playbook.

 The Institute of International Finance, a global association of financial institutions, tracks and analyzes global capital flows and debt trends.  It reports that “over $15 trillion of additional debt was added to the global debt mountain just last year.  That brings total global debt to a new record high of $313 trillion.”

Let us remember J.P. Morgan’s words, that gold is money. Everything else is credit. 

All of this debt, not to mention other undisclosed leverage like derivatives that can come topping down in a crisis, represents a lot of precarious credit resting on a tiny amount of real liquidity, gold.

Economist Daniel Lacalle calls this a “ticking time bomb for the global economy.”  He writes:

Bloated public debt is a burden on the economy, making productivity stall, raising taxes, and crowding out financing for the private sector. With each passing year, the global debt figure climbs higher, the burdens grow heavier, and the risks loom larger…

Citizens are led to believe that lower growth, declining real wages, and persistent inflation are external factors that have nothing to do with governments, but this is incorrect. Deficit spending is printing money, and it erodes the purchasing power of the currency while destroying the opportunities for the private sector to invest. The entire burden of higher taxes and inflation falls on the middle class and small businesses.

Lacalle concludes, “The end of the United States dollar will not come from external threats but from the irresponsible actions of its own government. Cheap debt is always exceedingly expensive.”

At the risk of repeating ourselves, they can’t print gold.  


The Midas Touch!

The following graphic is from Visual Capitalist.  It displays the top 11 countries by gold reserves as of September 2023, based on data from Central Banks, the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the World Gold Council.  It says, “In 2023, amid uncertainty about US interest rates and continued geopolitical risks, the metal once again demonstrated its importance by hitting a new record in December.”

These are the conventionally accepted numbers.  We want to note our reservations.  First of all, the Federal Reserve strenuously resists auditing.  Similarly, the US government’s gold holdings, such as those at Fort Knox, go unaudited.  We find that especially peculiar since by law every public company in the US must submit financial statements each year audited by certified auditors.

Shouldn’t the same be required of the government?  If it is sauce for the goose, it should be sauce for the gander.

Secondly, the is a widespread belief among knowledgeable people that China goes to a great deal of trouble to conceal its gold holdings.  For more on that see our post from the past year CHINA KEEPS BUYING GOLD!

We think the reason China and other nations are turning to gold in the waning dollar economy are also good enough reasons for individuals to do the same!


Trump Calls Out the Dollar

Our currency is losing its dominance!  Get ready!  Get gold!

“Our country is going to hell and we’re not going to be the big boy,” Trump said. 

Well, he got that right.  It reminds us of the old expression that he who has the gold makes the rules.  The US Treasury says we have a lot of gold, but like the Federal Reserve itself, America’s gold has not been audited.  Other countries are acting on their desire to “make the rules.”  So, they are building their gold reserves.

Trump, on Fox Business a few months ago, made clear that he was talking about the US dollar.  “We have power, but it’s waning. It’s waning in terms of our currency. And I’m not just talking about the value of our currency, I’m talking about our currency being used throughout the world.”

So, while Biden keeps making outrageous claims about Bidenomics, things like deficits don’t matter, Americans know better.  It is simply impossible to ignore that since Biden took office three years ago overall prices are up 17.9 percent, and 73 percent of Americans describe the economy as poor and getting worse.

While the US government has been hostile to gold, seeing it not as a source of our economic might, but as a superior competitor to the made-up digitally printed dollar, China has seen things differently.  It knows gold is real and can’t be made up.  That is why it has become the world’s largest gold producer and gold buyer.  

The US government on the other hand led a decades-long crusade against gold, including dumping into the hands of the International Monetary Fund.  US Treasury and IMF gold auctions were perversely designed not to realize as much as possible from their gold sales, as to drive the price of gold down.

That was true idiocy, a policy so nonsensical and against US interests, that it ended up powering the biggest gold bull market in history.

Trump seems to have an intuitive grasp of the centrality of gold, praising its monetary merits almost a decade ago: “Bringing back the gold standard would be very hard to do, but boy, would it be wonderful. We’d have a standard on which to base our money.”

This is what Trump told Lawrence Kudlow last August:

You look at our airports, you look at our terminals, you look at our filthy roads and broken roads and everything else, we’re like a Third World country.

We have something that’s very powerful and that’s our dollar.  But you take a look at what’s happening to it now with other countries not using it, and you know China wants to replace it with the Yuan, and it was unthinkable with us. Unthinkable. Would never have happened. Now people are thinking about it.

Remember, he who has the gold makes the rules!


Time to Take a Look at the U.S. Fiscal Situation!

And then stake out a long-term gold and silver position!

“Any way you look at it, interest costs on the national debt will soon be at an all-time high!” 

So says the Peter G. Peterson Foundation, a nonpartisan organization dedicated to addressing America’s long-term fiscal challenges.  They provide the following illustrations of the problem Washington has created.

Other major items in the 2023 national budget were easily bypassed by rising interest expenditures which totaled $659 billion.

As outsized as that interest expense is, the Congressional Budget Office says that this year, 2024, it will rocket 32 percent higher, to $870 billion. 

Interest expense will soon be the single largest US budget item – even bigger than Social Security, Medicare, or the war budget.

The Peterson report on rising federal interest expenses concludes with this warning: “By any measure, interest costs as part of the federal budget are at an all-time high, and trending even higher in the years ahead.  Securing our nation’s fiscal and economic future will mean getting these interest costs under control.

We simply do not believe that the federal budget will be reined in.  Period.  We have no way of knowing exactly what Washington will do other than by looking at the propensities of the governing classes today.  We are sorry to report that we see little but fiscal and monetary irresponsibility at every turn.  There simply is no meaningful coalition for fiscal rectitude in Washington at all.

Under the circumstances, informed people will want to protect themselves now with a substantial position in physical gold and silver.  It is the prudent thing to do at the end of an empire. 


$3,000 Gold? Citi Analysts Say “Don’t Rule it Out!”

PICK ONE:  Central bank purchases, stagflation, or a deep global recession!

You could see gold surge by 50 percent according to Aakash Doshi, Citi’s North America head of commodities research.  He and other Citi analysts wrote in a recent note to clients that among the pathways to $3,000, gold would be a ramp-up in de-dollarization by central banks.

That could lead to a US dollar crisis.

And that is not the only avenue to much higher gold prices in the next 12 – 18 months, he said.  

Reporting on an interview with Doshi, CNBC says another trigger that could drive gold to $3,000 would be a “deep global recession” that could spur the U.S. Federal Reserves to cut rates rapidly.

“That means the brakes have been cut, not to 3 percent, but to 1 percent or lower – that will take us to $3,000,” Doshi said.  

More from CNBC’s report:

Stagflation — an increasing inflation rate, a slowing economic growth and rising unemployment — could be another trigger, though Doshi said there’s a “very low probability” of such a scenario….

These three potential triggers aside, Citi maintains that their base case for bullion is $2,150 in the second half of 2024, and the price of gold to average a little over Doshi added.

A widely followed J.P. Morgan analyst, Marko Kolanovic, and his team have also raised the prospect of a return to 1970s-style stagflation.  “There are many similarities to the current times,” they write.  “We already had one wave of inflation, and questions started to appear whether a second wave can be avoided if policies and geopolitical developments stay on this course.” 

We think Citi’s calls are fine as far as they go, but that they don’t go nearly far enough.  Other forces on the immediate horizon include a move by Washington to create a central bank digital social credit surveillance currency, a widening of America’s many wars, serious civic strife over the election and its manipulation, an implosion of China’s economy, and banks tipping over the brink here in the US.

The ducks are lining up for much higher gold prices.  If you are not sufficiently prepared, come see us at Republic Monetary Exchange.


Huge Demand for Silver in 2024

Surging industrial demand for silver has driven estimates for 2024 total demand to the second-highest level ever.

The latest forecast from the Silver Institute, a trade association, calls for global silver demand this year to total 1.2 billion ounces.  That would rival 2022’s chart-topping demand of 1.242 billion ounces and represents an overall increase in demand of 1 percent.

Industrial end users of silver are expected to lead demand with an overall jump of 4 percent, 690 million ounces, outshining last year’s record high industrial demand.  Key drivers of industrial demand continue to be photovoltaics (solar) and automotive users.  

The study also calls for a recovery in consumer electronics to provide additional demand and says Artificial Intelligence applications have consumer electronics brands expected to introduce new silver-using products.

Silver should reach $30 an ounce, a ten-year high this year according to Michael DiRienzo, executive director of the Silver Institute.  “We think silver will have a terrific year, especially in terms of demand,” said DiRenzo in a CNBC interview.

Silver remains on sale today based on its historical performance.  Silver was $50 an ounce in 1980.  It reached $50 in 2011 and nearly $50 again in 2012.

Today the price of silver is less than half that.

One analyst says silver is “stupidly cheap!”

Buying low and selling high is the best investment advice of all.  See us today at Republic Monetary Exchange while silver is on sale. In the years ahead we will all remember today’s prices as historic bargains! 


The Rush to Gold When Banks Start Crashing

It was not quite a year ago that banks started tumbling down.  You remember the names:  Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic, all American banks.  But it wasn’t just an American problem as the presence of Swiss banking giant Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank on the troubled list attested.

Rising interest rates were tanking the banks’ holdings of US Treasury debt instruments and mortgage-backed securities.  Many Americans – although not most – made withdrawals from their banks.  It was only prudent.  Why keep your money parked in troubled institutions?  It’s your money.  Protect it!

Even though the Fed’s balance sheet is upside down (that’s another story!), the central bank rode to the rescue with another Big Bank Bailout Bonanza.  Don’t be surprised.  The Fed was created by the Big Banks in the first place to do Bailout Bonanza whenever Big Banks needed them.

The Fed said, “Even though as a matter of law, accounts at Big Banks are only insured to $250,000, we will create a new program known by the acronym BTFP to create the impression that the Fed will bail out all the banks – or at least the Big Banks that are in on the Bailout Bonanza!”

So, bank depositors started moving money to Big Banks that would be the beneficiaries of the Bonanza Bailout.  That was not good for small banks, but they didn’t create the Fed, so tough!

None of this fixed anything.  It was just designed to forestall the en masse withdrawals of deposits from banks (and into gold, by the way).

Now the other shoe is dropping, one we have been warning about:  Commercial Real Estate.  The delinquency rate on office building mortgages is climbing at a fast clip, putting the screws to private leaders and banks alike. 

New York Community Bancorp is in such bad shape that its picture belongs on the back of milk cartons.  

WolfStreet.com:

A lot of these CRE loans are coming due this year and next year, and need to be refinanced, or extended, but interest rates have jumped, and many of these office properties are dealing with the structural collapse of demand for office space, so refinancing is going to be tough, and extending-and-pretending is going to be tough, and banks are going to have to deal with losses.

The problem is structural and won’t just vanish when the mood changes or rates drop.

Appearing on CBS 60 Minutes recently, Fed Chairman Powell said there will be losses, but he thinks they are manageable (of course he does!):

You know, we’re working with them. This is something we’ve been aware of for, you know, a long time, and we’re working with them to make sure that they have the resources and a plan to work their way through the expected losses.

Right.  Where do the resources come from to manage their losses?

They come from you.  It’s not magic.  They devalue the people’s money.  It is what they have always done.  That’s how the Big Bank Bailout Bonanza works!

Last year, people wanting to move assets out of banks and into gold and silver were waiting for us when we opened the doors in the mornings.   Our lobby was crowded from early to late.  

This year we think you would be wise to beat the rush!  Speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange specialist today.


China: The Next Trigger

Their financial situation is worse than alarming!

“Twitching like a finger
On the trigger of a gun.”

-Paul Simon

Uh oh!  China is making things feel twitchy!

We are always on the alert for the most likely trigger of the coming economic calamity.  The thing that ends the made-up, manipulated money system and remonetizes honest money.  There are many candidates today.  War.  US banks.  Bidenomics.  A debt crisis.  A Fed screwup.  

But if we had to guess, it looks like China.

We are very concerned that this could be the one.  The block in the Jenga tower that makes the whole thing tumble.  The straw…

There is generally a trigger, a single event that sets the whole house of cards collapsing.  It was the failure of Creditanstalt 1931, Austria’s largest bank, that was the first major bank collapse of the Great Depression.

Today it looks like China.  

For some background, please review our recent article China’s Coming Collapse.

Kyle Bass notes that Chinese real estate developers Evergrande and Country Garden together have $500 billion in debt.  

Think about that.  Two real estate companies, both in default, a half trillion dollars in debt!  “Every single property developer in China, listed property developer, is in default today,” says Bass.  “This is just like the US financial crisis on steroids.  They have three and a half times more banking leverage than we did going into the [2008] crisis.”

“China has 20 plates spinning and all the plates are crashing right now!” 

This looks like the trigger event.  It looks far too big to contain.  It has the prospect of bringing the global economy to its knees!

The seriousness of the situation has China scrambling for gold.  The people in China seem to know it and are trying to prepare themselves.  Here’s one Japanese newspaper’s headline and lead:  

China gold purchases soar 30% on economic anxiety

Chinese gold purchases rose 30% in 2023, as the country’s central bank bought the commodity to replace its dollar holdings amid tensions with the U.S. and individual investors sought a haven for their assets as the economy stumbled….

As China acquired more gold, the country cut its holdings of U.S. Treasurys to around $782 billion as of November, about 10% less than the previous year, the U.S. Treasury Department reports. The figure is roughly $230 billion less than China’s holdings immediately after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

China is a hot mess.  There’s not much they can do about the popping of their real estate bubble.  But they want to land on their feet.  They want to have some real enduring assets on the other side of the mess.  That’s a good idea for individual American investors right now, too.  Especially since this looks very much like the trigger!


Is the Establishment Starting to Panic About U.S. Debt?

First the NY Times!  Now Chase Bank?

If you aren’t panicking about the US debt picture, you may not be paying attention!

Now even the most establishment of establishment figures are starting to show signs of panic.  Including the most establishment banker of America’s most establishment bank.

Jamie Dimon is the chairman and chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase, the largest bank in the US.  They like him a lot.  He’s been in that role since 2005, a job that has made him a billionaire.  

Maybe Dimon isn’t panicked, but he sure as heck is worried that we are at the brink. “It is a cliff. We see the cliff. It’s about 10 years out.”

The US national debt is currently more than $34 trillion.  Throughout its history, US debt has averaged 30 percent of total US economic output. Today, it is 123 percent, more than four times the average. It is more than the entire annual productivity of China, Japan, Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Italy combined. 

Dimon says the US is going to face “a rebellion” around the world when our debt trajectory turns straight up. 

Dimon underestimates the debt-to-GDP ratio at 100 percent.  It is 123% of GDP which means the cliff is much closer than he says.  And while everyone is trying to act like there is no panic, the panic is beginning to spread even at central banks around the world. 

Dimon is not the only establishment voice to express concern about uncontrollable US debt.  As we reported recently, even some at the reliably big government, big spending New York Times are getting religion.  And that tells us that the crisis is about to boil over.

From the lead of a recent Times piece: “For years, many economists believed the country’s debt was not a problem. Interest rates were low, which held down debt payments. Inflation was also low, which suggested the debt wasn’t hampering the economy.

“But times have changed, and federal deficits now look scarier.”

We prefer “unpayable,” but “scary” is a good word for the debt as well.  After all, the national debt amounts to $102,400 per person.  How can retirees, fast-food workers, and the American middle class manage that kind of debt burden?  They can’t.

Here’s the “Debt out the Wazoo” chart from WolfStreet.com:

Call our debt spiral a death spiral.  That’s what Nassim Taleb calls it.  We don’t accuse Taleb, the author of The Black Swan, of being an establishment today.  Far from it.  

Here’s his take: 

So long as you have Congress keep extending the debt limit and doing deals because they’re afraid of the consequences of doing the right thing, that’s the political structure of the political system, eventually you’re going to have a debt spiral.

A debt spiral is like a death spiral.

Nassim Taleb

What do you do when the issuer of your currency is in a death spiral?  You protect yourself with gold and silver as people around the world have learned to do for thousands of years.


China’s Coming Collapse?

…and what it could mean for us.

China is a hot mess.

We have only addressed China’s rickety economic conditions occasionally and not written much about them, but you should know how vulnerable things are in that centrally-planned economy.

Youth unemployment in China is running at about 15 percent.  Property prices in December fell at the fastest rate since 2015, not comforting to a middle-class heavily invested in real estate.  A restive population makes for a nervous ruling class!

Here’s a chart of China’s Hang Seng index of stocks traded on the Hong Kong exchange.  It has fallen in half in the last three years.

Government debt is a huge problem.  It’s bad enough that Moody’s has lowered its rating on China’s sovereign debt from stable to negative.

Kyle Bass of Bass of Hayman Capital Management says China is experiencing “a full banking system collapse.”   To put a fine point on it, Bass says local governments in China have amassed $4 trillion in real estate losses and $13 trillion in debt, 90 percent of which is in default.  

A few snippets:

China is trying to defuse a financial time bomb that could severely damage its banking system. Cities and provinces have accumulated a massive amount of hidden debt following years of unchecked borrowing and spending. The International Monetary Fund and Wall Street banks estimate that the total outstanding off-balance-sheet government debt is around $7 trillion to $11 trillion.,,, No one knows what the actual total is, but it has become abundantly clear over the past year that local governments’ debt levels have become unsustainable.”

The Wall Street Journal, 12/6/23

Defaults by Chinese borrowers have surged to a record high since the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic, highlighting the depth of the country’s economic downturn and the obstacles to a full recovery. A total of 8.54mn people, most of them between the ages of 18 and 59, are officially blacklisted by authorities after missing payments on everything from home mortgages to business loans.

The Finaincial Times, 12/4/23

China’s offshore corporate-bond defaults have increased to $51.9 billion so far this year.

Bloomberg, 12/4/23

The fallout from China’s collapse will be widely felt, and mean a big hit to global GDP.  It is, as they say, a global economy.  Global creditors will suffer huge losses.  As productivity declines, tax revenue slows as well.

But for the United States, there is more.  One must look at the contribution China has made to funding the US national debt.  Not many years ago China held $1.3 trillion in US debt instruments.  Today it is off 40 percent, down to less than $78o billion.  In other words, China is loaning less money to the US even as Uncle Sam’s borrowing appetite is growing massively.  With China’s internal debt issues reaching a crisis stage, it is in no position to keep funding the US.

Indeed, as its holding of US debt instruments declines, its gold holdings continue to rise.

 

As state enterprises go bankrupt, deficit-financed governments fail, and the debt-based monetary system implodes, China knows that it can depend on its gold holdings – which it has now increased 13 months in a row – to cushion the collapse.

That strikes us as an important strategy for individuals as well.  The teetering banks can fail and the currency can collapse, but the people who own gold and silver will have a cushion against the fall.

These global downturns can last for years, the pain almost indescribable.  But only people who have studied history realize that.  That’s why they buy gold.  

Inflation… Shrinkflation…FUNflation!

Forget what the Fed chairman says.  Forget the Consumer Price Index and the Producer Price Index.

Pay no attention to core inflation and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index.  Pay no attention to any of Washington’s price indices.  

Instead, trust your own living experience.  Is your cost of living going up or down?  Does feeding your family cost more or less?

Here’s just one example among millions of what is actually happening.  Take a look!


A hot dog sold at Daytona Racetrack.  Both are from the same counter.  Same price.  The one on the left is from 2021.  The one on the right is from just a week ago on January 29th at the Rolex 24 race!

Skrinkflation strikes again, this time at the Raceway. Being this case of shrinkflation occurred at a sporting event, does this border on Funflation? Funflation is a recent economic trend that is hitting concert and sporting eventgoers hard. Have you noticed the face value of a concert ticket recently? The cost to attend a ballgame? Remember when taking the family to a baseball game was somewhat affordable?

Forget the Super Bowl, as it gets closer and closer to only being affordable by either the super-wealthy or the super fiscally irresponsible. A single ticket for next week’s Super Bowl is averaging close to $10,000. This is up almost 70% from last year’s big game! The crazy part? It will still be sold out!

Shrinkflation and Funflation are merely tactics by greedy corporations to fight the pressure inflation is putting on their profits. Instead of raising the price and risking consumer backlash, companies are hiding this behind inferior products, smaller sizes, and lower quantities.

It’s everywhere.

Remember how when you were a teenager you could easily attend a concert with a little money saved up? It sure is unfortunate, but today’s teenager has to (have their parents) pay hundreds or even thousands of dollars to go and see their favorite act.


Government Price Controls Won’t Fix Inflation

Despite what some people may think, the cure is worse than the disease!

In one of the 1980 presidential debates between Ronald Reagan and Jimmy Carter, when the Carter administration’s inflation was the undoing of countless American’s prosperity, the candidates were asked about the wisdom of government price controls.

Price controls never work, said Reagan, as the Roman emperor Diocletian demonstrated nearly 2000 years ago.   

“I guess I am one of the few persons old enough to remember that,” he said.

Even fewer people today understand the inevitable failure of price controls.  Today majorities of Republicans, Democrats, and Independents alike approve of the use of government price fixing to control inflation.

Here’s the bad news in response to a new CBS News poll to the question, “To try to control inflation, would you approve or disapprove of government price controls – that is, laws that limit the amount that companies can raise prices or charge for products and services?”

Unfortunately, when people feel that they are falling further and further behind financially, they are most susceptible to snake-oil solutions like government price fixing.  And people today are certainly feeling that they are slipping backward financially.  

When people ask the government to “do something” about inflation, they seem to forget that the government already did do something about inflation:  it created inflation in the first place!

Price controls aren’t about controlling prices.   Prices have no volition of their own.   Instead, price controls are about controlling people.   They forbid free people from engaging in noncoercive commercial activities.  Instead, politicians institute price controls to wreak their economic toll by creating either surpluses or shortages.   

Government bureaucrats and bureaucrats have no special knowledge of the ever-changing conditions of supply and demand at any given moment.  So, when they set prices artificially, prices that aren’t free to move on their own, they are bound to be either too high or too low.  If they set prices too high surpluses result.   That is because producers attracted by the inordinately high prices produce more, while the inordinately high prices drive buyers to alternatives.

If they set prices too low, shortages result.  Producers who can’t make a profit cut back on production, while buyers buy more at artificially low prices.

Shortages or surpluses.  Empty store shelves touting nice, low prices, or government warehouses with mountains of surplus government cheese.  Take your pick.

What does all this have to do with owning gold?  Everything.  We live in a world in which Fed bureaucrats believe they can set the price of money.  That is what interest rates are, the price of renting or borrowing money.  If the bureaucrats set interest rates artificially low, bubbles result.  Bubbles in home prices, bubbles in bonds, bubbles in stocks.   If they set interest rates too high, the bubbles they create pop, leaving behind unemployment, recessions, and depressions.  

If they print a lot of money, inflation results.   If the money supply dwindles, deflation becomes a risk.  Either way, instead of relying on real conditions of supply and demand and letting prices move organically, smoothing out distortions by reacting to change, our money exists at the whims and caprices of monetary bureaucrats who have not distinguished themselves from being right about anything.  Instead of a gold standard, James Grant says, we are living on a Ph.D. standard.  

Instead of the reliable money of the centuries, we are relying on fiat money, the unreliable money of the centuries.  And that is no place to be in volatile times.


The Betrayal of the Elites

See for yourself, it’s US against them!

Having ignored the Constitution and subverted our once good-as-gold dollar, the American elites hope to complete their betrayal with Soviet-style policies (for you, not for themselves, of course).  

That includes eliminating freedoms (yours that is), gas stoves (yours that is), air travel (yours that is), parental rights (yours that is), and more.

They have benefitted from the era of debt-driven government growth, unprecedented money printing, and government power grab.  They are better off because of it.  And they know it.  

The rest of us have not similarly benefited.  And we know it.  

None of this is just made-up argumentation.  These are not mere assertions.  Thanks to survey research by the Committee to Unleash Prosperity, we can show you the real numbers, what the American elite believe, and what they support.

You won’t like it.  They don’t care.

First, who are the elite whose views we are about to share?

The American Elite is defined as people having at least one post-graduate degree, earning at least $150,000 annually, and living in high-population-density areas (more than 10,000 people per square mile in their zip code).  They represent one percent of the population.  

To zoom in a little closer, the survey also includes a sub-sample of elites it calls “Ivy League Graduates.”  About half of the “elites” attended these schools. 

Their views are then compared to those of all voters.

Now if you have a qualifying income and went to an Ivy League school, it doesn’t mean that you are a leftist, socialist, woke, or delusional.  But many of your peers certainly are.

But they are doing well, and they know it.

We recommend you view the entire eye-opening report  Them vs. U.S.  But here are just more charts of their findings, about your freedom and rationing.

Those described in this survey as elites cluster in places that have an outsized impact on public policy:  in government, media, and academia.  They run the show.  They run monetary policy.  As we pointed out recently, for every Republican economist at the Fed there are 10 Democrat economists.  

That is why you have to protect yourself from them.  

Speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver specialist and make sure you are prepared for more government control and more monetary shenanigans run by the elite.


Rich Dad’s “Most Important Show Ever” 4-Part Series

Once again Republic Monetary Exchange’s Jim Clark joins Robert Kiyosaki’s panel of experts to complete the four-part series that Robert calls “the most important show ever!”

The Rich Dad Poor Dad radio show panelists – all veteran gold professionals – have been called together to explore the significance of gold as a timeless form of currency and a safeguard against economic turbulence. 

They discuss gold’s unique properties, its historical role as a reliable medium of exchange, and the dangers of relying on fiat currency. The conversation also addresses central banks’ gold acquisitions, the possibility of government gold confiscation reminiscent of the 1933 U.S. event, and the diverse views on its probability and consequences. 

The episodes offer a comprehensive analysis of gold’s value in the face of contemporary financial challenges and its importance in investment portfolios for wealth preservation.

Here are all 4 episodes that make up the series…

Part 1 of 4:

Part 2 of 4:

Part 3 of 4:

Part 4 of 4:


The World’s Best-Informed Investors Keep Buying Gold

The world’s best-informed buyers are central banks.  They know the made-up, unbacked, paper, and digital money ruse best.   And they keep buying gold.

How many Americans could explain how the entire Federal Reserve monetary system works, how they create money out of nothing at all?  One in ten?  One in a hundred?  

Probably not that many.  But central bankers know exactly how the system of legalized counterfeiting works.  That’s because they use it against their people.

Today, instead of continuing to be victimized by our central bank, the Fed, they are moving away from the global dollar monetary system.  And they are buying gold.  That’s because they don’t mind victimizing their people with made-up money.  They just don’t want to be victimized by us.

The World Gold Council has the latest numbers.  Central banks’ buying momentum continued in November with the net addition of 44 tons of gold.

The buyers are mostly from emerging markets, not as closely bound to the global dollar imperium as industrialized countries.  Turkey made the largest of the central bank purchasers in November, buying tons 25 tons, with the National Bank of Poland adding 19 tons, and the People’s Bank of China.

China’s central bank remains the overall largest gold purchaser in 2023.

We remind our friends and readers that central banks should be viewed as strong hands, conservative gold owners buying for fundamental monetary purposes and for longer periods than other buyers like Wall Street speculators. 

They are preparing for the monetary future.  To learn more, and to prepare for the monetary future yourself, speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver professional today. 


Look What We Found While Reading the Financial News…

In our effort to make sure our friends and clients are always well-informed, we work our way through mountains of information.  We were surprised and happy a few days ago to see that The Market Oracle was quoting our friend and colleague Charles Goyette from his New York Times bestseller The Dollar Meltdown:

The Market Oracle:  Consider that fifteen years ago Charles Goyette author of “The Dollar Meltdown” (2009, Penguin Group) came to a conclusion with respect to the repayment of our national debt when, by comparison, it was only $11.9 trillion.  He states then: “The gross federal debt is 80 per cent of GDP.  That’s the highest it’s been since the 1950s.  But that percentage of debt was much more manageable then because fifty years ago America was a creditor nation, now America is a debtor nation. Fifty years ago, it maintained a trade surplus, now our trade deficit, having grown for a generation, is immense.  Fifty years ago, America was the world’s manufacturing hegemon, now America’s manufacturing base is being lost to the world.  Fifty years ago, Americans were savers. Now the Chinese have shown us what it means to defer consumption and save.”

He continues: “America’s debt at any level – $12 trillion, $59 trillion, or $99.3 trillion – won’t be paid.  They will simply be rolled over again and again until America’s creditors are unwilling to loan any longer. To recapitulate, inflation in the United States is a result of the Federal Reserve turning government debt into money. The Federal Reserve is central to America’s most devastating bubbles and is responsible for almost a hundred years of criminal-scale dollar destruction.  By debt monetization, government acquires money to spend without debate, legislation, or vote, by commensurately devaluing the currency held by the people.  No wonder critics say, this amounts to nothing less than taxation without representation.  In truth, the nature of the U.S. debt is so enormously understated that it amounts to accounting fraud.

Today, the US debt remains an accounting fraud.  The only difference is that today the numbers are so much bigger, and that time is running out on the US government’s fiat money Ponzi scheme.

The following chart for the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year makes our point, illustrating that the federal took in more money from borrowing than from any other revenue source.

If you believe Washington can borrow America’s way to prosperity, then there is nothing to worry about.  If you are not that naïve, you will want to own gold and silver.  Speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals specialist today to create a sensible plan to protect yourself from Washington’s mounting and unpayable debt.  


Kiyosaki: “The Most Valuable Investment in 2024”

Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki presents a four-part program that he calls “the most important” show ever.

Today we present Part 1, The Good News and Bad News about Money.  It features Jim Clark on a panel with other veteran precious metals experts including RME associate Charles Goyette.

The discussion addresses the historical context of the US dollar and explores how global economic shifts could influence personal wealth.  Robert’s guests share their knowledge and personal experiences, emphasizing the role of precious metals in safeguarding assets.

Enjoy Part 1 of this very important 4-part series.  We will post Parts 2, 3, and 4 as they are released. 

The Gray Lady Notices US Debt and Calls it a Problem!

Surprise! The New York Times Gets Something Right!

“The federal debt starts the new year at a level that is hard to grasp: $34 trillion. That is 1.2 times the U.S.’s annual economic output. At the end of World War II, the ratio was only about 1.1.”

Count us thunderstruck!  The preceding paragraph is something we would write, urging you to take refuge in gold and silver.  Instead, it is a lead paragraph in the New York Times.  

It continues:

“Both parties have contributed to the situation. Republicans have passed large tax cuts. Democrats have enacted ambitious climate and health care initiatives. Both funneled money to Americans in response to the Covid pandemic.

“For years, many economists believed the country’s debt was not a problem. Interest rates were low, which held down debt payments. Inflation was also low, which suggested the debt wasn’t hampering the economy.

“But times have changed, and federal deficits now look scarier.”

How could the New York Times, which seems to get everything wrong (think Walter Duranty, Herbert Matthews, Judith Miller, Paul Krugman, Nikole Hannah-Jones and so many others that we grow weary), see the national debt and use a word like scary?

We’re suspicious.  We fear the worst: more bad policy editorials to come.

The piece concludes this way: “At some point, though, the federal government will likely need to raise taxes and cut spending in ways that many Americans will find unpleasant.”

Based on long precedent, we suspect that the Times will be among the chief cheerleaders for tax hikes.  And when it comes to the other side of the equation, it will mostly look away.  Any spending cuts its leftists endorse will likely not come out of its international enthusiasm like the war in Ukraine.  When, like Ukraine, another one of its interventions goes bad, the paper just starts pounding the drums for a new elective war elsewhere.  

When the debt was still solvable it encouraged more debt.  But as we entered 2024, the national debt passed $34 trillion.  That is more than $100,000 per American.  Look around you.  Look at people working in fast-food restaurants.  Look at the elderly, those past their working years and living on Social Security.  Look at people living under overpasses.  How will they pay their share?  How will you pay your share, or your share and their share?  They won’t.  You won’t.  It won’t be paid – except by the nation-destroying fraud of inflation.

The “newspaper of record’s” notice of the debt problem now tells us that we are entering the crisis stage, which ends not judiciously but in an unstoppable string of painful calamities.  

The New York Times never appears to learn from history.  But we do.  When the debt cannot be paid, it will not be paid.  The people – ordinary folks like you and your friends and family who were not responsible – will be left holding the bag and will be impoverished by financial events.  Except, that is, for those who have moved out of “the debt dollar” and taken refuge in the enduring money of the ages:  gold and silver.


Things About Gold and the Economy to Remember in 2024

Harry Dent Warns about the Stock Market:

Since 2009, this has been 100 percent artificial, unprecedented money printing and deficits: $27 trillion over 15 years, to be exact.  This is off the charts, 100 percent artificial, which means we’re in a dangerous state.

I think 2024 is going to be the biggest single crash year we’ll see in our lifetime…. If I’m right, it is going to be the biggest crash of our lifetime, most of it happening in 2024. You’re going to see it start and be more obvious by May.

“Gold is “Practically a Steal” at these Prices!” – Jim Rickards:

When this panic hits and the dollar is deemed no longer reliable, the world will turn to gold…. Investors should consider today’s gold prices a gift to acquire gold at bargain prices before markets, and the mainstream media, wake up.

Even at $2,052, gold is so cheap right now, it’s practically a steal.

Ernest Hemingway – First Inflation, then War:

The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists.

Back in August, Ron Paul Foresaw Presidential Politics at Work in Fed Policy.  Right as Usual:

The Fed will likely pause its rate increase next year in the hope of boosting economic activity to help President Biden’s reelection campaign. Former President Trump gave Powell an additional incentive to keep rates low next year by promising not to re-appoint him if he returns to the Oval Office. 

Jim Clark from Real Money for Free People – The American Gold Story:

The founders created the conditions for an explosion of human prosperity. Our governing classes and monetary authorities are their opposites. They have created the conditions for an explosion of impoverishment. They are the big spenders and reckless borrowers of both parties. They are the grand councilors and academic advisors of the almighty State. They and their statist epigone and media servitors are the inevitable offspring of connivers like Franklin Roosevelt and Richard Nixon, who stole the people’s gold and betrayed the nation’s good-as-gold dollar. They are a generation of trousered apes who do not know the difference between ditchwater and champagne, and of like-minded Fed officials who conflate empty paper promises with the real, enduring monetary wealth of the ages, who trade the real money of free people for a mess of monetary pottage.

By their own logic, there is no turning back. They must now continue to print money until the system crashes. It is the endgame of their folly.

Up, Up, and Away!  From David Stockman, a Chart that Shows US Debt from 1966 to Now:

First They Destroy the Money!  Ayn Rand Calls Out the Destroyers:  

Whenever destroyers appear among men, they start by destroying money, for money is men’s protection and the basis of a moral existence. Destroyers seize gold and leave to its owners a counterfeit pile of paper. This kills all objective standards and delivers men into the arbitrary power of an arbitrary setter of values. Gold was an objective value, an equivalent of wealth produced. Paper is a mortgage on wealth that does not exist, backed by a gun aimed at those who are expected to produce it. Paper is a check drawn by legal looters upon an account that is not theirs: upon the virtue of the victims. Watch for the day when it bounces, marked: “Account Overdrawn.”


An Easy Way to Understand Inflation’s Impact on Your Money

One really easy lesson… here’s what’s going to happen to your money!

The current inflation rate (CPI) is 3.1 percent.  What does that mean for your money?  Jim Rickards at the Daily Reckoning sums it all up in just a few words:

How damaging is 3.1% inflation? That rate will cut the value of the dollar in half in 22 years. It’ll cut the value of the dollar in half again in another 22 years.

Put differently, if you start your career at the age of 21 and retire at 65, the dollar you earned at age 21 will only be worth 25 cents by the time you retire. That’s 75% wealth confiscation by government-caused inflation.

There’s nothing benign or comfortable about 75% wealth confiscation. But that’s where we are today.

And that is the story in a nutshell.


“There’s nothing benign or comfortable about 75% wealth confiscation.  But that’s where we are today.”

The Dollar in Three Easy Pictures

It’s an easy story, the future of the US dollar.   So easy in fact, that we think we can tell it in three simple pictures.

First of all, the US is the biggest debtor in the world, the biggest of all time.  Take a look at the first picture from Visual Capitalist:

The US is the world’s biggest debt by far, responsible for more than a third of the world’s $97 trillion national government debt.  It can’t pay this debt back in an honest, reputable way.

Now the second chart, this one from Wolf Street.  It calls this chart Debt out the Wazoo!  That couldn’t be more accurate:

It depicts how fast US debt has been growing, especially since 2020.   And it is not slowing down.  Washington ran the biggest monthly deficit in history in November, $317 billion in a single month.   How come so much red ink?  Was there a massive shortfall in tax revenue?  No.  Revenue was up 9 percent.  The problem is spending, which was up 18 percent.  That is the kind of unmoored financial management that goes on in banana republics.  

And our third chart, also from Wolf Street.  It shows that foreigners are losing their appetite for US government debt.  Why?  In part because they know that when the US bonds they buy mature, they will be paid back in dollars of sharply reduced purchasing power.

And that is the story in three easy pictures, a story that answers the question of dollars or gold?

Any other questions?   Call (602) 633-8315 to speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver specialist to get your questions answered!


When Inflation Strikes Your Retirement Plan

More victims of US Dollar Inflation!

Food or medicine?   Those are bad choices to have to make, just like having to drain the last of your retirement savings to heat your home in the winter.

But Americans’ retirement plans are cracking up on the reefs of Washington’s monetary policies.  Its elective destruction of the purchasing power of the dollar has depleted their nest eggs by a staggering $1 trillion.

A new study covered by the New York Post finds that “Bidenomics has reduced the real value of the average 401(k) by a quarter in the last two and a half years.”

In just its first two years, the White House geniuses’ policies tanked the average 401(k) plan by about 13 percent, or some $17,000.  

From the story:

How this happened is a painful lesson in government overspending and overregulating, the hallmarks of Bidenomics.

Immediately upon taking office, the Biden administration and their big-spender allies in Congress ran up multitrillion-dollar tabs with no way to pay, so the Federal Reserve just created the money to finance it all.

That sparked 40-year-high inflation, which was followed by the fastest interest rate hikes in just as long.

This severely hampered equities but completely devastated bond markets, delivering a one-two punch to people’s retirement accounts. 

But wait!  There’s more:

Through the third quarter of this year, pension plans have lost $3.3 trillion, or 12.1%, of real value during the Biden administration….

Between lost purchasing power from inflation and higher borrowing costs from interest rate hikes, the typical American family has lost the equivalent of $7,300 in annual income under Biden.

To make ends meet, a record number of Americans are now working multiple jobs, but that’s still not enough to cover the $11,400 higher cost of living.

SEE ALSO:

The real story of Bidenomics can be told in countless ways.  Expect more stories like these:

  • Household savings have fallen, while families have run up a record $1.1 trillion in credit card debt.
  • The Wall Street Journal recently ran this headline:  How High Are Housing Costs? Divorced Couples Forced to Live Together.
  • Gold entered December setting new all-time highs over $2,000 an ounce.  

Expect Higher Gold Prices

We grow very wary when it appears almost everyone is thinking the same thing.  It often means there is not a lot of real thinking going on.   The view that Chairman Powell and the Fed are going to be able to drive interest rates lower in the New Year is nearing unanimity.  

But no one is bigger than the markets.  Even the Fed.  And the markets may produce quite a different outcome.

Consider:  The Fed can diddle with short-term rates, but its rate manipulations cannot control long-term rates.  And even its artificial distortions of short-term rates are ephemeral.  We are living today through the reckoning for years of the Fed’s interventions.  Stated otherwise, there ain’t no such thing as a free lunch.  Milton Friedman used that phrase repeatedly to make clear that a price would be exacted for the government’s manipulations, cronyism, and giveaways.

That is why we have inflation.  The Fed makes up money to give to some entity or to pretend it can control interest rates.  But the money it prints takes on value to the degree that the rest of the money in the economy – your money – loses value.  Having inflated the supply of money and credit to buy down interest rates, bail out banks, or “stimulate” the economy, prices everywhere else go up. 

It is also why we have recessions.  Washington and the Fed create malinvestment with made-up money, booming some recipients or sectors with liquidity only to have financial reality and monetary reality eventually assert themselves.  Remember the housing boom and bust?

Having created 8 trillion dollars in the years after the housing bubble, the Fed has fraudulently distorted the economy with years of this legalized counterfeiting.  The most massive monetary distortion in US history has yet to be assimilated.  It is bound to cheapen the dollar’s value much more than the bothersome inflation we have already experienced over the last two years.

And don’t even ask us about the money printing that is needed now to manage the otherwise unpayable US debt.

Oh well, go ahead and ask.  We happen to have a chart that tells the story.  

Interest on the national debt has climbed to a trillion dollars a year.  It was less than half that just a couple of years ago.  As older government bonds bearing lower rates come due, the Treasury will have to roll that debt over into higher interest rate issues.  And in the face of furious money printing to pay for that interest, rates will climb to offset the accompanying inflation.  At least market rates will climb.  

As Rep. Thomas Massie told Tucker Carlson recently, the Fed was sold to us on the basis that it would be the economy’s firefighter; instead, it is the arsonist!

So, whatever plans that Powell and the Board have for interest rates, all the money printing that has gone before will have its say.  And people tend to abandon made-up currencies in times of crisis, preferring gold.  

Wouldn’t it be wise to expect much higher gold prices with all that money printing headed our way?


Gold Prices Explode Higher

You Haven’t Seen Anything Yet!

Gold is on a hair trigger!  Or to put it another way, Biden’s governance has now stretched everything to the breaking point. 

Spot gold had a previous record high of $2,063, but on Friday, 12/1, it closed at a new all-time high of $2,071.  

Then fresh war rumors on December 4 spiked gold way past its previous high, with spot gold soaring to a record $2,146.70 overnight.

Here is the chart of December futures gold contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.  You can see gold ran into resistance three times, with prices over $2,000 in August 2020, again in March 2020, and still again last May.  But as this year ends, it looks very much like what was resistance at $2,000 an ounce is now supported with signs of new buying ready to enter at $2,000. 

It is early, but the charts suggest an important change in the application of technical analysis to gold’s price action.   Let us explain these concepts, support, and resistance, in more detail.

In the language of chartists, “support” refers to the point in a downtrend when net new buying enters the market, and a price decline comes to an end.

Conversely, resistance is the point in a rising market when new selling appears for the time being, and the price ceases to climb.  It is the repetition of price movement at these points that gives them some credibility.

Investopedia describes both support and resistance this way:

Support is an area on a price chart that shows buyers’ willingness to buy. It is at this level that demand will usually overwhelm supply, causing the price decline to halt and reverse.

Resistance is the opposite of support. Prices move up because there is more demand than supply. As prices move higher, there will come a point when selling will overwhelm the desire to buy….  But a technician will clearly see on a price chart a level at which supply begins to overwhelm demand. This is resistance. Like support, it can be a level or a zone.

Some gold traders and speculators may look for certain price points as psychological entry and exits points.  For the past several years, since August 2020, each time gold has climbed past $2,000 an ounce, new selling has entered the market.  

It is early, but recent bullish gold action has produced new highs in both the spot and futures markets.  

Technical analysis is theoretical, but we aren’t the only ones seeing this evolution in the gold price charts.  Mike McGlone is Bloomberg Intelligence’s Senior Macro Strategist.  He notes the same change of what was only recently resistance now like becoming support.  McGlone says gold “is in the early days of a bull market,” and that “the deepest pockets on the planet are buying gold. That’s central banks.”

Speak with your Republic Monetary Exchange professional about how these technical signals can benefit you as you head for the maximum safety zone of gold and silver.


Now is the Time to Add More Gold!

Now is the time to buy gold according to Marc Faber, a leading French bank, and others!

When is the right time to buy gold?

If you don’t have enough for what’s coming, right now is the best time to buy gold… whenever right now happens to be.

Who has enough gold?  We’ve never met anyone who has enough.  Certainly not Marc Faber, a Swiss investor based in Thailand.

Faber is the editor of the Gloom, Boom, and Doom report.  At a recent precious metals summit in Zurich, Faber said he believes that the long-term trend for the next 20 years or more is for inflation to move up.  “I have been advising investors to own gold and other precious metals, silver, platinum, for the last 40 years.  I buy continuously every month some gold.”

“Central banks’ function in the long run is to print money.  Never forget that.   A central bank exists to print money.  In view of that I think that gold and other precious metals are still a good investment from a long-term perspective and also from a safety aspect.”  

Analysts at Société Générale, the French-based multinational financial services company, share a bullish view. They expect gold to climb to new all-time highs in the new year, based on lower Fed interest rates.  

“Unlike oil, gold prices have increased since the start of the Israel/Hamas conflict,” they write in their latest report.  “Gold has continued to ignore the rising real yields headwind, as demand has remained robust.”

A good deal of that demand continues to come from dollar-wary foreign central banks.  “The heterogeneous coalition of countries in the Global South should continue to de-dollarize and give a further boost to gold,” the analysts note.  They expect gold to hold around $2,200 throughout 2024.

Do you have enough gold to weather the storm ahead?  It is a gathering storm consisting of the following:

The wild growth of US government spending and debt that we have recounted many times. 
See The Money Madmen Keep Printing for a quick refresher.

A wildly inflated stock market. 
Thanks to the Fed’s stove-piping of made-up money to Wall Street, between 1991 and 2022 the Nasdaq Composite Index has outpaced American’s real wages by 40 times!

A wildly wobbly wealth gap. 
David Stockman reports that over the last 22 years, “annual wealth gains for the top 1% were 4,250X larger than the median real wage gain and 17,000X larger for the top o.1%.”  It is in the nest of such disparities that revolutions are hatched.   And gold always shows up on top in revolutions.

If you don’t have enough for what’s coming, right now is the best time to buy gold… Make an appointment with a Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals consultant today.


Things Not So Bad Under Biden? Oh, Really?

Who are you going to believe?  The Swamp media or your lying eyes?

With less than a year before the presidential election, a Swamp public relations agent named Taylor Lorenz, who poses as a reporter at the Washington Post, is hard at work on the newspaper’s relentless mission to explain that prices, inflation, and the nation’s “economic woes” aren’t really that bad under Biden.

Is that so?  

No.  In fact, the claims of the Bidenista’s about the great economy can be refuted with a few simple charts.

Someone triggered things by posting a TikTok of a dressed-up novelty Big Mac that cost $16.  That was enough to bring a swift response from the people at the WaPo, the Washington establishment’s house organ.  A regular Big Mac is up only 10 percent, they protested.  As though a 10 percent increase in prices is no big deal.   It’s just not fair, was the tone of the piece.  “Voters still don’t like the economy, and they blame the president.”

The folks at ZeroHedge were quick to cut through the nonsense with graphs that illustrate what the American people are actually experiencing under Bidenomics.

First, consumer prices under four years of Trump and 35 months under Sleepy Joe:

When Swamp economists try to convince you that inflation isn’t really all that bad, they generally pivot to something called “core inflation,” the CPI figures calculated without including food and energy.  So here is the way that looks:

And finally, this chart of disposable incomes over the Trump and Biden years.  A majority of Americans have seen their disposable income fall – and fall hard – under Bidenomics.  

That last chart finally showed up in the article, “buried towards the bottom of the WaPo report,” writes ZeroHedge. 

That’s the way with the Swamp media.  When they do finally add the salient information that reveals the rest of the story, it is usually not until the 16th or the 31st paragraph since they know full well that most of their readers don’t go that far into the story.

For us, the story isn’t complete until it explains that an honest, reliable monetary system based on gold would have prevented most of the problems of rising prices and falling incomes that we are experiencing today.  But since the monetary system is in the hands of the banking cartel, you must protect your wealth with the enduring and reliable money our founders recommended:  Gold and silver.


Gold Hits New All-Time High

Wonder Why? “America is Broke,” Says Robert Kiyosaki

“Buy gold and silver.  Save gold and silver,” said the author of the biggest-selling investment book of all time!  

That turned out to be a timely recommendation.

Gold closed at a new all-time high on Friday (12/1/23) only a day after Robert Kiyosaki warned a national TV audience on Fox Business News that America is broke.  

America is broke now, Robert Kiyosaki told host Neil Cavuto on Fox Business News.  America has debt it cannot pay and when empires like ours print money, “they go down!”

On the paper gold market, February futures delivery gold contracts gold closed at $2,091.90 an ounce, surpassing a previous high set in August 2020.

Spot gold, reflecting the physical gold market, surged more than $35 on Friday, to close at $2,072 after trading as high as $2,075 during the day.

Watch Kiyosaki’s appearance.  It is must-see:

And don’t forget to watch Republic Monetary Exchange’s Jim Clark on Kiyosaki’s RICH DAD podcast as they discuss bankrupt America and Jim’s first-hand experience buying silver for the billionaire Hunt Brothers during the greatest silver bull market of them all.  It is a story that only Jim can tell since he was there! And it has vital lessons for today’s investors!


The Money Madmen Keep Printing!

Once They Get Started, They Can’t Seem to Stop!

Once the money printers get started – whether by actual paper or more modern digital money printing – it usually ends in catastrophe.  

As our present monetary crisis of unrestrained Washinton spending and unpayable US debt continues to unfold, we think it is instructive to recall the utter madness of another modern money printing episode.  The following is an excerpt from my book REAL MONEY FOR FREE PEOPLE: The American Gold Story.

Gideon Gono does not look like a man you would single out at a glance as an idiot or a crazy person. He looks intelligent enough. There is no hysterical giggle with eyes darting wildly about that would cause him to be remembered through the ages as a madman.

But looks can be deceiving.

For a long time to come, when people speak about monetary madness Gideon Gono’s name will come up. He is the man who made his nation an international laughingstock. Monetary historians and hobbyists keep evidence of his handiwork framed on their office walls.

This author has evidence of Gideon Gono’s achievements tucked away in a drawer somewhere: a 100,000,000,000,000 Zimbabwean dollar bill. That is a one-hundred-trillion-dollar bank note issued by the Central Bank of Zimbabwe in 2008. It is the highest denomination that has ever graced a nation’s paper money.

The hyperinflationary Zimbabwe dollar has all the characteristics of a modern currency. It is printed on a fine paper stock, with carefully engraved scrollwork. It has both a serial number and a security strip running through it. There are also authenticating marks that are disclosed under ultraviolet black light.  It bears iconic Zimbabwean images: the balancing rocks at Epworth on the obverse, and cascading Victoria Falls and a cape buffalo on the reverse. 

It is all very dignified and official. It also bears the signature of the governor of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe, Dr. G. Gono.

The numbers that describe Zimbabwe’s monetary practices are so astronomical that the exact details hardly matter, but by 2009 the Zimbabwe dollar/US dollar exchange was Z$2,621,984,228,675,650,147,435,579,309,984,228 to US$1. That would be said as 2 decillion, 621 nonillion, 984 octillion, 228 septillion, 675 sextillion, 650 quintillion, 147 quadrillion, 435 trillion, 579 billion, 309 million, 984 thousand, 228 Zimbabwe dollars in exchange for one US dollar. Gideon Gono was printing money as fast as he could to stave off national bankruptcy.

But Zimbabwe was already bankrupt. Its people were trillionaires who could not afford their next meal. Carrying trillion-dollar notes, they began asking one another what comes after “quadrillion.” The currency was not worth the paper it was printed on. Indeed, the printing made perfectly good paper worthless. 

Just over a decade ago, Zimbabwe was one of the most memorable modern inflationary episodes.

Despite the impoverishment that resulted from that period, today’s Zimbabwe persists in a similar monetary madness.  This summer has seen monthly inflation rates thereof over 101 percent in July and about 77 percent in August.  

Once a nation departs from sound money, gold, and silver, inflation, corruption, cronyism, ruinous interest rates, and wealth destruction are bound to follow.  This brings us to the unfolding of our monetary crisis, driven by unrestrained Washington spending and unpayable US debt.

The following charts are from a Heritage Foundation report called The Road to Inflation: How an Unprecedented Federal Spending Spree Created Economic Turmoil.

First, Washington’s blow-off spending spree between March 2020 and December 2022 of almost $7.5 trillion.

Next, a chart of America’s exploding debt.  In the way it has turned straight up, it can only be described as a “hockey stick” graph.  Note that this chart represents so-called “debt held by the public,” which actually understates total US debt of $33.75 trillion.

And finally, a depiction of the Federal Reserve’s money printing (Quantitative Easing) dating back to the housing bubble in 2008.  Federal Reserve assets basically consist of financial assets like the US government and mortgage bonds that the Fed has purchased with made-up money.  To repeat, it acquired the trillions of dollars of assets shown below with money it simply digitally printed.

As the Heritage report says, “The Fed increased its asset holdings from roughly $900 billion to more than $8.9 trillion (mostly Treasuries) from 2008 through April 2022 during the multiple rounds of QE.

“Fifty-eight percent of this increase has been in the past two and a half years.”  

Washington spending has exploded and has been paid for by Fed money printing.  To repeat, “Once a nation departs from sound money, gold and silver, inflation, corruption, cronyism, ruinous interest rates, and wealth destruction is bound to follow.”


REAL MONEY FOR FREE PEOPLE tells the entire American gold story in a clear and easy-to-understand way.  And because our own monetary madmen have gone down a Gono pathway of their own, you desperately need to see where it leads so that you can protect your wealth and your family.  That is why we want you to have a copy of this important book absolutely free!

Want a signed copy? Click Here to Order Now.  No cost.  No obligation.


Is it Time to End Central Banking?

All Eyes are on Argentina!

It’s an upset!  Javier Milei’s landslide win in Argentina has toppled – at least for now – the country’s inflationary Peronista left-wing rule.  

“Freedom goes forward!  Hail freedom, dammit!” shouted Milei.

Milei will be sworn in as president in December.  He has promised to end central banking and the cronyism that has characterized Argentina.  The free-market champion is said to have won the admiration of both Donald Trump and the leader of Great Britain’s Brexit movement Nigel Farage.  

Economic commentator Michael Shedlock wrote, “Congratulations Argentina for electing the world’s first libertarian president.”  

Reuters summed up the new Argentine president’s economic agenda like this:

Milei is pledging economic shock therapy. His plans include shutting the central bank, ditching the peso, and slashing spending, potentially painful reforms that resonated with voters angry at the economic malaise.

Milei’s challenges are enormous. He will have to deal with the empty coffers of the government and central bank, a creaking $44 billion debt program with the International Monetary Fund, inflation nearing 150% and a dizzying array of capital controls.

Milei’s win shakes up Argentina’s political landscape and economic roadmap, and could impact trade in grains, lithium and hydrocarbons. Milei has criticized China and Brazil, saying he won’t deal with “communists,” and favors stronger U.S. ties.

The presidential term is four years, which gives Milei time to return Argentina to the prosperity that it enjoyed a century ago.  In 1913 it was richer than Germany and France.  Military rule and socialism killed the goose that laid the golden egg after World War I.  

Writing in the Wall Street Journal, John Fund cited a remark by a worker there who said, “Imagine someone born 25 years ago in Argentina. For your entire life, you have seen nothing but misery and little chance to get ahead unless you emigrate. We simply want to be a normal country again.”   

Milei is nothing if not dramatic.  He brandished a chainsaw about as he promised to eliminate useless government ministries.  No doubt his fiery and outspoken style was indispensable in his electoral victory.  But now he will face all the forces of political cronyism and leftism arrayed against him, not just the entrenched financial interests who have profited from the inflationary central banking regime, but the useful idiots of the left in the media and education.  

Grab your popcorn!  The show is about to begin!


Watch Jim on the Rich Dad Podcast with Robert Kiyosaki

RME’s Jim and Charles join friend Robert Kiyosaki to Talk Precious Metals, the Economy, and the Hunt Brothers

This past week, RME’s Jim Clark and Charles Goyette were guests on friend Robert Kiyosaki’s Rich Dad Radio Show. Below you can watch the entire interview. In addition to the topics of the U.S. going bankrupt, precious metals, and more, Jim shares the incredible story of his historic silver trades with the Hunt Brothers from October 1979 to January 1980!

The Hunt Brothers Segment

During the show (at 31:08), Jim and Charles share an incredible story about how they first met Bunker Hunt, and how they eventually aided in the historic Hunt Brothers Silver purchases in 1979 and 1980.

You can jump straight to the Hunt Brothers portion of the show by clicking here.

Who were the Hunt Brothers?

The Hunt Brothers, William Herbert (left) and Nelson Bunker (right) are sworn in by a House subcommittee investigating the collapse of the silver market on May 2, 1980

The Hunt Brothers, Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt, were Texas oilmen who gained notoriety in the early 1980s for their ambitious attempt to corner the global silver market. Starting in the late 1970s, the brothers began accumulating large amounts of silver, driving up its price to unprecedented levels. By early 1980, the price of silver had surged to nearly $50 per ounce. However, their plan eventually collapsed as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission implemented new regulations, and the Hunt Brothers’ financial empire crumbled which eventually led to bankruptcy and legal troubles. Their story remains a cautionary tale of the risks associated with attempting to manipulate commodity markets on such a massive scale.

Jim Clark and Charles Goyette were right in the middle of it all as the dealers who were able to acquire and deliver over 14,000 bags of silver for the brothers between October 1979 and January 1980. With inflation adjusted, that is almost $1 billion worth in today’s money! As Jim tells in the Rich Dad Radio Show video, when the Hunt Brothers took delivery of the silver in April of 1980, they sent seven armored tractor-trailers to haul it away. You can also read more about the Hunt Brothers in Jim’s book “Real Money for Free People: The American Gold Story

Order a complimentary signed copy of “Real Money for Free People: The American Gold Story” here.


Uncle Sam’s Credit Score Keeps Falling

US pays higher rates to borrow than Vietnam, Morocco, Bulgaria…That’s not good news for the world’s biggest debtor or for the dollar!

With its credit rating falling, the US government has to pay higher interest rates than Third World countries to borrow money. 

Being the world’s biggest debtor is starting to catch up with Uncle Sam.  

From Business Insider:

In a surprising development that upends some of the bond world’s time-honored conventions, the US government’s borrowing costs have surged past those of developing nations with much poorer debt ratings such as Vietnam, Morocco, and Bulgaria…

US 10-year yields [which reached 5% last month] are now also higher than those in emerging markets such as Morocco and Bulgaria. Similar rates are at just 3.8% in Greece, the economy at the center of Europe’s sovereign debt crisis a decade ago, and needed multiple European Union bailouts in the following years.

The high US yields also reflect investor concerns about America’s deteriorating public finances. US total debt has more than doubled in the past decade to $33.7 trillion – or 25% more than the nation’s GDP.

Nobody keeps a FICO credit score on Uncle Sam as they do on you and other borrowers and credit card users.  But if they did, it would be falling.  When that happens to ordinary people, it becomes more costly or harder to get loans.

Now, Uncle Sam’s credit standing has been dialed down.  Again.  

Moody’s, one of the major credit rating agencies, has just lowered its outlook for the safety of US government debt from “stable” to “negative.”  This is not a full-frontal downgrade, but it is a warning that there may be more rating humiliation in Uncle Sam’s future.

The likelihood of defaults, along with debt ceilings, uncontrolled spending, deficits off the reservation, and debt up the wazoo are all considerations in the rating outlook.  Of course, higher interest rates make borrowing more costly, as well.

In August another major ratings agency, Fitch, downgraded its US credit rating from AAA to AA+, citing an erosion of confidence in the nation’s fiscal management.  Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen uttered a feeble protest over the downgrade, calling it “arbitrary.”  Like she – she who told us two and a half years ago that inflation was transitory; she more recently insisted that the US can afford wars on two fronts – as she would know.

Former US Secretary of the Treasury and President of the NY Federal Reserve Timothy Geithner

But the governing classes never seem to know.

When Moody’s put the US Treasury on a negative watch list in 2010, then-Treasury secretary Tim Geithner responded with a hasty appearance the following Sunday morning on ABC’s This Week to insist there was no risk of the U.S. losing its AAA bond rating. “Absolutely not,” he vowed. “And that will never happen to this country.”

Nobody laughed at Geithner.  But they should have.

It seems that by the time the ratings agencies figure it out, we’re way out of risk territory.   When Geithner told students at Beijing University in 2009 that Chinese dollar holdings were “very safe,” his assurance drew loud laughter. 

Downgrades soon followed.  In fact, the US lost its AAA credit rating for the first time ever when S&P lowered its rating in 2011.  Moody’s and Fitch lowered their outlook on US debt shortly after.

Uncle Sam, already the world’s biggest debtor, is looking at having to borrow a lot more money, beginning immediately.  But with a sketchier credit rating, that debt cannot be considered (if you’ll pardon the expression) “good as gold.”

Gold and silver are the only monetary assets that are not someone else’s liability. They are not dependent on someone else’s solvency, promises to perform, or honesty. Their value does not depend on the endorsement, propriety, or honesty of any State or institution. They are not like empty government promises.  They have no counterparty risk, no risk of rule changes, nonpayment, default, or bankruptcy by individuals, companies, financial exchanges, institutions, and banks—quite apart from being insulated from the risks of the Fed’s fiat dollar as well. 

It is a wonderful thing for people’s promises to be reliable, and for institutions to be vigorous fiduciaries of their clients’ interests. The modern world with all its miracles is built on the assurance that people will meet their obligations, fulfill their contracts, and respect others’ property. 

When this environment of trust begins to fray, sophisticated civilization itself is at risk.

And that is where we are today.  Everything is at risk.   Except gold and silver, because no one can ever print gold and silver.


Central Banks Keep Buying Gold!

Central Banks all over the world are buying gold. Are you?

Because central banks around the world sold so much gold in the post-WWII era – to hold US dollars in their currency reserves instead – we believe the reversal of that practice represents the biggest monetary megatrend of our time.

In other words, these days central banks are buying gold.  They are de-dollarizing.  

The World Gold Council reports that in September global central banks were net purchasers of 77 tons of gold!

Leading the way in gold acquisitions is the People’s Bank of China. 

Asia’s hunger for gold is manifesting in other ways.   Of course, China has distinguished itself as the world’s leading gold producer.  Now Asia is emerging as a powerful and growing hub for old trading and commerce.  Russia, the world’s second largest gold producer, has recently moved its gold trading from Dubai to Hong Kong.  According to Bloomberg News, “Hong Kong imported 68 tons of Russian gold this year, four times as much as the whole of 2022.”


Industrial Silver Demand To Skyrocket!

End users of industrial silver will experience surging output totaling 46 percent between now and 2033.  The surge is expected to be especially rapid in the electrical and electronics industries which are forecasted to grow by 55 percent over the decade. 

That is the finding of a new study by Oxford Economics, a leading global economic forecasting and econometric analysis consultancy based in London.  The report “Fabrication Demand Drivers for Silver in the Industrial, Jewelry and Silverware Sectors Through 2033,” was commissioned by the Silver Institute.  

 Over 60 million ounces of silver are used annually in motor vehicles

The study reports:

Between 2023 and 2033, we forecast the output of end users of industrial silver will increase by 46% in real terms. This partly reflects two thirds of the usage in 2022 was by the electrical and electronics applications industry, which is forecast to exhibit the fastest growth in output at 55%, rather than the slower growing smaller segments.

Our forecasts suggest that the demand for silver for jewelry manufacturing will increase by 34% between 2023 and 2033.

Silverware fabricators’ output is forecast to increase by 30% over the next decade. Some 43% of the growth in output between 2023 and 2033 is forecast to occur in India, although this is less than the country’s 73% share of the market in 2022. • 

Combined, the output of industrial, jewelry and silverware fabricators is forecast to increase by 42% between 2023 and 2033. This is roughly double the rate of growth of their demand for silver over the previous decade.

Earlier this year the Silver Institute forecast investment demand for 2023 to reach 295 million ounces, the second highest on record.


Col. Douglas Macgregor says: “We Will Never Get to the 2024 Election! Banks will Close!”

Some quotes from Colonel Douglas Macgregor:

“I don’t think we’ll ever get to the 2024 election!  I think things are going to implode in Washington before then.”
“I think our economic financial condition is fragile.  It’s going to come home to roost in ugly ways.”

We have a great deal of respect for Colonel Douglas Macgregor.  He is one of the most reliable and informed voices in today’s public debate.  He is a former senior advisor to the Secretary of Defense.  His level of insight is far beyond that of the usual Washington hacks.  In fact, he does what you would think anyone in public policy should do.  He asks what the consequences of each decision will be.  In advance.

Simple enough?  Yes, except that almost no one in public life does that.  They print trillions of dollars without asking what the consequences will be.  They foment foreign wars without asking what the consequences will be.

Colonel Douglas Macgregor

But Macgregor does look down the road at consequences.   He has now been forced to conclude that we won’t even have an election in 2024.  That’s how far-gone things are.  Our fragile economic condition is catching up with us, he says, and we’ll be seeing banks close as well.

In short, you need to be prepared because things are about to implode.  As Macgregor says, an upheaval is coming:

I will tell you; I don’t know exactly how it will happen.  I think we’re going to end up in a situation where we find out the banks are closed for two or three weeks, and nobody can get into them.

I also think that the levels of violence and criminality in our cities is so high that it’s going to spill over into other places in society.  People that normally think that they can live remote from the problem are now beginning to be touched by the problem.

Col. Douglas Macgregor

Watch this important interview with Macgregor.  The video will start at the point where he makes his comments about the 2024 election and the closing of banks. (At 1:53:27).

Regular readers of these commentaries know that we think things are every bit as grave as Colonel Macgregor concludes.  Unstoppable consequences will have their way, but you can protect your wealth and your family with gold and silver.  You must take the necessary steps.  We can help.  Call or stop by Republic Monetary Exchange or call us at (602) 955-6500.


China Keeps Gobbling Up Gold!

Newsweek reports that China is gobbling up gold on the international market.  China is already the world’s largest gold producer, but it’s buying more gold hand-over-fist.  And it has been doing so every single month for almost a year.

For thirteen years central banks have been socking away gold.

The Financial Times headlines its account of China’s aggressive gold buying this way:

China leads record central bank gold buying in first nine months of year

Central banks in emerging markets look to reduce reliance on US dollar for reserve holdings

Describing China’s appetite for gold as “voracious,” FT reports, “China has stood out as the largest purchaser of gold this year as part of an 11-month buying streak. The People’s Bank of China has reported snapping up 181 tons this year, taking gold holdings to 4 percent of its reserves.”

Are you wondering why China is so serious about gold?

It is because China is preparing for a crisis, a monetary meltdown.  

They see more bank and bond market trouble on the horizon, uncontrollable US spending, and unpayable US debt.  And maybe even more war.  A lot more war. 

When it comes to monetary affairs, China knows the Golden Rule:  He who has the gold makes the rules! 

So, China is aggressively buying more gold to protect itself from both financial and geopolitical risks.  Shouldn’t you be doing the same thing?

At Republic Monetary Exchange, we advise our friends and clients to do what people have done for thousands of years, especially when the handwriting is on the wall!  Preserve your wealth with gold and silver.

See us today.  If you don’t have a gold and silver professional at Republic Monetary Exchange, simply call or stop buying and you will be connected with an experienced consultant who will help you achieve your wealth preservation and profit objectives with precious metals!

Republic Monetary Exchange—  stop by on Camelback, just east of 40th Street.  Or call 602-955-6500 Monday-Friday anytime between 9 am-5 pm!


Why Do They Want to Destroy the Currency and Economy?

Here are a Few Answers!

Someone asked us, “Why does the Federal Reserve destroy our money with inflation?  Don’t they realize what they are doing to this country?”

No answer we give will be complete.  There are too many things going on and too many different interests at work for an all-encompassing response.   But we’ll provide a couple of the leading components in our response.

Let us answer the second part of the question first.  Some of the people inside the Fed do realize what they are doing to this country.  And they keep doing it because what it is doing to the country is what they want done.  You might think of them as believers in George Soros’s new world order:  They don’t like America and they want it changed.  They want to level the world into a uniform socialist mediocrity (with a special class of rulers, to be sure:  themselves!)  These are members of the Davos crowd who want you to eat bugs and own nothing.

Others don’t know any better.  Although she seems to have a foot in both camps, both among those who intend what they are doing, as well as a leading figure among those hopelessly without a clue how things work, we give you Janet Yellen.  

Why does the Fed do it?  It destroys our money for a number of reasons.  It serves the governing classes, giving them “free” paper or digitally printed money) for vote-buying giveaways, and to win elections.  The central bank’s power to create and destroy money is the power to boom and bust the economy at will.  It is the power to support and sustain the banks and the crony classes that created the Fed in the first place.  

There can be no doubt that the orgy of “galloping central bankism” that we have seen over the last generation or so has profited the crony classes enormously.  Just take a look at the following chart.  It depicts an explosion in the net worth of the wealthy, the top one percent versus the entire 50 percent of the population at the bottom.

That chart is provided and explained by David Stockman in his newsletter Contra Corner.  He writes:

On the eve of the Greenspan money-pumping era in Q4 1989, the net worth of the top 1% was about $5 trillion, while the bottom 50% held about $800 billion of net worth. But thereafter came the great Greenspanian bubble, perpetuated with even added gusto by his successors.

Accordingly, during the last three decades the top 1% have gained an additional $40 trillion of net worth, while the bottom 50% have picked up just $2.9 trillion. So the math of central bank fueled asset bubbles is impossible to deny: To wit, the wealth of the top 1% was 6X that of the bottom 50% in 1989, representing reasonably honest capitalism at work. But since then that figure had soared to 12X— owing to the Fed’s relentless flooding of Wall Street with easy money and repeated bailouts.

Of course, the founders of this country knew that given the power over the creation of money, that power would be used to profit the few at the expense of the many.  That is why they intended to create a gold and silver-based monetary system, prohibiting the “creation” of money out of thin air.

Too bad we didn’t follow the founders.  But you can still get off the paper money and digital printing trains before they arrive at their destination: a place called The Crack-Up Boom!  

That’s when everyone realizes at once that the paper and digital money are going bad, and they all try to get off the train at once. That’s usually too late.  Better to own gold and silver, especially at today’s preferred prices.


Can the Fed Declare Victory? Is the Inflation War Over?

We say be prepared for an inflation resurgence!

Some sectors of the markets along with some analysts believe that the Federal Reserve has declared victory over inflation.

That would be like General Custer encountering one lone Sioux on his way to Little Big Horn and patting himself on the back.

Still, stocks roared higher the day after Powell’s latest press conference.  The Dow was up 564 points; the S&P rose 80 points; the Nasdaq index took off, climbing 232 points.

So is their verdict correct?  Has the inflation bogeyman been vanquished?  Did Custer vanquish the Sioux? 

Not hardly.

Of course, the Fed doesn’t want to raise rates.  It doesn’t want to be blamed for a collapsing housing market, bond market, and stock market.  But it should have thought of that when it prints the last few trillion dollars.  No, with the Fed it is never forethought.  It is always an afterthought.

So, it doesn’t want to raise rates.  However, it did not want to raise them when it began raising rates in 2022.  Consumer anger over rising prices forced their hand.

So that’s two meetings in a row that the Fed has punted, leaving rates unchanged.  And it gave no indication that another rate hike would be forthcoming at its December meeting.  “The stance of policy is restrictive,” said Powell, “meaning that tight policy is putting downward pressure on economic activity and inflation, and the full effects of our tightening have yet to be felt.”

And that was enough for some participants to conclude that the Fed’s bias is to hold rates where they are.  Until something else happens.

Something about this is uncannily familiar.  Other central banks, who know the inflation racket better than anyone since they are the inflation racker, keep buying gold. 
Central bank gold demand so far this year is 14 percent ahead of the same period last year.  But it also reminds us of when the Fed prematurely assumed inflation was under control in the 1970s.  

It wasn’t.

Here’s a chart from Jeffrey Kleintop, Jeffrey Kleintop, Chief Global Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab that we ran during the summer.

The chart shows the CPI from 1966 to 1982 in blue.  That includes the inflation decade of the 1970s.  Clearly inflation roared up in 1973 – 74, eased off, and took off again in 1978 – 79. 

The yellow line overlaying it is the CPI from 2013 until now.  It is almost uncanny how closely the patterns align.   Most economists today understand that the Federal Reserve concluded it had won the war on inflation in the mid-70s.  But they declared victory too soon and price inflation roared back even stronger than before.

Kleintop says, “It’s funny how history rhymes!”

It is funny.  Remember that four other members of his own family were killed along with General Custer at the Battle of Little Big Horn: his 18-year-old nephew, his brother-in-law, and two younger brothers.  

Protect your family and your wealth.  Take advantage of today’s gold and silver prices and be ready for inflation’s resurgence.  Speak with your Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals professional today.


Debt Crisis Headlines

Read ‘Em and Weep! Or Buy Gold and Laugh!

At least we’re not the only ones writing about the US Treasury’s debt crisis now.  The story is starting to play far and wide now.  That’s because it is becoming impossible to ignore!

Here are three consecutive headlines from the Drudge Report on Wednesday, 11/1.  The links are all active so you can – and probably should – read the stories yourself.  Nevertheless, we will comment briefly on each.

Treasury to step up size of bond sales to manage growing debt load and higher rates…

SUMMERS: U.S. fiscal deficit more serious problem ‘than ever before’…

Druckenmiller says govt needs to stop spending like ‘drunken sailors’…

The Treasury’s borrowing needs (so that Washington can continue to spend money it doesn’t have) are exploding.  The first story reports that it needs to borrow more than Three-quarters of a trillion dollars in the current quarter.  It needs $776 billion this quarter (Oct-Nov-Dec, and even more in the following quarter, $816 billion.

In the last fiscal year ending September 30, federal red ink totaled $1.7 trillion.  Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, who in our memory has never been a meaningful advocate of Washington restraint, says that today’s deficits are probably the biggest economic challenge in US history.

Summer’s first avenue of attack on the deficit would be to step up collections, which is what that $80 billion in new IRS funding in the so-called Inflation Reduction Act is all about.   Despite Washington’s denial, you can expect the middle class to be hounded at new levels of intensity by the IRS. In other words, the taxman is coming for you!  This will result in barely concealed hostility setting the people even more in opposition to the government.  

 Hedge fund billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller has some choice words about Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen lately, as have we.  (See our recent post Head for the Safety Zone.)  Before Covid, notes Druckenmiller, Washington spent 20 percent of GDP.  Now it spends 25 percent.  How does he propose to fix things?  He has Social Security and seniors in his crosshairs.  Sure, go after old people, while the Deep State and Yellen think we can afford two and three-front wars.  

In any case, the spending will leave America a hollowed-out hulk, a shadow of what we were.  On CNBC the other day, Druckenmiller accused Washington of spending “like drunken sailors.”  His appearance was virtually an emotional plea for us to get a handle on spending.  “We’ve got to stop, guys. We’re drunk. We’re digging this deep hole. What are we doing here?”  More than forty years ago Ronald Reagan said comparing Washington to drunken sailors is a slur on drunken sailors!

What is the net-net-net of all these stories? Simple.  It’s every man and woman for him or herself.  The Washington institutions do not have your well-being at heart.  The ship of state is a ship of fools.  They have run it into the shallow reefs.  

Get off the sinking Washington monetary ship while you can.  Protect yourself with gold and silver today.


They’re Stealing Everything That Isn’t Nailed Down!

A sign that the American monetary system won’t last…. and why you must own gold and silver!

The governing classes and the people in Washington are stealing everything that isn’t nailed down.  It sounds like hyperbole to say that it is the end of times.  We don’t exactly say that, but we do say that the Washington hogs ferocious and frenzied feeding at the taxpayers’ trough is a sign that it is the end of the existing fiat monetary system.  They know it, so they are gobbling up everything they can, while they still can!

Two examples should be enough to illustrate the shamelessness of the larceny, one from the Bidenistas, the other from the Federal Reserve.

Watch Senator Josh Hawley as he questions the Director of the Loan Programs office at the US Department of Energy about events at which people seeking loans from the Energy Department pay to hear him speak.  

The Washington Free Beacon reports that the official in the following video, Jigar Shah, founded the private trade association, Cleantech Leaders, which is now a “gatekeeper for companies seeking billions of dollars in financing from Shah’s office.”

Companies connected to the trade association have raked in cash from Shah’s office. Last week, the Loan Programs Office approved a $3 billion loan to a solar company led by Cleantech Leaders’s board director. The group’s corporate sponsors have also pulled in funding.

The cozy relationship between Shah and Cleantech Leaders is raising questions about whether the organization’s members are getting favorable treatment in the loan process.

You will note that Senator Hawley is befuddled at the decision-making official’s complete lack of shame at this apparently corrupt behavior.  But there is no shame when the system is collapsing.

But the next one is even worse!

Robert Kaplan is the former president of the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank.  While Kaplan (a former vice chairman of Goldman Sachs – of course!) was a voting member of the interest-rate and policy setting Fed Open Market Committee, he was secretly trading his own account “like a hedge fund kingpin!”

That’s the description from Wall Street on Parade.  From their report:

To understand how truly bizarre and alarming the trading scandal case involving former Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan is, some important background is necessary:

Kaplan didn’t just trade in and out of stocks while a voting member of the interest-rate setting committee of the Fed (known as the Federal Open Markets Committee or FOMC); Kaplan also traded in and out of $1 million+ lots of S&P 500 futures. That is astonishing; unprecedented; and lacks any viable justification for a sitting Fed official… Kaplan resigned from the Dallas Fed in September 2021, the same month that the trading scandal went viral in the news….

S&P 500 futures gave Kaplan access to making directional bets on where the market would go after the stock market closed, which is typically when the Fed makes market-moving announcements.

It is worse than that.  It has been more than two years since the Kaplan trading scandal was discovered.  He “retired early” from the Fed, but there has not yet been any official finding from any internal Fed investigation, much less any finding or action from any relevant law enforcement or regulatory bodies at issue.  

Furthermore, Wall Street on Parade reports that Kaplan “brazenly refused to list the specific dates of his stock and S&P 500 futures trades as specifically required by the financial disclosure forms.” 

Brazenly.  Shamelessly.  Those are good descriptors for the behavior of the governing classes in the time of collapse.

And that is just one more reason to protect yourself with gold and silver!


War and Inflation

Biden is Burning Down the House!

“The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists.”

– Ernest Hemingway

By now you probably know that that Biden is burning down the house.  Inflation has plagued American families on his watch.  And now it looks like more war than even we expected.

And don’t think for a minute that the prospect is for “just” a two-front war.  Events in the South China Sea look like they can easily boil over at any time over very little.  A leaky, rusty bucket of bolts owned by the Philippines, a US ally, is the latest issue of contention.

Here’s Ron Paul’s description of Biden on the war front: 

President Joe Biden announced last week that the United States would be funding – and possibly fighting – three wars in three different parts of the world at the same time. It is an ambitious foreign policy for a president who doesn’t even seem to be able to express a coherent thought without the help of a teleprompter…

As Biden demands another $105 billion to fund the wars in Ukraine, Gaza, and Taiwan, his speech seemed to have a touch of campaign rhetoric in it. “I’m told I was the first American [president] to enter a warzone not controlled by the United States military since President Lincoln,” he said in his speech. The statement is blatantly false, but he must believe it gives him an air of bravado.

With due respect to Congressman Paul, we think Biden is way past mere bravado.  We think he is dangerously intoxicated on the Neocon’s war Cool-Aid.

Paul Singer of Elliott Investment Management says the world is much more perilous than markets are pricing in and that investors should be more worried. “The world is now completely dependent on the good sense of leaders to avoid an Armageddon.”  

And inflation?  It was two years ago that the Fed finally acknowledged that its inflation wasn’t “transitory” as it had insisted.  Now the Fed has been raising interest rates for a year and a half!  Yet today, Chairman Powell, after his record-setting intervention in the markets, confesses that inflation is still too high.  And real (meaning adjusted for inflation) disposable personal income is down.

Let us use US beef prices to illustrate price inflation today:  

So, Washington’s interest rate regime hasn’t wrung inflation out of the system, but as the following graph from NBC makes clear, it has assured that the median household income is no longer enough to afford the median-priced home:

Inflation and war.  As Hemmingway said, “Both bring a permanent ruin!”

But of course, there is more: The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is practically empty.  Washington is in chaos.  Banks are on the brink.  Digital currencies are on the fast track. And China is dumping US bonds.

None of this is good for your freedom and prosperity.

Biden is burning down the house!  Better come see us at Republic Monetary Exchange.  Better protect your family and your wealth with real money, gold, and silver.  


Rich Dad’s Wake-Up Call!

Gold’s next stop is $3,700!  Silver to $68!

It’s time now to wake up!   And to tell your friends!

Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki doesn’t issue a wake-up call like that very often.  When he does, he means it!

We follow our friend Robert closely.   And since he says we should tell our friends to wake up now,  we are sharing his dramatic warning and gold and silver price calls from his most recent “X” (Twitter) alert:

Gold will soon break through $2,100 and then take off. You will wish you had bought gold below $2,000. Next stop gold $3,700….  Silver from $23 to $68 an ounce. Savers of fake dollars F’d. Please tell your friends to “Wake up.” Take care.

We agree.  We are at a very important monetary crossroads with spreading wars, debt spiraling into the stratosphere, and Washington as badly run as we have seen it in our lifetime.

That’s why we have advised our friends and clients to head to gold and silver – to the Maximum Safety Zone – now.  

Please review Robert Kiyosaki’s warning carefully and his target for gold to take off and hit $3,700 and his silver target of $68.

Then reach out to us and speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver professional today!


A Very Bullish Outlook for Gold

The gold picture is coming into view, and it is very bullish according to one of our favorite commentators, Michael “Mish” Shedlock from MishTalk.com.

We’ve known “Mish” for a very long time, dating all the way back to when he was a small, still voice warning about the housing bubble.

Gold Massive Cup and Handle

Mish points to the classic technical pattern, the “cup and handle” in the gold chart, and says that gold “is flirting with a major breakout having undergone a huge three-year consolidation.

“If the next major move is higher, as I suspect, the move rates to be explosive.”

Mish is not alone in expecting an explosive move in gold.  We have shared elsewhere Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki’s call for gold and silver.  He expects gold to break above $2,100 and then take off with its next stop at $3,700.  A move like that would be consistent with the technical picture, especially with Gold’s repeated interim tops at just over $2,000. 

Kiyosaki expects silver to share in the move, racing up from $23 to $68.  He urges you to tell your friends to wake up. 

Robert is watching the fundamentals.  Mish is looking at the technical picture.  Both are talking about an explosive move up in gold!

Make sure your portfolio is up to date.  Speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver professional without delay!


Head For the Safety Zone!

Time for Maximum Safety… Gold and Silver!

It’s time to head for the maximum safety zone.

Multi-front wars that can escalate at any second without warning.  Energy in the cross hairs.  Debt through the roof.  

And Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says America can afford two wars at the same time. 

It is time to head for the maximum safety zone.  And that means gold and silver.

We remember other geniuses who thought a two-front war was a sure thing.  But Yellen must not have noticed that we are drowning in more than $33 trillion in debt (actually $33,629,187,105,622.79 as of October 18.)  

Maybe Yellen hasn’t noticed that Uncle Sam is borrowing at the rate of $2 trillion a year, and that the interest cost of all that debt is climbing, and climbing fast.  And yet Biden wants another $100 billion for Israel and Ukraine.  

Has Ms. Yellen failed to note that US government debt has been downgraded?   Or that energy prices are on the line, with threats to producers and transit zones like the Persian Gulf?  Perhaps she doesn’t understate that Biden has practically emptied our Strategic Petroleum Reserves.

We wonder if the Secretary is aware that at the beginning of 2022, China helped finance US government borrowing by owning more than a trillion dollars of Treasury securities (she is after all Treasury secretary – she should know).  Yet now, at a time when the US needs to borrow more than ever, China’s holdings have dropped to $822 billion.

Biden and Yellen and the other Washington geniuses have us one miscalculation away from a calamity.

Already more and more people are trying to live on their credit cards.  Almost a quarter of Americans report that they slip deeper into credit card debt every month.  Did anyone mention that to Janet “Two Front War” Yellen?  As for the global picture, the world is drowning in more than $300 trillion in debt.  When debt is greater than what production can repay, an avalanche starts.  Certainly, Biden has never thought for a moment about such things, and maybe Yellen hasn’t either.

And that is why we say now is the time to head for the gold and silver zone of maximum safety!  Now, not tomorrow or next month!

Speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver professional today. Come in to visit or call us at 602-633-8315. We are available Monday-Friday 9-5 MST.


More People Will Recognize Gold’s Importance

Gold is Much More Than Just a Metal!

Paul Tudor Jones is one of those billionaire hedge fund managers.  We caught him on CNBC the other day and wanted to share a few of his observations.

Put simply, Jones says, “I believe gold’s value will continue to rise as more people recognize its importance in the financial system.”

After all, gold is “not just a metal!”

We cited Jones a little over two years ago when he made it clear that he didn’t think inflation was transitory as the Federal Reserve insisted.  At about the same time, he charged the Fed with “the most inappropriate monetary policy that I’ve seen maybe in my lifetime.” 

 That’s easy to agree with.  

And it is not just monetary policy that has his attention.  Fiscal policy – Washington’s spending and debt – has him equally concerned.  Jones says the US today “is probably in its weakest fiscal position since certainly World War II” with our debt was 122 percent of GDP.  

At the same time, the debt-t0 GDP ratio is back in the nosebleed section where it was after World War II, higher interest rates will make funding all that debt — $33.5 trillion – much more difficult.” 

Says Jones, “As interest costs go up in the United States, you get in this vicious circle, where higher interest rates cause higher funding costs, cause higher debt issuance, which cause further bond liquidation, which cause higher rates, which put us in an untenable fiscal position.”

But our challenges are not just fiscal and monetary.  Jones describes us as living in the most threatening geopolitical environment he has ever seen.  We have geopolitical challenges that could ultimately erupt into nuclear war, he says. 

We now have possibly three theaters where we’re going to have geopolitical challenges. We’ve got the Middle East and Israel, obviously, Ukraine and Russia and then at some point down the road, Taiwan and China.

You have four nuclear powers, three of whom are led by sociopaths, and that would be China, Russia and North Korea.

It is at times like these that people begin to realize that gold is not just a metal!

Here’s a link to a portion of Jones’s CNBC interview.  It is worth a view. 

Be sure to speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver specialist now.  Don’t wait until everyone realizes the necessity of owning gold!


Shrink or Treat?

We’ve Been Talking About ‘Shrinkflation’, But This is Ridiculous!

We’ve written many times about the Federal Reserve’s destruction of the US dollar’s purchasing power.  We’ve written about shrinkflation, businesses concealing price increases with smaller package sizes. (See HERE and HERE.)  

And we have even joked about what we call “The Incredible Shrinking Candy Bar.”

But now shrinkflation has gotten completely out of hand as you will see in this clip.  

Our advice is to keep your money in real money, money that can’t be devalued by Washington.  And that means gold and silver.

Now, watch this!   It’s a sign of the times!

We’ve been following the Shrinkflation sub on Reddit- and we’ve been seeing these posts get more and more ridiculous month by month! Check out the latest of what the kids could be getting north of the border this Halloween…

https://www.reddit.com/r/shrinkflation/s/2mLc9BIr0H

The Consumer Price Index and Social Security

“The hurrier you go, the behinder you get!”

If you think you are falling behind in the dollar economy, you are right.  The plain truth is that if you weren’t targeted to fall farther and farther behind, there would be no reason at all for inflation.

In a moment of irony, Washington released the “official” 12-month consumer price increase report at the same time it announced what Social Security cost of living increases will be in 2024.

Here are the numbers:

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4 percent in September.  For the 12 months ending September 30, the CPI rose 3.7 percent.  For the Western states including Arizona, the 12-month CPI rose 4.0 percent.

The Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA) for Social Security benefits will be 3.2 percent.  

The government’s CPI says that you are paying on average 3.7 percent more for goods and services today than you were last year.  So, beginning next year Social Security recipients will get a 3.2 percent increase to compensate for higher prices they have already been paying for a year.  

Never mind that the Consumer Prices figures are among the sketchiest numbers that Washington produces, widely believed to massively understate the real rate at which the cost of goods and services is climbing.  And even by the official Washington scoreboard, prices have risen in the Western states, not by 3.7 percent, but by 4.0 percent.

Too bad if you live in the West.  Too bad that your cost-of-living adjustment lags the higher prices you have already been paying.

But bear in mind that inflation has to rob somebody, and those somebodies are us.  The money that the government prints, the increase in the amount of money and credit created by the central bank, only takes on value to the extent that it deprives someone else of purchasing power.

When the government prints money – digitally or otherwise – it doesn’t increase the amount of goods and services in the economy.  It just means that the politicians and their cronies who receive the new money are competing with other people who have dollars for those goods and services.  More people with more money bid up the price of the amount of goods and services available.  

That is how inflation works.  If the government relied on some honest index to make sure that Social Security recipients and other dollar holders keep up with inflation, there would be no point in inflating.  For someone to come by purchasing power without producing anything to earn it means that someone else must lose.

Social Security recipients are among those who lose.

Future retirees must protect themselves from this flim-flam by keeping a portion of their savings in real money, in money that can’t be printed and devalued.

And that means gold!  Gold short-circuits the schemes of the money printers to enrich themselves and their cronies at your expense.  As we say so often, they can’t print gold!


Echoes of Stagflation

Here We Go Again!

It’s been a while since we last wrote about the Stagflation Decade, the 1970s, but some of the parallels are so eerie that even one of the world’s biggest banks has started to notice!

The 1970s era was characterized by oil price shocks, the Soviet war in Afghanistan, and high inflation.

Deutsche Bank, a leading multinational investment bank, is now pointing to those and other ominous parallels.  

Deutsche analysts Henry Allen and Cassidy Ainsworth-Grace write:

Inflation remains above target across the major economies; we have witnessed severe spikes in energy prices over recent years; and there’s been growing industrial unrest.

Over the weekend, the attacks on Israel showed how geopolitical risk can return unexpectedly. And we are also seeing an El Niño event this year, which echoes a similar event in the early 1970s that put upward pressure on food prices.

It’s not time for complacency they warn:

Inflation is still above target in every G7 country, and the 1970s showed how unexpected shocks could rapidly send inflation higher once again. History also suggests that the last phase of returning inflation to target is the hardest.

And given inflation has already been above target for the last two years, a fresh inflationary spike could well lead expectations to become unanchored.

The costs of the Vietnam War played a huge role in the stagflation that plagued the American people in the 70s.  So far, the Biden gang has thrown $100 billion in taxpayer money into Ukraine.  Never forget that war leads to larger fiscal deficits, more debt monetization, and higher inflation on a persistent basis!

All the numbers are much bigger now, the amount of spending and debt, the prices of oil, and the costs of war.  A brand-new stagflation decade will mean a gold and silver bull market that will be much bigger than the one your grandparents remember.  Speak with your Republic Monetary Exchange professional advisor about stagflation.  Prepare yourself now without delay.


Trump Endorses Kari Lake for Senate

“We Need Strong Fighters Like Kari” Trump Endorses Kari Lake for Senate. And So Do I!

Great News!  It’s official!  Kari Lake is running for the US Senate.  She kicked off her campaign on Tuesday, 10/10, with a blockbuster personal endorsement from President Trump.


Some of President Trump’s remarks:

A Republican must win and we must win very, very big…

I will need a majority in the House and in the Senate. We have to have a big, strong majority to help me push our America First agenda through.

“That starts right here tonight by helping Kari Lake win in Arizona.  And she will win, too!  She’s an amazing woman respected by everybody.  Kari is one of the toughest fighters in our movement, and I am proud to give her my complete and total endorsement for the United States Senate.

With people like Kari fighting for Arizona in the Senate, with me in the White House, we will make America great again!

“God bless you!   God bless Arizona!  And Kari, God bless you!


Are you ready to make a difference in our country?  Are you ready to send Kari to Washington?  

Jim with Kari at her Senate Campaign Announcement Event, 10/10/23

Many of you know something of my commitment to Kari Lake when she ran for Governor.  As a lifelong Arizonan who cares deeply for our State, I rolled up my sleeves and went to work, raising money for her campaign and spreading the message day and night, wherever I could.

Now I am delighted for this new chance to join President Trump in the fight to make America great again!  And I join him in his enthusiastic endorsement of Kari for US Senate! 

Help us make Kari Lake Arizona’s next US Senator.  Help roll back the bankruptcy of Bidenomics and the chaos and confusion in the White House.  

We will have to work harder than ever, but we can send President Trump back to the White House with an incredible Senator in his corner – Kari Lake!

Thanks to all our friends and clients for joining us in this fight!

– Jim Clark

Here is the link to Kari’s campaign if you would like to donate and get involved!


First Comes a Big Commercial Real Estate Crash

…and then the Fed Cranks up the Printing Presses!

A Bloomberg Survey discovers widespread expectations of a major commercial real estate crash!  We’re looking at nine months of brutal price declines, according to respondents.

Details from Bloomberg’s latest Markets Live Pulse survey:

About two-thirds of the 919 respondents surveyed by Bloomberg believe that the US office market will only rebound after a severe collapse. An even greater majority says that US commercial real estate prices won’t hit bottom until the second half of 2024 or later.

That’s bad news for the $1.5 trillion of commercial real estate debt that according to Morgan Stanley is due before the end of 2025. Refinancing it won’t be easy, particularly the roughly 25% of commercial property that is office buildings.

That will get the Fed to pivot to another round of Quantitative Easing, another name for money printing.  When exactly will the Fed pivot?  No one knows exactly, but Ronald Reagan had a good line to illustrate what motivates bureaucrats: “When I feel the heat, I see the light!”

We will keep an eye on the Fed as always, and alert you in these spaces for signs of them seeing the light.  It is our view as well that the Fed is heavily stacked with statists and bureaucrats who are devoted to the Democrat Party.  They will likely juice monetary policy, that is ease monetary conditions, in time to make the economy look stronger in November in support of a Democrat presidential ticket – whether or not that includes Biden.

But it takes a while for changes in monetary policy to kick in.  So they don’t have long before they must pivot.

 The nation’s banks are up to their eyeballs in commercial real estate loans.  If there is one thing we know from historical experience, when the banks start rocking, the Fed starts rolling.  Indeed, the Fed was the brainchild of the private banks in the first place, looking for someone to bail them out when they get in trouble.   And that is exactly what the Fed has done.  And will do it again.  

And that is like rocket fuel for the price of gold!

Stated differently, when the banks are profitable, they get to keep their profits.  But when the banks suffer losses, like in the 2008 mortgage meltdown, Washington will move heaven and earth to protect them from losses.  They will be shifted to the people typically by high inflation.

Be ready!


Who Needs Enemies When You Have Banks?

Robert Kiyosaki warns!

We’re not alone in pointing to cracks in the US banks!  We’ve been running around like our hair is on fire warning about trouble ahead.  But if anything, we might be accused of understating the case.  Wait until you hear what Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki says!

Here is his tweet from just days ago:

The FDIC has over 725 US banks on death watch list.  What does that mean?  It means America does not need enemies. America has bankers. Our criminal bankers  start with Jerome Powell of the Fed, Janet Yellin of our Treasury and  Jamie Diamond of our banks. God help us. USA does not need criminals. We hire them as our bankers.

Robert Kiyosaki , 10/1/23 Twitter/X https://x.com/theRealKiyosaki/status/1708677114470314258?s=20

And that is why our friend Robert’s Rich Dad Poor Dad is the number one biggest-selling personal finance book of all time.  It’s because he doesn’t pussyfoot around.  He calls things straight.  

We came very close to a bank meltdown in March, as banks like Signature and Silicon Valley Bank toppled.  Higher interest rates exposed the cracks in those banks.  But as Kiyosaki points out, there are hundreds more banks in deep water, in number greater than just a visible few like Signature and Silicon Valley.  Hundreds more.  And in addition to rising interest rates decimating their bond holdings, there is the additional problem of the fast-growing commercial real estate crisis.  The Wall Street Journal reports that banks have $3.6 trillion in exposure to commercial real estate, about 20 percent of their total deposits.

How does the central bank respond to a bank crisis?  We know the answer from long experience.  It prints money to bail them out.  So you pay to bail out the banks from their own mismanagement!  You pay with inflation.  You pay because the dollars you have, the dollars you have saved, lose purchasing power.  That purchasing power is transferred to the crony banks!

That is why you need to own gold and silver.  That is why Robert Kiyosaki recommends his followers protect themselves with gold and silver.  The cracks in the banking system have already begun appearing.  Don’t wait.  Take advantage of today’s advantageous gold and silver prices!

And our thanks to Robert Kiyosaki for the straight talk!


War and Gold

Those of us who follow these things carefully (a minority enthusiasm for sure!) are so totally mesmerized by the rickety position of the banks and the government, that we might be accused of ignoring a story as big, if not bigger.  So let us assure you that the prospects of war are not going unnoticed.

In fact, few things are as capable of sending precious metals prices off and running as war.  It was more than a generation ago when the Iranian revolution and the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan helped drive gold prices to what were unthinkable new highs.   

Today international tension persists at levels not seen since the Cuban Missile Crisis, a showdown with nuclear prospects 61 years ago this month.  Today we note that, seeing the US and NATO as aggressors continually encroaching on its frontiers, Russia has embarked on a nationwide – that is across eleven time zones, by the way – nuclear attack exercise.  

At the same time, President Putin is calling up 130,000 conscripts for Russian military service this fall, raising the age for conscription to 30.  For its part, British Defense Secretary Grant Shapps set off a firestorm in Russia when he talked last week about sending troops from the UK to Ukraine.  The imbecility of such an escalation was enough that Britain’s Prime Minister tried to walk it back, but the truth is that the UK already has special operations forces in Ukraine.

For his part, Biden wants to keep the escalation going, no matter how dicey things get.  But the youth of America, as well as their parents, should know that the Deep State always has the plan to restart the draft.  Here’s a single line from an Army War College journal, an article entitled, Casualties, Replacements, and Reconstitutions: “Large-scale combat operations troop requirements may well require a reconceptualization of the 1970s and 1980s volunteer force and a move toward partial conscription.”

That’s not all.  The other day this story appeared from Washington:  “The U.S. military on Thursday shot down a Turkish drone that had come in too close to U.S. troops on the ground in Hasakah, Syria, a U.S. official told The Associated Press.”

US troops in Syria?  

Sure.  Troops are everywhere,  just enough to act like a tripwire and ensure we get drawn into future conflicts everywhere.

Two other notes.

First, Goldman Sachs points out that the US strategic petroleum reserves are at a 40-year low.  Open warfare would scream for the reserves to be replenished quickly at any cost.  Unfortunately, “any cost” is today a much higher cost.  Too bad Biden didn’t think about that when he was milking the reserves for political advantage.

And secondly, this observation from David Stockman puts our burgeoning war spending into perspective:

“In 1980 the comprehensive national security budget for DOD, international operations, and veterans cost $175 billion per year, which figure now stands at $1.304 trillion. But even that is deemed woefully deficient by the Uniparty war caucus and is therefore heading dramatically higher as Washington’s warhawks and neocons push America ever closer to a needless but cataclysmic war with Russia and China.”

Gold is the world’s unparalleled wealth protection in times of chaos and war.

At today’s prices, it is clear the geopolitical risk is being almost completely ignored.  That is an advantage for our friends and clients that will not last. 

Word to the wise.


Did the FBI Steal Their Gold?

Looks like the government and corrupt officials both want gold, gold, gold!

“We are devaluing American money so rapidly that in America today, you can’t even bribe Democrat senators with cash alone. You need to bring gold bars to get the job done just so the bribes hold value.”

Rep. Matt Gaetz

He’s always looked to us like a sketchy guy.  New Jersey Senator Bob Menendez.  Very sketchy. And his indictment this month on federal bribery charges is not his first go-round in the world of bribery charges.  He was indicted on corruption charges in 2015, but a hung jury let him walk.  We remember that there was another case of him pulling strings for a banking crony.  And there were other stories about him cavorting with underage hookers in the Dominican Republic.

This time it involves a $300 million aid package for Egypt. Call us cynical, but we’re not surprised to see that US foreign policy is up for sale.  Hunter Biden, anyone?

Like we said, sketchy.  

Now you don’t have to be sketchy or take brides to want to keep your financial affairs private.  This is, after all, the age of identity theft and of financial records being hacked by bad guys far and wide. But the Menedez story reminds us that when you are trying to keep your financial affairs private, gold is a good way to go.  Most self-respecting bribers and on-the-take politicians probably know a little something about the anonymity of gold.

In this case, prosecutors are alleging Menedez took bribes for influence peddling, bribes that included kilo gold bars, cash, home mortgage payments, compensation for a “low-or-no-show job” and a luxury vehicle.

Perhaps Menedez should have stuck with the gold.  When others pay for your mortgage or provide you a luxury vehicle, it tends to leave a paper trail.  

gold bars stacked in a pyramid

Menendez explained that the $480,000 in cash found in his closet was for “emergencies.”  But he appears not to have said anything about the gold bars and his Google searches checking in on their worth.

The US Attorney for the Southern District of New York issued the following statement about the case:  

As the grand jury charged, between 2018 and 2022, Senator Menendez and his wife engaged in a corrupt relationship with Wael Hana, Jose Uribe, and Fred Daibes – three New Jersey businessmen who collectively paid hundreds of thousands of dollars of bribes, including cash, gold, a Mercedes Benz, and other things of value – in exchange for Senator Menendez agreeing to use his power and influence to protect and enrich those businessmen and to benefit the Government of Egypt.

More from the press release:

MENENDEZ provided sensitive, non-public U.S. government information to Egyptian officials and otherwise took steps to secretly aid the Government of Egypt.  For example, in or about May 2018, MENENDEZ provided Egyptian officials with non-public information regarding the number and nationality of persons serving at the U.S. Embassy in Cairo, Egypt.  Although this information was not classified, it was deemed highly sensitive because it could pose significant operational security concerns if disclosed to a foreign government or made public.  Without telling his professional staff or the State Department that he was doing so, on or about May 7, 2018, MENENDEZ texted that sensitive, non-public embassy information to his then-girlfriend NADINE MENENDEZ, who forwarded the message to HANA, who forwarded it to an Egyptian government official.  Later that same month, MENENDEZ ghost-wrote a letter on behalf of Egypt to other U.S. Senators advocating for them to release a hold on $300 million in aid to Egypt.  MENENDEZ sent this ghost-written letter to NADINE MENENDEZ, who forwarded it to HANA, who sent it to Egyptian officials. 

That’s all about Menendez for now.  But one more story that is sort of related.  Victims of an FBI raid on a private non-bank depository institution in Beverly Hills are complaining that the FBI stole their money and their gold.

Here’s the story from Fox News:

Two Americans are alleging the FBI lost or stole their property after seizing it through a “shady” process.

“All we know is that their property was in a box and safe before the FBI broke into the box,” Joe Gay, an attorney with the nonprofit law firm Institute for Justice, told Fox News. “Once the FBI broke into the box, we honestly don’t know exactly what happened.”

“We don’t know if they lost it. We don’t know if somebody pocketed it and walked away,” he continued….

The Institute for Justice filed two lawsuits Friday on behalf of clients who had property seized from their safety deposit boxes in a March 2021 FBI raid on U.S. Private Vaults, a Beverly Hills–based company. After prevailing in court, and the FBI agreeing to return their property, both Don Mellein and Jeni Pearsons discovered some of their property was missing and suspect the FBI’s haphazard raid or sticky fingers are to blame. 

“There’s literally been no explanation,” Pearsons said. “I think you have to assume that it’s the simplest explanation, and I think, unfortunately, the simplest explanation is they took it or lost it….”

After the FBI seized their property along with 1,400 other customers, Mellein and Pearsons received a notice stating the FBI wanted to keep their property through a process known as civil forfeiture.

A lot of people have been complaining with apparent cause that the FBI – at least at the top policy level of the institution – has become somewhat sketchy itself.   We do know that civil asset forfeiture is fat with abuse.  

We also know from the evidence of history that governments are often eager to steal the peoples’ wealth.  That’s why we suggest you don’t leave it around to be taken, whether it be in the planned and forthcoming central bank digital currency, or in financial institutions.

To learn more about financial privacy and gold, speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver specialist.


200 Years of Global Gold Production

Where Does the U.S. Rank Among Other Nations?

Most of the gold that has been produced throughout history remains in human hands.  As much as 86 percent of it has been produced in the last 200 years.  Our thanks to Visual Capitalist for the below chart illustrating the history of gold production.

The World Gold Council believes that 2023 gold production could surpass the production record set in 2018.   We note, however, that inflation has not just struck consumers.  It has substantially increased the costs of mine production.  Gold production is energy-intensive, which means higher costs, while higher interest rates mean higher costs of equipment leasing and so on.  These cost increases with eventually translate into higher gold prices.

China surpassed South Africa in gold production in 2007.  It remains the world’s largest producer today, followed by Russia and Australia.  The U.S. comes in at #5, lagging behind its northern neighbor Canada.

Two Very Big Things Headed to U.S. Banks

Get Gold Before They Hit!

No one knows exactly how close we came to a US bank holiday last spring, but it was too close for comfort.  None of the problems banks faced then have been solved. In fact, both have gotten worse.

Here’s what’s in the mix.

The banks are up to their eyeballs in the deeply troubled US commercial real estate market.  They are on the hook for as much as 40 percent of commercial real estate loans.  The Wall Street Journal reports that banks have $3.6 trillion in exposure to commercial real estate, about 20 percent of their total deposits.

But higher interest rates have tanked commercial real estate, especially office properties, and vacancy rates are hitting all-time highs.  Economist Mohamed El-erian points out that commercial real estate has massive refinancing needs next year.  “There are things that have to be refinanced in this economy that cannot be refinanced in an orderly fashion at these rates,” says El-Erian.  “So that’s the point of pain which starts to happen.” 

Commercial real estate is one problem.  Higher interest rates that are decimating the value of the banks’ bond portfolios is another problem.  It is the one that brought down Silicon Valley and Signature banks earlier this year.  As long as the bank isn’t hit with withdrawals, they can continue to hold those low-interest-rate bonds, holding out for their maturation down the road when they can be redeemed at full value.  But if they are forced to sell lower-rate bonds before maturity, they get pounded.  

No one wants to pay much for bonds that yield two or three percent when newer bonds pay five and six percent and maybe soon more.  The Federal Reserve suggested last week that it could keep interest rates ”higher for longer” than anticipated.  That’s why one of America’s leading bankers is advising clients to “batten down the hatches.”  

Jaime Dimon is the CEO of America’s biggest bank, JPMorgan.  He says we’ve all been on a sugar high from artificially low rates, and now we’re unprepared for rates to climb another two percent.  A move to seven percent interest rates will be much more painful than the prior two percent rate increase.

Dimon also points to the obvious incapacity of Washington to show any fiscal responsibility.    Increasing deficits cannot go on forever and mean that no one knows where America is headed.

 So there you have it:  commercial real estate stresses on banks as well as the stress of their collapsed bond portfolios.  Both are problems that will grow as interest rates rise further.

And for good measure, we’ve even tossed in yet another reference to Washington’s deficits.  

If you would like to be out of the line of fire from these crises, we suggest you reach out to us at the Republic Monetary Exchange at once and begin to develop a sensible plan to tuck assets away in real money, gold, and silver.

It is the sensible thing to do.


Gold Hits New Highs in Foreign Currencies

Sign of Things to Come!

Unbeknownst to most Americans, the price of gold is hitting new highs in foreign currencies.

Author and gold expert John Rubino writes in his latest newsletter that “gold is doing great – in other currencies.”  Rubino says that Japan and Australia are giving Americans “a glimpse of the future.”

From his Substack newsletter:

Gold’s job is to hold its value while the local currency is inflated away. Which is another way of saying gold goes up when local currencies go down.

The most glaring current example is Japan, where a multi-decade experiment in artificially depressed interest rates is finally coming undone. Inflation is rising, the yen is falling versus other currencies — and gold has gone parabolic.

And it’s not just Japan. Check out Australia…

… and India:

As we have pointed out before, the US dollar gold chart shows a very clear triple top in gold dating back to 2020.

This top – in 2020, 2022, and again earlier this year – shows gold making a powerful advance to this level.  Now gold is on the move around the world, it is reasonable from a technical or chartist perspective to expect that when gold does take out this triple-top resistance level, it will blow right past it in a dramatic manner to unexpected new highs. 

Our friend market analyst Michael Shedlock points to the same triple top, saying, “Neither triple tops nor triple bottoms tend to hold. If that view is correct, gold is headed higher.”

The fundamentals of the dollar and its debts concur.  


Washington’s Spending Spree!

$33 Trillion Federal Debt!  How did that happen?

US Federal debt has now roared above $33 trillion.  It has rocketed up by $2.16 trillion in just the past year.  This is an increase of an unthinkable $1.58 trillion just since the debt ceiling was lifted in June!

How did this happen?  

A new Heritage Foundation article, “The Road to Inflation: How an Unprecedented Federal Spending Spree Created Economic Turmoil,” has some specific details.  It explains that a “politically opportunistic spending spree has left the U.S. with a weakened economy, an inflation crisis, and a looming debt crisis. The volume and nature of the spending spree helped to create skyrocketing inflation and interest rates and created a labor shortage, reducing real household incomes and leaving store shelves bare and supply chains broken. A looming fiscal crisis has shifted from a long-term concern to a current event.”

It details spending initiatives between March 2020 and December 2022, roughly $7.5 trillion in new spending, which comes out to $57,400 per household.

So Washington has given us more debt in a 27-month blow-off than it did in the first 200 years of America’s existence.

Let that figure sink in.


Biden Sets a New World Record…

(…For Unpayable US Debt!)

Joe Biden is proving himself a master participant of one of the world’s oldest disastrous routines.

It’s always the same cycle.  Governments spend money they don’t have.  They then have to resort to borrowing or printing or a combination of the two.  The more they borrow and the more they print, the higher they drive interest rates to offset the loss in the currency’s real or constant value.  

The higher the interest rates, the faster the debt compounds.

Until one day…

Disaster.

Although he has been in public office since 1972, Biden seems quite unacquainted with the vicious cycle, although it has been on display over and over again around the world during the past half-century.   Indeed, Biden has set a new world indoor record for debt accumulation.   It has become quite serious, although the mainstream news media doesn’t seem to have taken much notice.  

Here are the facts:

Federal debt has spiked under Bidenomics.  It is now over $33 trillion dollars.  That is an increase of $2.16 trillion in the past year.  It is an increase of $1.58 trillion since the debt ceiling was lifted in June.

Wolf Richter, WolfStreet.com, famously calls it “Debt Out the Wazoo!”

As portions of the debt mature, it is rolled over at ever higher interest rates, which worsens the debt load without any new spending at all.  That’s why it’s a vicious cycle.  Bidenistas and other Washington wizards added debt upon debt while rates were at historic lows.  It apparently never occurred to them that rates would eventually rise.  As of the end of August, most of it is still being serviced at low rates, an average of 2.92 percent.  However, the Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates since March 2022.  Rates are now 5 percent higher than they were then.  The cost of servicing the federal debt will therefore keep climbing.

The outlook for the dollar is not good, but for now, the mainstream media is taking no notice, while government economists and Fed officials are whistling past the graveyard.  But the rest of the world does notice.  That’s why gold is running up in foreign currencies and why other countries, especially China, are grabbing all the gold they can get their hands on.

Make sure you have enough to see you and your family through the monetary disaster now in development by the Biden gang.


Sometimes it Smacks You Right in the Face!

We’re talking about the breakdown of American prosperity!

We do things no normal person would want to do, all as part of our pledge to keep you up to speed on the dollar, the Fed, the economy, gold, and silver.

We follow money supply and Fed asset numbers closely and listen carefully to Fed officials as they lurch from one misshapen policy to another.  We dive deep into reports about bank solvency and watch the frightening congressional budget process…

As we say, things no normal would want to do.   

But sometimes there’s no need to go looking.  The story just smacks you in the face.  Like this one.

The Drudge Report (9/12/23) ran the following stories in a row on its front page: 

Incomes Fall For Third Straight Year…

Average household now has $10,170 credit card debt…

More Baby Boomers Sliding Into Homelessness…

Adults ordering from kids’ menus to save money…

Incomes keep falling, credit card debt keeps rising, baby boomers are finding themselves homeless, and adults desperate to save are forced by rising costs to order kids’ meals.  The links above are all live if you would like to know more about any of those stories.

We don’t even have to look to find more stories like this.  We just got this new one that says pet owners are trading down from expensive gourmet brands to less expensive brands of pet food.

Nothing is too good for Fido and Fifi, except when the currency begins to go bad, These thing are bellwethers for those of us who track the breakdown of the unbacked, irredeemable paper money currency scheme.  They are provided by us, Republic Monetary Exchange, as a free public service for our friends and clients who want a sense of how critical things are getting.

They are getting pretty damn critical.  More soon.  Watch this space. 


Another Government Shutdown? (Here We Go Again)

Own gold and silver in times of governmental failure!

Looks like we’re headed for another government shutdown.  

Congress has until September 30, which is the end of the 2023 fiscal year, to agree on a budget and avoid another shutdown.

Nine out of 10 Americans, according to a Peterson Foundation survey, want Congress to come up with solutions to the national debt and avoid a shutdown.   

Thirty-five percent of those surveyed believe the problem is not going to get better.  They believe it will get much, much worse.

The US war budget is larger than the war budgets of China, Russia, India, Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, South Korea, Japan, and Ukraine combined.  The national news media always – always – refers to this as “defense spending,” but that appears to be misleading since none of the Biden billions spent on Ukraine can be said to really be defending the people of the United States.  On the contrary, it is likely to draw us into larger conflagrations. Nevertheless, companies on the receiving end of Washinton’s largesse, companies as Lockheed Martin, Huntington Ingalls, General Dynamics, and Northrop Grumman have a great deal of influence in Congress. 

The Capitol Hill newspaper The Hill reports that “over the last 20 years, the defense sector has dropped $285 million in political donations and $2.5 billion on lobbying to influence Congress and the federal government.”  Just one of those companies, Lockheed Martin “spends roughly $7 million per year on campaign contributions and $13 million a year on lobbying.”

It is hard for the interests of ordinary citizens to prevail against that kind of lobbying and campaign contribution firepower. 

Meanwhile, our friend economic commentator Michael Shedlock shares a widespread skepticism about the new budget showdown:  “Rest assured another budget showdown humiliation is coming. Republicans will surrender after starting a budget fight, like always. It’s more humiliating that way.”

Oil and Gold: Remembrance of Things Past

None of our clients or friends will be surprised to learn that price inflation in August took its biggest jump in over a year.  

The Wall Street Journal:

The consumer-price index rose 0.6% in August from the prior month, the Labor Department said Wednesday. More than half of the increase was due to higher gasoline prices. So-called core prices, which exclude volatile food and energy items, rose by 0.3% last month after even lower readings in June and July.  

We warned that inflation was about to tick up, writing last month: 

Gasoline prices have been climbing in August.  That will show up in the next CPI report next month with higher prices factored in.  

Furthermore, low inflation months (July ‘22 – 0.0 percent; August ’22 – 0.2 percent) that have been holding the 12-month numbers lower the last couple of months, will be dropping out of the 12-month average, with mostly higher monthly numbers replacing them.  

So, there are still higher inflation numbers headed our way.   And now the problem is compounded.  After all, Biden took a break from stumbling up the stairs of Air Force 1 to drain America’s strategic petroleum reserves.

So those emergency reserves will have to be replenished at higher prices.

It should go without saying that rising energy prices are exactly like a tax on American households and businesses.  

Crude oil is about $90 a barrel.  Some observers, among them JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, think we may be headed to $150 a barrel.  It all calls to mind the Stagflation Decade.  Oil prices quadrupled in 1973 and nearly tripled in 1980.  

The Keynesian and Modern Monetary Theory economists who have been in charge of monetary policy in this country for most of a century have tried to blame rising oil prices for the Stagflation Decade.  The truth is quite the opposite.  OPEC producers clearly warned in advance that selling their appreciating oil, recovered from the earth at great effort and expense, for US dollars that were depreciating and could be reproduced endlessly at no meaningful cost, made little sense.  If the US dollar kept losing purchasing power, they warned, it would certainly lead to higher oil prices.  

Indeed, it did.  Then the vicious cycle got underway in which the Treasury tried to cushion the effect of higher energy prices by printing money to make the OPEC price increases illusory in real terms.

Of course, you know what also performed profitably in the Stagflation Decade?  Gold and silver.

We’ll leave you with two thoughts.  First, a suggestion is that you update your gold and silver holdings for what is headed our way.  And secondly, a line from comedian Steven Wright:

“Right now I’m having amnesia and déjà vu at the same time. I think I’ve forgotten this before.”


Somebody in Washington Finally Noticed the Deficit

But of course, by the time Washington notices, it’s waaaaay too late!

This one took us by surprise.   Not the fact that we’re headed to a crisis, but that The Wahington Post, the house organ of the Deep State, noticed that the deficit is exploding!  

How could they say such a thing?  After all, President Biden has been running around talking about how much he cut the deficit. 

Somebody, maybe Jeff Bezos, must have said something!

Whatever it was, it’s too late.  The Fiscal Year ends in three weeks, running a deficit of about $2 trillion.

Jason Fuhrman was an Obama administration economist.  He thinks there must be “some weird, freakish thing going on.”  

Count on an Obama economist to be surprised.  But high inflation means Social Security payments ticked up, while Bidenomics had a spending deal targeted at just about every constituency.  Federal spending is tracking a 16 percent increase so far this year.  

Most people would have noticed higher interest rates, too.

But here’s Fuhrman expressing his surprise:

To see this in an economy with low unemployment is truly stunning. There’s never been anything like it,” Furman said. “A good and strong economy, with no new emergency spending — and yet a deficit like this. The fact that it is so big in one year makes you think it must be some weird freakish thing going on.

Where’s all this headed?  It’s headed to a crisis.  We’ll let Brian Riedl with the Manhattan Institute – noting that he is not an Obama economist – spell it out in simple terms:

“A debt growing much faster than the economy will drive up interest rates, reduce economic investment, and over time make interest payments the largest federal expenditure — risking a federal debt crisis,” Riedl said.


Banks Are in More Trouble Than We Thought

It’s bad.  Very bad.  When it hits the fan, gold will be there, as it always has!

We know what happened to a handful of big banks earlier this year.  Banks like Signature and Silicon Valley suddenly were forced to realize their unrealized losses.  And that was the end of the road for them.

As you know the value of bonds goes down when interest rates go up, so those banks with their reserves all parked in bonds suddenly found themselves in deep trouble as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates.

But the rest of the banking industry is just fine, right?

Wrong.  Double wrong!

Here’s a link to a Wall Street on Parade article that pulls the curtain bank on the banking industry.  It reports that at the end of the first quarter, banks were sitting on more than a half trillion dollars in unrealized losses!

That’s deep kimchi!

The academic study the story draws on describes the banks shamelessly gambling on being bailed out by us:

Banks with the most fragile funding… sold or reduced their hedges during the monetary tightening. This allowed them to record accounting profits but exposed them to further rate increases. These actions are reminiscent of classic gambling for resurrection: if interest rates had decreased, equity would have reaped the profits, but if rates increased, then debtors and the FDIC would absorb the losses.

Only 6 percent of the total bank assets were protected from rising rates with interest rate swaps.  At the end of the first quarter, March 31, 2023, the banks had unrealized securities losses of $515.5 billion.  And the Fed has raised rates two times since then!

Wall Street on Parade:

The use of the phrase “classic gambling” to describe 75 percent of the U.S. banking system by highly credentialed academics might be something that the U.S. Senate Banking Committee might want to hold a hearing about with some sense of urgency.

Not to put too fine a point on it, but this is the year in which banking regulators were left scratching their heads at the dizzying speed at which multiple banks collapsed. In the span of seven weeks this spring, running from March 10 to May 1, the second, third, and fourth largest bank failures in U.S. history occurred. In order of size, those were: First Republic Bank (May 1), Silicon Valley Bank (March 10) and Signature Bank (March 12). The largest bank failure in U.S. history, Washington Mutual, occurred in 2008 during the financial crisis.

With all due respect, we don’t think the suggested Senate Banking Committee hearings are worth the bother.  For two reasons.  First, it is too late to fix anything.  The cows are already out of the barn.  And secondly, the Senate will inevitably make the taxpayers fork out to paper this over.

The other day Bill Bonner summed up our present predicament this way: “Oblivious to the rising tide of debt, deficits and defaults, mankind stumbles toward disaster…”

If you are still trusting the government and its institutions, the Fed, the FDIC, Congress to look out for your welfare, you are putting your trust in the wrong place.

Gold and silver are not dependent on trust some unknown party.  Unlike banks, securities, bonds, and paper money, they have no counterparty risk.  That means that there is no risk that some party to the transaction will fail to perform and leave you with the loss.

In times of trouble, it is imperative that you protect yourself, your family, and your money with gold and silver.  We’re Republic Monetary Exchange.  We’re here to help.


Interest Rates Squeeze Washington

Buy gold before the next gusher of Fed funny money!

The US government deficit has exploded!

What’s up?  The Wall Street Journal cites a deadly conjunction of two things at once: “: a steep drop in tax revenue related to capital gains” and at the same time “an increase in interest payments on old debt.”

Wolf Richter describes it this way:  

“The gigantic US government debt is now approaching $33 trillion, amid a tsunami of issuance of Treasury securities to fund the mind-blowing government deficits and roll over maturing securities.” 

None of this stuff is very complicated.  As long as Washington keeps spending money it doesn’t have, it will have two choices for funding its deficit spending:

A. It will have to borrow the money.  But interest rates are screaming higher thanks to massive government borrowing.  And funding that borrowing at ever higher rates is already a fact of life as the following chart illustrates.

B. Or it will have to print the money to fund the deficit.  That is by definition inflationary.

Meanwhile, the cost of energy is soaring.  That will show up in the price indices in no time.  It is the equivalent of a tax on American households and businesses.  

Let’s look at this like adults.  The spending game should have been brought under control many years ago.  Instead, the political classes learned to buy votes by making promises to people and to reward its cronies for their campaign funding by letting them feast at the Capitol Hill hog trough.  Now we suffer the consequences of generations of irresponsible governments.

The Bidenistas and the left are hiding behind something called Modern Monetary Theory, which holds that the government can spend whatever it wants because it owns the printing press.   Any country that will believe such nonsense probably deserves its fate  —  bankruptcy! 

We can’t tell you the exact day and hour of the next massive Fed money printing spree, but the trajectory is clear.  It is very soon.  Possible triggers include the snowballing financial stress in China and a global economic downturn, a stock market breakdown, a disastrous US Treasury debt auction, more energy price hikes, and advancing trade wars.  

That is why foreign dollar holders are de-dollarizing their reserves.  That is why you would be wise to de-dollarize as well with the enduring money of the ages worldwide:  gold and silver.

We’re here to help.   Republic Monetary Exchange is a market leader in gold and silver, real money you hold in your hands.  Real money for free people.  Contact us today.


Don’t Worry! The Fed Will Fix Everything!

(They Just Haven’t Started Yet 🤷‍♂️)

‘Yeah, I think the Fed’s record on these things is wonderful. It’s almost guaranteed to be wrong.’ 

Jeremy Grantham, Co-Founder, GMO

Let’s start with this CNBC headline:

61% OF AMERICANS ARE LIVING PAYCHECK TO PAYCHECK — INFLATION IS STILL SQUEEZING BUDGETS

After cluelessly denying the severity of inflation as it returned to levels that hadn’t been seen in 40 years, the Fed vowed to do something about it.  So in March 2022, it began raising interest rates.   

Since then, the Fed has raised rates 11 times, pushing the Fed funds rate to the highest level in more than 22 years.

They’ve been at it a year and a half now.  Mission accomplished?  

Not even close.  

The people are still stuck with the higher prices the Fed engineered.  They’re trying to make ends meet, but 61 percent are still living paycheck to paycheck.  And that number is going up, not down.   After all, once Fed policy has ratcheted prices higher, they end up staying higher.  

As for those who are managing to save some money, the US household savings rate is down.  It dropped by a substantial 0.8 percent in July.  Which prompts the question, why would people save in a currency that is being eroded?  What kind of incentive is that for capital formation?

Meanwhile, the latest numbers show that consumer spending is up, but disposable income is down.  That is not a formula for success, either.  In fact, if anything, it explains why Rich Men North of Richmond is one of the hottest songs in America:

🎵 It’s a damn shame what the world’s gotten to
For people like me and people like you
Wish I could just wake up and it not be true
But it is, oh, it is

Livin’ in the new world
With an old soul
These rich men north of Richmond
Lord knows they all just wanna have total control

Wanna know what you think, wanna know what you do

And they don’t think you know, but I know that you do.🎵

So, 61 percent of the American people are living paycheck to paycheck.  Maybe, just maybe, the men in the Fed headquarters, the Marriner Eccles Building in Washington – just north of Richmond – will get everything under control.

Or maybe you should protect yourself and your family by owning gold and silver!


History Rhymes

Take a look at this!  You’ll want to own more gold!

Larry Summers, Former Director of the National Economic Council, tweeted (or X’ed) this chart the other day, noting the similarity between price inflation’s rise and slowdown and rise again in the 1970s and today’s chart.

“It is sobering,” he says, “to recall that the shape of the past decade’s inflation curve almost perfectly shadows its path from 1966 to 1976 before it accelerated in the late 1970s.”

Sobering indeed!

If the next leg of today’s movement, the yellow line, tracks what happened after 1976, we could reexperience what was one of the greatest gold and silver bull markets in history.   

Stephen Moore comments on the chart, “Twelve years of inflation was finally smothered by the Reagan-Volcker era of tight money, falling tax rates, and deregulation. 

“Past isn’t always a prelude. But if the 1970s and early 1980s taught us anything, it is that the solution to Bidenflation (just as was the case with Carter inflation) isn’t just higher interest rates. It’s growth policies that expand the supply side of goods and services.”

Resistance to the Fed’s interest rate policies is growing.  Already some are arguing for the Federal Reserve to abandon or raise its two percent interest rate target.  As funding US and corporate debt grows more difficult, that resistance to higher interest rates will grow as well.  

The digital money printing presses haven’t been disabled.  They are just idling.

For now.

Be prepared!


The Mountain of Debt

Why they’ll have to crank up the money printing!

The mountain of debt is not just big.  It is ridiculously large!  Unpayably huge!  

It is unpayable unless the authorities inflate the currency to near worthlessness.  Unfortunately, that seems to be the preferred alternative for central banks that find themselves in a debt squeeze like ours.

From a New York Federal Reserve Bank press release:

TOTAL HOUSEHOLD DEBT REACHES $17.06 TRILLION IN Q2 2023; CREDIT CARD DEBT EXCEEDS $1 TRILLION

The Fed, which drove this bubble of unsustainable debt with the misleading signals it sent to businesses and consumers from decades of interest rate suppression, is now driving this debt mountain into crisis territory.  That is because, having hiked interest rates 11 times since March 2022, debtors are beginning to find that higher interest rates are eating them alive.  

At the same time, the Fed’s inflation has raised the price of consumer staples to a new plateau.

Although few of them had that much, Americans used to believe that they needed $1 million to fund a comfortable retirement, according to a Yahoo! Finance article.  But now thanks to the depreciation of the dollar, the piece reports that Americans now believe they will need $1.9 million:  

A million bucks isn’t what it used to be. It was once thought a retirement savings milestone, but 401(k) plan participants now believe they’ll need nearly twice as much, according to a Schwab Workplace Financial Services survey.  

The problem is much bigger than higher consumer prices and credit card debt.  Government borrowing faces the Fed’s higher interest rates as well.  In fact, US debt will rise by $5.2 billion — every single day for the next decade!

We have an idea for you.  How about liberating yourself from the failing monetary system, one that will have to massively inflate the currency to make nominal payments of its debts?  How about protecting yourself with money that can’t be printed?  

Actually, it is a time-tested idea, one that has protected the wealth of people throughout the centuries and from reckless government and their mountains of debt everywhere around the world.  Gold and silver are the world’s preferred money in times of government failure and monetary crises.

Remember, they can’t just print more gold and silver!  Speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange precious metal professional today.  Don’t procrastinate.  Behind the curtains, things are moving very fast!

Trouble Hiding in Plain Sight!

“Unprecedented” deficits!; “Crisis-size deficits!”

Here’s the lead of an August 24 Bloomberg News story:

US Budget Deficits Are Exploding Like Never Before

The outlook for the federal budget right now is essentially unprecedented—crisis-size deficits as far as the eye can see, even though the economy appears to be in good health. That prospect is making investors uneasy, as demonstrated by yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries climbing above 4.3% this week, their highest levels since 2007. Other borrowing costs are rising in tandem: The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage has surged above 7% for the first time in more than two decades.

Our thanks to Bill Bonner and his newsletter Bonner Private Research for calling Bloomberg’s story to our attention.  We certainly know what’s going on with the Biden deficit, but it saves us from having to write it.  And after all, we are a little overwhelmed with everything headed our way.  

  • China’s economy is beginning to swirl down into black hole of deflation.  Remember, it is as they say a global economy.  The popping of one bubble, especially one as big a China’s inevitably will mean the popping of others. 
  • US creditworthiness has been downgraded and is at risk and as is the solvency of a growing number of US banks. 
  • Freddie Mac says the latest weekly average 30-year mortgage rate, 7.23 percent, is the highest in two decades.  Meanwhile, at the Jackson Hole gathering, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has signaled that the Fed isn’t finished raising rates.
  • Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have been admitted to the BRICS economic and trade consortium.  John Rubino points out that the world’s second and third largest oil producers, Saudi Arabia and Russia, “will be operating at least partially outside the dollar-centric financial system.”  Furthermore, Iran, Argentina, Egypt, and Ethiopia are now scheduled to join BRICS next year. 

As you can see, trouble for the US economy is hiding in plain sight.  Isn’t it time to review your investment portfolio to fortify your holdings of real money – gold and silver.  Call today and speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals professional!


Two Forces Driving De-Dollarization…

And that should be driving you to gold and silver!

The world isn’t looking skeptically at the US dollar because it doesn’t like green.  That would not be enough to drive de-dollarization.  Nobody cares what color the money is as long as it functions adequately.

Nor is de-dollarization driven merely because the world is eager for a change – a change for change’s sake.  

Not at all.  In fact, if the problems with the US dollar were bearable, they would be borne.  Remember how Thomas Jefferson put it in the Declaration of Independence, “Mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed.”

If people are moving away from the dollar, to which they are long accustomed, it suggests that dollar problems are no longer sufferable.  

Leading drivers of the de-dollarization movement are the weaponization of the currency on the global stage, and the refusal of Washington to get its fiscal house in order.  Today we offer up a snippet from the news about each.

First, the dollar on the global stage.  At the BRICS Summitt in South Africa, Russian president Vladimir Putin summed up dissatisfaction with the weaponized dollar this way:

We are all united in our commitment to shaping a multipolar world order with genuine justice, based on the international law and in keeping with the key principles set forth in the UN Charter, including sovereignty and respecting the right of every nation to follow its own development model. We oppose hegemonies of any kind and the exceptional status that some countries aspire to, as well as the new policy it entails, a policy of continued neo-colonialism.

Let me point out that it was the attempts by some countries to preserve their global hegemony that paved the way to the deep crisis in Ukraine….

We are grateful to our BRICS colleagues who are active in trying to end this situation and achieve a just settlement by peaceful means.

Colleagues, what matters is that we all unanimously stand in favor of a multipolar world order that is truly fair and based on international law.

The unconcealed subtext is that Russia and other countries will move to a non-dollar global currency to avoid America’s geopolitical hegemony.

For the refusal of Washington to manage its affairs prudently, we turn to former Congressman and presidential candidate Ron Paul.  His latest weekly column, “Growing US Debt Menaces Liberty and Prosperity,” offers Dr. Paul’s insider take on why nothing substantive is likely to be done to get a handle on US debt:

The sad fact is both parties, along with a majority of the American people, are addicted to welfare-warfare spending. What little resistance there is to big government within the Republican party is likely to be further weakened by the rise of a new form of “conservatism” that advocates the use of government power—including deficit spending and increasing the federal debt — to advance conservative political and social goals.

The failure to take seriously the threat to the American economy caused by reckless federal spending is illustrated by the reactions to the credit rating agency Fitch’s downgrade of the US government’s credit rating. Instead of treating it as a wake-up call, government officials like current Treasury Secretary (and former Federal Reserve Chair) Janet Yellen dismissed the downgrade as “arbitrary and based on outdated data.”

So, there you have it.  Much of the rest of the world has grown resentful of the US.  That is why there is a long line of nations seeking entry into the BRICS group.  And why they are seeking alternatives to the dollar standard.

And as for the US, it will be more spend and spend from Washington.  Never mind that the average American household is spending $709 per month more on living expenses than they were two years ago.  

Ron Paul concludes, “Eventually, the Fed-created debt-based economy will collapse as the dollar loses its reserve currency status. This will increase political divisions and may even lead to political violence.”

Before that happens, make sure you have taken the necessary steps to protect yourself and your wealth with gold and silver.  Speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange specialist about silver for personal protection and gold for wealth protection.


More Banks on the Edge!

Gee, you don’t suppose it would be a good idea to take money out of the bank and put it into gold?

Banks aren’t getting any safer!  More are getting creditworthiness downgrades; more are being put on troubled bank watch lists.

It was only a couple of weeks ago that we shared the news that leading credit rating agency Moody’s cut the credit ratings of 10 banks.  At the same time, it put 4 of the 15 largest US banks on a watchlist for possible downgrades.

Well, move over Moody’s.  Because now one of the other major credit rating agencies, S&P Global, has cut the credit rating of five banks, and cut its outlook on other banks to negative.   More details from Wall Street on Parade here.

So, it looks like the problems we saw with Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Banks last March may be just the tip of the iceberg.

It’s not just that deposits are pouring out of banks as investors seek higher and safer yields.  There is also the spreading commercial real estate problem that we have warned of.  S&P says, “Banks with material exposures to commercial real estate, especially in office loans, could see some of the greatest strains.”  

And we should not forget that Fitch just downgraded the sovereign debt of the US government as well.  In fact, Bank of America analyst Michael Harnett points out that US government debt will rise by $5.2 billion every single day for the next decade!

Ron Paul says the latest downgrade of US debt should be a wake-up call:  

The failure to take seriously the threat to the American economy caused by reckless federal spending is illustrated by the reactions to the credit rating agency Fitch’s downgrade of the US government’s credit rating. Instead of treating it as a wake-up call, government officials like current Treasury Secretary (and former Federal Reserve Chair) Janet Yellen dismissed the downgrade as “arbitrary and based on outdated data.”

The consumers are not in great shape either, at least judging by their skyrocketing credit card debt.

Troubled banks.  Troubled government.  Troubled consumers.  That’s pretty much a trifecta!

What can you do?  Steer clear of banks.  Don’t get lulled to sleep by government assurances that it will get things under control.  And don’t expect to get bailed out if you get into debt trouble.  Bailouts are for Washington’s cronies only, not for you.

You must take steps to protect yourself.  The place to begin is with silver for personal protection and gold for wealth protection.  Take advantage of today’s prices to establish a sensible gold and silver portfolio.   Speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals professional today!


The Big Short

In Stocks? Watch Out Below!

They’re lining up to warn you about the stock market!  Here’s a quick rundown:

Jeremy Grantham is as close to a bubble expert as there is on Wall Street.  His bubble calls are the stuff of legend.  And he says the US stock market is about to pop just like it did in 1929 and in 2000.

Here is the headline from Fortune:

Legendary investor Jeremy Grantham says the stock market has a 70% chance of crashing—and it could be an epic burst like the 1929 crisis.  

More in this snippet from The Motley Fool:

Grantham believes current market conditions have created a textbook setup for a bubble, and that the market has benefited from “almost perfect” conditions for roughly 10 years now. Specifically, Grantham points out that there has been a long period of economic growth, a bull market, and earnings strength.

“I’m only interested in the really great bubbles, like 1929, 2000, and 2021, [which] are the three senior bubbles in [the] U.S. stock market. We have checked off pretty well every one of the boxes,” he recently told WealthTrack.

And there is someone else whose genius we admire who is expecting a stock market calamity.  Maybe you’ve seen him portrayed in a hugely popular motion picture about the 2008 market meltdown.  Addison Wiggins provides some details:

Michael Burry of Big Short fame, played by a scruffy Christian Bale in the movie… just bet $1.6 billion on a stock market crash… sort of.

Burry placed bets that the S&P 500 would drop below 4,000 and the Nasdaq 100 would drop below 300. 

If you want to get technical, his hedge fund Scion Capital made the bets by buying put options on the $SPY, an ETF which tracks the S&P 500, and $QQQ, which tracks the top 100 stocks on the Nasdaq. 

It certainly looks like a chart that has roll over for a fall.  Burry is betting more than 90 percent of his portfolio on this position.  He is serious about it.

Along the same line, our friend Robert Kiyosaki points out that Burry isn’t the only one who thinks the stock market is way overvalued.  Warren Buffett is sitting on a pile of cash, says Kiyosaki.  On Neil Cavuto’s Fox show, Kiyosaki observed, “Buffett is on the sideline with $147 billion, his money’s in short-term Treasurys.”

“I just watch these guys waiting for the market to crash then go back in,” said the Rich Dad Poor Dad author.  “It’s a lot of money sitting on the sideline right now.” 

Meanwhile, here is a five-year gold chart.  Notice especially the triple-top.  As you can see, gold topped out in August of 2020 just north of $2,000.  It did it again in March 2022.   And for the third time, it topped out in May of this year just above $2,000.

A chart like that suggests that when gold breaks over $2,000 it will run long and hard!  Our friend market analyst Michael Shedlock points to the same triple top, saying, “Neither triple tops nor triple bottoms tend to hold. If that view is correct, gold is headed higher.”

Shedlock points out one other extremely bullish gold chart formation, the classic “Cup and Handle.”

“That is likely the prettiest cup and handle technical formations you will ever see,” he says.  “It took 10 long years for gold to get back to its 2011 high. Then we had a handle build over three years.”

A repeated theme from Shedlock is that gold tends to reflect faith in central banks.  There are few institutions as discredited today as central banks, including the Federal Reserve.  “If you have faith in central banks, sell your gold. Otherwise, I suggest hanging on to it!”


When They Run Out of Cash

Just a reminder to own gold and silver in times like these!

The sign in the bank window reads, “Due to emergency conditions and to accommodate all customers, today’s daily cash withdrawal limit is $1,000.00”

Here’s a similar sign from a British bank.  It is notifying depositors that it may want to know why they are withdrawing money and may ask for documentation.

One of the so-called “fact checkers” online disputes the authenticity of the notice limiting withdrawals.  And an American Bankers Association spokesperson says, “The safest place for your money is in a federally-insured and highly regulated bank where your accounts are secure and deposits are protected.”

We note that an influential organization like the American Bankers Association has the clout to have objected and even stopped the Federal Reserve from devaluing their customer’s deposits with inflationary practices.  We would even venture that it has a fiduciary responsibility to speak up on behalf of depositors while their money is being debauched.  

Meanwhile, we note that the banking crisis is not over yet and refer you to our blog posts on the matter including this one: Large Banks are Bleeding Deposits!  And this one:  Banking Crisis?  What Banking Crisis?


Robert Kiyosaki’s Warning Grows Louder!

Rich Dad Poor Dad author:  “America is broke!”

You don’t have to spend much time with Robert Kiyosaki, the author of the bestselling financial advice book of all time, Rich Dad Poor Dad, to be convinced that you should own gold and silver.

Now Kiyosaki’s warnings are growing louder!  

“Brace for a crash landing,” he says.  We agree and for the reasons he says.

“Don’t they know,” he asked in a recent tweet, “the stock market is up because Biden raised debt ceiling?  America’s debt is going up … so stock market going up!” he wrote. 

“America is broke,” he said, cutting to the chase. 

It’s true.  $32.658 trillion is official US debt is only part of the story, the visible part of the debtberg.  The hidden part of the US debtberg is much, much bigger.

“They’re smoking fantasy weed!”

Yahoo! Finance writes, “The author’s concern about America’s escalating debt was echoed by Fitch Ratings. Shortly after that tweet, Fitch downgraded the United States’ long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating from its highest AAA rating to AA+. The credit rating agency pointed to ‘expected fiscal deterioration over the next three years,’ a ‘high and growing general government debt burden’ and an ‘erosion of governance’ as reasons behind the decision.

Fitch’s downgrade of US debt was followed by Moody’s downgrade of ten banks with others on a watch list.

Now Fitch is warning that it may be forced to downgrade the creditworthiness of dozens of banks.

With all of that, forget a soft landing for the economy, says Kiyosaki.  “First shoe to drop. Fitch rating services downgrades U.S. credit rating from AAA to AA+. Brace for crash landing,” he tweeted. “Sorry for the bad news yet I have been warning for over a year the Fed, Treasury, big corp CEOs have smoking fantasy weed.”

As we said, you don’t have to spend long with Robert Kiyosaki to realize you much protect yourself with gold and silver!

Something’s Got to Give

On a collision course with fiscal reality!

We’ve taken the title of today’s commentary, Somethings Got to Give!, from David Stockman’s recent newsletter.

Stockman, director of the US budget under President Reagan, concludes that “Washington is asking for a thundering collision.”

We couldn’t agree more.  Most of the letter is about the Biden team depleting the nation’s strategic petroleum reserve in a naked vote-buying scheme.  Citing Bloomberg News, Stockman points out that it only took the Biden administration six months to drain the US oil supply down to a 40-year lowIt will take decades to refill it.

But Stockman is only warming up with his discussion of the strategic petroleum reserve.  Here is his treatment of Biden’s spending calamity:

During the past 12 months the U.S. government spent $6.7 trillion. That’s up 14% on a year-over-year basis. And while that’s still below the insane $7.6 trillion peak at the height of the stimmy bacchanalia in the spring of 2021, it’s still 43% above the pre-Covid level of Federal outlays of $4.8 trillion recorded in 2019.

Likewise, for fiscal year 2023 to date the U.S. federal deficit is up a staggering $900 billion to nearly $1.4 trillion. That’s because YTD revenues are down $422 billion while outlays are higher by $455 billion.

You can’t make this up. The one-time capital gains tax windfall harvested in FY 2022 is long gone, but they are still spending like drunken sailors. During the first nine months of FY 2023 receipts of $3.4 trillion covered only 71% of outlays at $4.8 trillion.

Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has been running around the world again.  Uh oh!  In India, Yellen talked about using US taxpayer resources – laundered of course through institutions the US funds like the World Bank and the IMF – to do something about the trouble foreign debtors are in.  Wait a minute!  The US cannot pay its own debts and she’s acting like Rockefeller tossing dimes to children and finding ways to funnel good money after bad?  

Yellen is not too good on her best days, but this is crazy.  Maybe there is something to that story about Yellen dining on psychedelic mushrooms in China.  Then there is the Vice President, Kamala Harris.  Among her other recent word salads, the VP artfully explained the other day that A.I. is two letters that stand for “artificial intelligence.”  And as for the President himself, he took a break from stumbling on the stairs of Air Force One to talk about his plan to build a railroad “across” the Indian Ocean. 

We don’t want to be victimized by a monetary system that is on the ropes thanks to that kind of leadership.  We prefer gold and silver, because as Stockman said, “Something’s got to give!”


Rich Dad on Shocking US Debt Downgrade

Robert Kiyosaki says Mom and Pop are in trouble!

Our friend Robert Kiyosaki warned about it, and now US sovereign debt has been downgraded by another one of the big three credit rating agencies.  

In a major development, Fitch cut the US AAA credit rating last week.  And this is just the first shoe to drop says the author of the biggest-selling personal investment book of all time, Rich Dad Poor Dad.

In this interview on Fox Business News, Kiyosaki cuts to the chase:  “Life is getting harder and harder.  Mom and Pop are in trouble!”  

As Kiyosaki says, paper money is fake.   Only gold and silver are real money.

Make plans to visit with a Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals specialist before the next shoe drops!

Watch the video here.


America’s Debt Gets Downgraded

Bad news for the U.S., good news for gold

In a major reassessment of US creditworthiness, Fitch, one of the leading credit rating agencies has downgraded the U.S. credit rating from AAA to AA+. 

Fitch based its downgrade on “expected fiscal deterioration over the next three years, and a high and growing general government debt burden.”

Fitch isn’t the first of the three leading rating agencies to downgrade US debt.  The US lost its S&P AAA rating in 2011, shortly after then-Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said the US would “never” lose its triple-A rating.

Underscoring the significance of the move, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellin is throwing a fit: “President Biden and I are committed to fiscal sustainability.”

Right

 “Fitch’s decision does not change what Americans, investors, and people all around the world already know: that Treasury securities remain the world’s preeminent safe and liquid asset and that the American economy is fundamentally strong,” said Yellin. 

But no matter how hard it tries, Washington can’t spin this as a good thing.

From Fitch’s statement:

“In Fitch’s view, there has been a steady deterioration in standards of governance over the last 20 years, including on fiscal and debt matters, notwithstanding the June bipartisan agreement to suspend the debt limit until January 2025. The repeated debt-limit political standoffs and last-minute resolutions have eroded confidence in fiscal management. In addition, the government lacks a medium-term fiscal framework, unlike most peers, and has a complex budgeting process….”

The downgrade was announced on Tuesday.  On Wednesday the Treasury Department announced plans for record new borrowing.  Wolf Richter writes about the “shocker of an announcement” by the Treasury Department “that it would have to borrow $1 trillion in the quarter through September and another $852 billion in the quarter through December, on top of the $32.6 trillion the government already owes.”

It’s another leg up in what Richter calls “Debt Out the Wazoo!”

To add insult to injury, Fitch says, “Everybody who reads the newspaper knows that the United States has a very serious long-term fiscal problem.”

It’s a good point, except that newspapers don’t cover the news as they once did.  Take a look at this ironic snippet from Wall Street on Parade

There is a website where one can look at the front pages of newspapers across America on any given day to gauge the concerns of our fellow citizens. Yesterday, we checked small and medium size newspapers across the country to see if any newspaper reported the Fitch downgrade of the U.S. credit rating on its front page. Of the two dozen newspapers we sampled, we couldn’t find any mention of the credit downgrade.

The US losing its Triple A debt rating is a seismic even in the financial world.  That’s why foreign central banks want gold.  For protection against the dollar.

And that is exactly why you need to protect yourself as well with gold and silver.


Where to Store Gold and Silver

We are frequently asked by our clients where they should store their gold and silver.

It should go without saying that you will want to store your precious metals where you can get your hands on them in a crisis.  Imagine that you have been wise enough to invest in precious metals before a banking crisis, but you’ve stored your gold in a bank-safe deposit box.  

When they declare a “bank holiday,” you will probably be out of luck.

Several years ago, RME published an article about the safest methods to store your precious metals. You can visit that article here. In addition to those tried-and-true methods, we’d like to share some pointers from Substack’s John Rubino…

John Rubino has been writing about gold and the economy for a long time.  We thought we would share a few thoughts from his recent Substack newsletter on things to consider about gold storage.

Avoid the obvious. To defend against thieves you have to think like one. So imagine a person who has picked the lock on a stranger’s back door and is ransacking their house in search of something worth taking and selling. Our thief is obviously nervous and wants to be out of there ASAP. So they prioritize, starting with the highest-probability targets like master bedroom dressers and closets. Which means nothing of value should ever be stored in those places. You want hiding spots that are both counterintuitive and hard to reach. 

A floor safe. Sink a safe into the floor and cover it with floorboards and it will be very hard for thieves to find and access. That’s a lot of work, but the result is highly effective. 

Backyard burial. The “tin can in the backyard” concept is more metaphor than actual plan. In reality, you want a container that’s waterproof and otherwise impervious to the elements. This strategy is vulnerable to metal detectors and nosy neighbors who see you digging. But regular thieves will never find it. One (obviously) crucial thing: Find a place on your property that you’ll always remember and that is easy for a trusted confidant to find using your directions. 

Toe-Kick Hideaway. There’s a four-inch-tall cavity under most kitchen cabinets. Getting in there takes a bit of carpentry, but once you’ve made a toe-kick removable you’ve created a great space for high-value items. 

Old appliance. Put a junky old appliance in a crowded corner of the garage and thieves will probably overlook it. But make sure your family doesn’t throw it away.

For more, follow this link to Rubino’s Substack article.

Our final thought on the subject is this.  Of course, you will want your spouse or other family member to be able to access your gold and silver if anything happens to you.  Otherwise, the best security is not telling anyone what you have.  Or, as they said during World War II, “Loose lips sink ship.”


Honest Currencies Last; Fake Currencies Fail

This is an excerpt from Jim Clark’s important book REAL MONEY FOR FREE PEOPLE

This selection is especially relevant for these times, with recent bank failures and ongoing solvency concerns.

Because the book describes the entire American gold story in a clear and easy-to-understand way, and because it is information you need for the challenging times coming our way, we want you to have a copy absolutely free!

Just stop by Republic Monetary Exchange and let us give you a copy of REAL MONEY FOR FREE PEOPLE.

No cost.  No obligation.

Gold and silver are the only monetary assets that are not someone else’s liability. They are not dependent on someone else’s solvency, promises to perform, or honesty. Their value does not depend on the endorsement, propriety, or honesty of any State or institution. They have no counterparty risk, no risk of rule changes, nonpayment, default, or bankruptcy by individuals, companies, financial exchanges, institutions, and banks—quite apart from being insulated from the risks of the Fed’s fiat dollar as well. 

It is a wonderful thing for people’s promises to be reliable, and for institutions to be vigorous fiduciaries of their client’s interests. The modern world with all its miracles is built on the assurance that people will meet their obligations, fulfill their contracts, and respect others’ property…. 

When this environment of trust begins to fray, sophisticated civilization itself is at risk. 

Now, with the elimination of gold from our monetary system at the hands of Franklin Roosevelt and Richard Nixon, along with the abandonment of silver, the US dollar has remained unmoored, unanchored, and untied to anything real ever since. Unlike fiat currencies that have gone before, the dollar is the ultimate fiat currency. It is global in scope because it is the world’s reserve currency. At the same time, the United States is the biggest debtor in history….

By now you should have realized that central banks and fiat money are managed for the greater glory of the State and for the special advantage of the State’s cronies, and not for the benefit of the people. Inflation is the means by which the State enriches itself by subterfuge, quietly eroding the purchasing power of the currency for its own benefit. And while inflation itself is actually the State’s increase of the supply of money and credit, it is the effects of that increase—higher prices because of the currency’s failing purchasing power—that people call inflation.

The destruction of a currency’s purchasing power is evidence of the currency system’s failure. 

Today we do not have real money, a redeemable currency that is actually backed by gold and silver, a monetary system that could have served as a bulwark against the usurpations of the State. And after several generations of being under assault by the State on every front, it is safe to say that the light of liberty has dimmed and that the fires of freedom do not appear to burn brightly in the hearts of many of the American people. 

And so, the monetary system of fraudulent, legalized counterfeiting has now been allowed to reach its logical extreme and will now collapse of its unrestrained excesses and deceit.

To some, it may appear melodramatic to announce that we are at a monetary endgame. But it is clear-eyed realism that follows from the historical precedents. And from the hard accounting.

To learn more, speak with one of the Republic Monetary Exchange’s gold and silver professionals.  Get all of your questions about precious metals answered, and learn how to protect yourself, your family, and your retirement with real money, money of enduring value that can’t simply be printed.

Stop by Republic Monetary Exchange and let us give you a copy of REAL MONEY FOR FREE PEOPLE!


Shrinkflation!

Shrinkflation is everywhere these days.  That’s when retailers try to disguise price inflation by shrinking the package sizes instead of hiking the price.

One of our friends mentioned that his toothpaste tube used to be 8.2 ounces.  Now it is 5.2 ounces instead.  Of course, the new smaller tube brags that it is new and improved in some way, but the product has bragged about being new and improved for most of our lives.

The half-gallon of ice cream container is now only 1 ½ quarts.  

You’ve probably noticed the price of postage going up.  Someone joked that they had to raise prices to cover the additional cost of storing your mail for the week before they actually get around to delivering it.  

In any case, a First-Class Mail Forever stamp now costs 66 cents.  That’s up from 58 cents a year ago.  That’s a hike of more than 10 percent in a year.   In fact, just three months ago, a First-Class Mail Forever stamp cost 53 cents, so it has gone up about 5 percent in just three months.

That may be a better way to judge the real inflation rate than all the carefully massaged government indexes like the CPI, the PPI, and the PCE.

Shrinkflation is so widespread there is even a sub-Reddit for shrinkflation with 78,000 members.  Here are a couple of shrinkflation photos people have posted there:

Yes, even our beloved Costco paper towels!

Businesses have other ways of trying to conceal price increases as we have noted before.  Materials may get cheaper.  Furniture that was once made of solid wood begins to be manufactured in particle board.  If the installation of a purchase was free, now it becomes an extra charge.  Did you use it to get a two-year warranty?  It may be only a year next time.

Businesses may be hiding price increases, but prices are rising because our money is being ruined by money printing.  It buys less.  We aren’t happy that businesses are trying to conceal price increases with inflation.  Maybe they think it’s all they can do to lessen the pain, but nobody is fooled by the incredible shrinking candy bar.

The problem is the monetary system.  The authorities know as well as we do that they are cheating people, stealing from them when they depreciate the dollar.  It is a dishonorable practice that reminds us once again of H.L. Mencken’s observation that every decent man is ashamed of the government he lives under.

You need to invest in gold and silver because the government continues to erode the purchasing power of the dollar and steal from you.  

And they aren’t even close to being finished!


Nations Bring Home Their Gold

Trust in Global Financial Order Continues to Erode

With the specter of the Cold War hanging over Europe, countries like Germany that might have been caught in the crossfire choose to leave their national gold reserves in safer places like the Bank of England in London and the US with the Federal Reserve in New York.

That was then.  This is now.

Slowly those nations have now begun repatriating their gold.  Slowly is the operative word because for inexplicable reasons some of those who have asked for their gold back have had to wait for some time.  Wait without clear explanations for the holdup.

These days nations are increasingly uncomfortable with their gold being held by the US.  They are taking their gold into their own possession.  They are afraid of being victimized by US geopolitical dominance.  

There has been an explosion of US financial heavy-handedness around the world. It consists of sanctions, penalties, and asset seizures:  foreign banks have been slapped with billions of dollars in fines.  Entire nations have seen their foreign assets frozen for what they believe are arbitrary US sanctions.  

The obvious corollary for gold investors is that owning gold you don’t have in a tangible form and in your possession is not a preferred strategy.  That is why at Republic Monetary Exchange, our business is providing real, actual gold and silver to our clients.  Not paper.  Not promises to pay.  Not claims or presumed title to gold held elsewhere.   

Here is an excerpt from a must-see Reuters report on the annual Invesco Global Sovereign Asset Management Study survey about central bank and sovereign wealth fund gold repatriation:

Last year’s freezing of almost half of Russia’s $640 billion of gold and forex reserves by the West in response to the invasion of Ukraine also appears to have triggered a shift.

The survey showed a “substantial share” of central banks were concerned by the precedent that had been set. Almost 60% of respondents said it had made gold more attractive, while 68% were keeping reserves at home compared to 50% in 2020.

One central bank, quoted anonymously, said: “We did have it (gold) held in London… but now we’ve transferred it back to own country to hold as a safe haven asset and to keep it safe.”

Rod Ringrow, Invesco’s head of official institutions, who oversaw the report, said that is a broadly-held view.

“‘If it’s my gold then I want it in my country’ (has) been the mantra we have seen in the last year or so,” he said.

Invesco’s survey also found that more than 85 percent of the institutions surveyed by Invesco expect higher inflation in the coming decade.

Isn’t it time to see to it that you have real wealth – gold and silver – in your possession, instead of relying on a global monetary system that is breaking down?


Gold Treasure Discovered in Corn Field!

Civil War Era Stash Includes Rare $20 Gold Liberties!

They are calling it “The Great Kentucky Hoard!”

A Kentucky man whose name has not yet been revealed is suddenly very rich, thanks to the discovery of a lifetime.  While digging in his cornfield, he uncovered a stash of Civil War-era gold coins.

The stash consisted of more than 800 gold coins altogether.

The treasure includes 18 $20 Gold Liberties as well as $10 gold Liberties, and more than 600 US $1 gold Indians, with dates ranging from 1854 to 1862.

The National Post reports that one of the coins is an 1863 $20 Gold Liberty, a coin that has sold in the past at auction for more than $100,000. 

“This is the most insane thing ever!” said the lucky finder.

Better to have gold coins buried in your backyard than to try to negotiate the monetary turmoil ahead with unbacked, fiat paper dollars.  If you have not prepared for the dollar’s eventual demise from its current iteration, then you should consult a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver professional right away!


China and India Are Gold Super Consumers!

The Two Countries Make Up Nearly Half of the World’s Gold Demand!

The gold rush is on.  If you don’t see it, it is because it is taking place in Asia.  

 India and China together are gobbling up the world’s gold.   The two nations are responsible for half of the world’s total gold demand.  In fact, Asia taken as a whole is responsible for 60 percent of the world’s demand, while both China a Japan are reducing their US dollar holdings.

That is a gold rush, in our view. 

While the US has a long and foolish track record of suppressing gold ownership by its citizens, China has a different outlook.  It has liberalized gold ownership and reduced restrictions on its people.  The result is a five-fold increase in gold consumption since the 1990s.  China is today the largest gold producer in the world as well as the largest net acquirer of gold.  (India is the second largest acquirer of gold.)  If history is any guide – and it is – this means that China (and perhaps eventually India) will become more influential in the affairs of mankind.  The West, which is dis hoarding gold, will wane in influence.  

Here is a link to an October 2022 Bloomberg News article headlined, The Gold Market’s Great Migration Sends Bullion Rushing East!”  

The People’s Bank of China added to its gold reserve again in June, increasing its holdings by 23 tons.  That is the eighth consecutive month of the central bank gold growing its gold stock.  These increases are a strategic move, one that coincides with China reducing its dollar reserves held in US government bonds.  The promiscuous application of dollar sanctions and trade restrictions are making the dollar into a toxic asset in the eyes of many foreign nations.

We expect the global flight from the dollar and into gold to continue.  It is not just a sound strategy for nations, it is a wise strategy for individuals.

Your Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver specialist is available to guide you in protecting yourself and your wealth with precious metals.

Large Banks are Bleeding Deposits!

The largest 25 US banks have lost a whopping 7.88 percent of their deposits since April 2022.

More than $920 billion has left the big banks in a little over a year.

Wall Street on Parade reports that the flight from US banks is not quite what has been described by much of the national press:

You may recall reading a burst of headlines during the banking crisis in March of this year about depositors fleeing small banks for the perceived comfort of the largest banks. Unfortunately, those headlines were never put in context or updated to reflect a broader picture….

Deposits at the smaller banks didn’t peak until December 14, 2022, reaching $5,413,667,700,000. The most current reading on June 21 was $5,170,296,000,000, a decline of 4.5 percent from the peak versus the 7.88 percent decline at the 25 largest banks. In actual dollar terms, those 4,071 banks shed just $243.37 billion versus the $920.78 billion at the 25 largest banks.

The exodus of depositors is just one crisis for the banking system.  Rising interest rates exacerbate the problem of the sinking value of the banks’ bond portfolios, as well.  And then there is the problem with their commercial real estate portfolios.

Wolf Streetwrites, “The delinquency rate of Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) backed by office properties jumped to 4.5% by loan balance in June, up from 1.6% just six months ago in December 2022.”

Here’s a close look at the unfolding crisis from Wolf Street:

Giant landlords such as private equity firm Blackstone and private equity firm Brookfield – have defaulted on the mortgages and then walked away from the property. They lose the equity in the property, and the lenders then have to sell the office tower for whatever they can get.

But whatever they can get for older office towers is a lot lot less than anyone had imagined a few years ago when the CMBS were issued. The losses on the mortgages for CMBS holders are huge, such as 88% and 82% by two Class-A office towers in Houston, or even a total loss, with the proceeds of the foreclosure sale just paying for fees and expenses, which happened with the vacant 46-story former One AT&T Center in downtown St. Louis. Two class-A office towers in San Francisco sold at 70% off the pre-pandemic price estimates, though they didn’t involve mortgages. Other office towers were sold with 40% to 50% in losses.

So these older office towers create some serious investor-bloodletting.

In short, there is big trouble brewing in the banking sector, all of it driven by the Federal Reserve’s unhinged interest rate manipulations.  Never did any of the Fed authorities from Greenspan to Bernanke, from Yellen to Powell, ever give a substantial warning of the market distortions they were building into the system of falsified interest rates.  They operated as though they could distort rates and power endless malinvestments in the economy for a generation or more without consequences.  And so, year after year, the dislocations and false signals about the price of money continued.

Now the problem is much bigger than anything the FDIC can backstop.  A maturing bank crisis can only be addressed in the current fiat money structure by massive money creation by the Federal Reserve.  But it will require money printing on a scale most people can barely imagine, one that will leave the US dollar a quivering, empty husk.

The handwriting is on the wall.  A national tragedy is in the making.  You must prepare for it by owning physical gold and silver. 

Better a day early than a day late. 


Banking Crisis? What Banking Crisis?

With big banks tumbling last March – First Republic Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and Credit Suisse – people were lining up to get their money out of banks.  Many of them, foreseeing more financial and monetary stress ahead – turned to gold and silver.

It turns out, as they suspected, that like a ticking time bomb, more banks are finding themselves in deep trouble.  As Wall Street on Parade puts it, “The banking crisis has pretty much disappeared from the headlines but the smoldering remnants of the crisis are very much still with us.”  The website decided to see how much stock prices have plunged for the nation’s 15 leading banks.  This would signal the assessments of the banks’ woes by those who follow the banks most closely.

It’s not a good picture.  Wall Street on Parade reported on those performances from the end of 2021 until last week:

Among the 15 largest banks, the following five banks have performed the worst in terms of share price declines since December 31, 2021: Truist Bank (ticker TFC), Citizens Bank (CFG), U.S. Bank (USB), PNC Bank (PNC), and Bank of America (ticker BAC).

Bank of America is the second largest bank in the United States with $2.5 trillion in consolidated assets and 3,804 domestic bank branches. It has lost 37 percent of its market value (market capitalization) in a year and a half.

As uninsured depositors, those with assets above the FDIC’s $250,000 insurance cap limit, began to make withdrawals, the runs began to snowball.  $42 billion was pulled from Silicon Valley Bank in a single day.

First Republic Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, and Signature Bank were the second, third, and fourth largest bank failures in history.  And yet, as Wall Street on Parade pointed out, those banks were not even on the FDIC’s “Problem Bank List.”

The moral of this story is that the banking crisis is far from over.  The Fed continues to promise higher interest rates to come, which will exacerbate troubles for banks that have mismatched deposits and loans, or in bank speak “have borrowed short and lent long.”  

Those that began moving to gold in March were just ahead of the curve, which is far better than being behind the curve.


China Prepares to Take Taiwan!

Are we headed to “a very dark place?”  Be ready!

“It is clear as day that Xi Jinping is planning to move militaristically over Taiwan. We’re hoping it doesn’t happen. History is rhyming right now. I think we’re heading to a very dark place,” said Kyle Bass just days ago on CNBC.

Bass is the founder and chief investment officer of Hayman Capital Management.  He made half a billion dollars disregarding government economists like Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke.

He was also an important voice challenging the Federal Reserve’s assertion that the inflation it created was transitory.  Those are just a couple of reasons we keep track of Bass’s analysis.

Now we would like you to watch his take on the China/US standoff.  Pay attention to the correlation of naval forces he cites, and bear in mind the long supply lines the US has in the event of engagement over Taiwan, versus China already in position. 

China is already lightening up its US dollar exposure.  From more than a trillion dollars a year ago, it is down now to about $860 billion in Treasury bonds.  A kinetic war with China will see the US dollar tank and send gold prices to the moon.  

We conclude on the evidence that the Biden administration is entirely capable of getting the US into at least a crippling trade war with China.  We conclude that the Biden administration is capable of escalating its proxy war with Russia.  And we conclude that the Biden administration is capable of lurching blindly -into a two-front war, with Russia in Europe and with China in the Pacific.  

If you haven’t prepared yourself for the damage the Biden administration can inflict on this country, you are risking a lot.  Speak with a Republic Monetary Exchange gold and silver specialist today about self-preservation and wealth preservation.


Silver Demand Outpaces Supply

Powerful bullish fundamentals taking shape!

“Changes to solar panel technology are accelerating demand for silver,” reports Bloomberg News.  The result is an increasing deficit in silver while the outlook for additional new mine production is thin.

The Silver Institute, an industry association, reports that as recently as 2014 solar technology accounted for only about 5 percent of annual demand.  This year, solar is projected to amount to 14 percent of silver demand.

The Silver Institute projects total silver demand to increase by 4 percent this year, while production is expected to grow by an anemic 2 percent.

Bloomberg explains this subpar production outlook:

The trouble for silver buyers is that cranking up supply is far from easy, given the rarity of primary mines. About 80% of the supply of the metal comes from lead, zinc, copper, and gold projects, with silver as a by-product.

And in an environment where miners are already reluctant to commit to large new projects, lower margins in silver compared with other precious and industrial metals mean positive price signals aren’t enough to crank up output. Even newly approved projects could be a decade away from production.

The result is a strain on supply so significant that a study from the University of New South Wales forecasts the solar sector could exhaust between 85–98% of global silver reserves by 2050.

Speak with your Republic Monetary Exchange precious metals specialist about what this supply/demand mismatch can mean for future silver prices.


Biden Says America is Not a ‘Deadbeat’ Nation

But the record says differently!

President Joe Biden recently tweeted that America is not a deadbeat nation. 

 “We pay our bills,” Biden said in a related press conference.   “America has never defaulted on its debt.  And we never will.”

Well.  The President should be expected to know better.  He was so very wrong that he even got blasted by fact-checkers on Twitter’s Community Notes.

One linked to a story in the San Francisco Examiner headlined, “A short history of U.S. credit defaults (You didn’t know it’s happened multiple times before?)”

According to the report, “Only a few months after Congress created the dollar, the government defaulted on the new currency. Happened in 1862.

“Five months after what was then called the “Greenback” was created in 1861, President Lincoln’s Treasury Department failed to redeem them in January 1862.”

Another linked to a Mises Institute article called, “A Short History of US Credit Defaults.”  Among others, it points to defaults during Franklin Roosevelt’s administration including the Liberty Bond default of 1934.  Better known and even more outrageous was Roosevelt’s decision “to default on the whole of the domestically-held debt by refusing to redeem in gold to Americans and devaluing the dollar by 40 percent against foreign exchange.”

Another response linked to a piece in The Hill that read, “The US has never defaulted on its debt — except the four times it did.”

It cited another default in 1968 when the US government defaulted “by refusing to honor its explicit promise to redeem its silver certificate paper dollars for silver dollars. The silver certificates stated and still state on their face in a language no one could misunderstand, ‘This certifies that there has been deposited in the Treasury of the United States of America one silver dollar, payable to the bearer on demand.’ It would be hard to have a clearer promise than that.”

The same article cites the severing of the dollar’s ties to gold in 1971 defaulting on “the U.S. government’s commitment to redeem dollars held by foreign governments for gold under the Bretton Woods Agreement. Since that commitment was the lynchpin of the entire Bretton Woods system, reneging on it was the end of the system. 

It was, said President Nixon at the time, a temporary measure.  This was 52 years ago… which reminds us of Milton Friedman’s observation that nothing is as permanent as a temporary government program.

If it were only Biden who is uninformed, that would be one thing.  But we have seen a continuous flow of government officials who are utterly detached from reality.  Janet Yellen testified in Congress that, “The U.S. has never defaulted. Not once.”

President Obama was shown to be utterly clueless on national TV when asked about the size of the US national debt.  

If the American people keep sending people manifestly incapable of knowing or caring about their stewardship obligations, then maybe old H.L. Mencken was right when he said that democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want and deserve to get it good and hard.

As for us though, we prefer to be protected from inept politicians and the calamitous results of their policies.  

That’s why we invest in gold and silver.